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SFEI LOOKING BACK : LOOKING FORWARD. The RMP has always been composed of a diverse (odd ?) set of individuals. SCIENTISTS. ENGINEERS. INDUSTRY. ENVIRONMENTALISTS. SUMMARY FIRST RMP ANNUAL MEETING “IT’S BEEN A LOVE FEST”. (Steve Ritchey: SF RWQCB).
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SFEI LOOKING BACK : LOOKING FORWARD The RMP has always been composed of a diverse (odd ?) set of individuals
SUMMARY FIRST RMP ANNUAL MEETING“IT’S BEEN A LOVE FEST” (Steve Ritchey: SF RWQCB)
15 YEARS LATERSF BAY : NATIONAL MODEL (Sañudo-Wilhelmy et al., 2004. Environmental Science & Technology)
THE PROBLEM - ELSEWHERE Literature Survey metals in US estuaries 1975-2002 Results only 83 published articles no data ~ 1/2 US estuaries Only long term metal studies SF Bay Most studies in other estuaries being done by RMP alumni Sañudo-Wilhelmy et al., 2004
RMP ALUMNI * CONDUCTING ESTUARINE STUDIES ELSEWHERE East Coast: Sergio Sañudo * Stony Brook Mark Wells Maine Greg Cutter * ODU John Donat ODU Gulf Coast: Gary Gill * Texas A&M Bill Landing Florida State Far East Coast: Kuria Ndung’u * Sweden * incomplete listing * still involved in SF Bay-Delta studies
RMP ALUMNI * REGULATING ESTUARINE STUDIES Priya Ganguli SF RWQCB Peter Kozelka US EPA Jon Phinney NOAA Ignacio Rivera US Navy Doug Steding Supreme Court* * incomplete listing * circa 2010
THE PROBLEM IN SF BAY150 YEARS OF POLLUTION 15 YEARS OF RMP DATA* Gold Rush Mercury Mines Golden Gate Red Lead Silver Estuary Industrial Discharges Urban Estuary Periodic Table * prenascent RMP data collection began in 1989
MERCURY IN SF BAY SFEI Summary Time Series Data
OTHER PROBLEMS WITH SF BAY Physical Complexity Hydrologic Complexity
RMP DATA QUANTIFY TEMPORAL CHANGESAg & Pb in the South Bay (1989-2000) Dissolved Ag: 40% decline Dissolved Pb: no decline Total Ag: 70% decline Total Pb: 40% decline Squire et al., 2002. ES&T
RMP DATA ENABLE PROJECTIONS Cooke et al., URS & Monismith et al., Stanford Schubel et al., 2003
RMP DATA MODEL LIMITATIONS Small data set Limited spatial coverage Assumptions of constancy in an inconstant world Flegal et al., 1991 It is safer to interpolate than extrapolate
RMP DATA FOSTER COLLABORATIONS & INNOVATIONSMEANINGFUL WATER QUALITY CRITERIA
EMERGING CONCERNS Population growth water demands contaminant inputs Urbanization surface runoff Negative sediment budget contaminant re-exposure Global warming reduced fresh water flows reduced sediment flows Sewall and Sloan, 2004, JGR
SUMMARY 15 YEARS OF RMP “IT’S STILL GROOVY” Russ Flegal, Aging Hippie