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Chapter 7 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS The Information Maze

Chapter 7 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS The Information Maze. OUTLINE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FINANCIAL RATIOS STANDARDISED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS APPLICATIONS OF FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS USING FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS GOING BEYOND THE NUMBERS.

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Chapter 7 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS The Information Maze

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  1. Chapter 7 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS The Information Maze

  2. OUTLINE • FINANCIAL STATEMENTS • FINANCIAL RATIOS • STANDARDISED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS • APPLICATIONS OF FINANCIAL STATEMENT • ANALYSIS • USING FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS • GOING BEYOND THE NUMBERS

  3. IMPORTANT QUESTIONS Managers, shareholders, creditors and other interested groups seek answers to the following important questions about a firm: • What is the financial position of the firm at a given point of time? • How has the firm performed financially over a given period of time? • What have been the sources and uses of cash over a period of time? The accountant prepares the balance sheet, the profit and loss account, and the statement of cash flows to answer the above questions

  4. BALANCE SHEET Horizontal Form Liabilities + Equity Assets  Share capital  Fixed assets  Reserves and surplus  Investments  Secured loans  Current assets, loans and  Unsecured loansadvances  Current liabilities and provisions  Miscellaneous expenditures and losses

  5. BALANCE SHEET • Vertical (or Report) Form • Sources of Funds • (1) Shareholders’ funds: • (a) Capital • (b) Reserves and Surplus • (2) Loan funds: • (a) Secured loans • (b) Unsecured loans • Application of funds • (1) Fixed assets • (2) Investments • (3) Current assets, loans and advances • Less: Current liabilities and provisions: • Net current assets • (4) Miscellaneous expenditures and losses

  6. BALANCE SHEET OF HORIZON LIMITED AS ON MARCH 31, 20 X 1 A. Account FormRs.in million Liabilities 20 x 1 20 x 0 Assets 20 x 1 20 x 0 Share capital 150 150 Fixed assets 330 322 Equity 150 Investments*** 15 15 Preference – Current assets, loans Reserves & surplus 112 106 and advances 234 156 Secured loans* 143 131 Miscellaneous Unsecured loans** 69 25 expenditures and losses Current liabilities and provisions 105 81 579 493 579 493 * Rs. 35 million of secured loans are due within 1 year, the balance being due after 1 year. ** Rs.40 million of unsecured loans are due within 1 year, the balance being due after 1 year. *** Rs.3 million out of Rs.15 million represent current investments.

  7. BALANCE SHEET OF HORIZON LIMITED AS ON MARCH 31, 20 X 1Rs.in million • 20 x 1 20 x 0 • Sources of Funds • (1) Shareholders’ funds:262 256 • (a) Capital 150 • (b) Reserves and surplus 112 • (2) Loan funds:212 156 • (a) Secured loans 143 • (b) Unsecured loans 69 • 474 412 • Application of Funds • (1) Fixed assets 330 322 • (2) Investments15 15 • (3) Current assets, loans and advances 234 156 • Less: Current liabilities and provisions: 105 81 • Net current assets 129 75 • (4)Miscellaneous expenditures and losses • 474 412

  8. LIABILITIES • Share Capital • Reserves & Surplus • Secured Loans • Unsecured Loans • Current Liabilities and Provisions

  9. ASSETS • Fixed Assets • Investments • Current Assets, Loans, & Advances • Miscellaneous Expenditure & Losses

  10. PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT OF HORIZON LTD, FOR THE YEAR ENDING ON MARCH 31, 20 X 1 (Rs.in million) Income Sales 701 Other income – 701 Expenditure Material and other expenditure 582 Interest 21 Depreciation 30 Provision for tax 34 Profit after tax 34

  11. PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT OF HORIZON LTD, FOR THE YEAR ENDING ON MARCH 31, 20 X 1 (Rs. in million) 20 x 1 20 x 0 Net sales 701 623 Cost of goods sold 552 475 Stocks 421 Wages and salaries 68 Other manufacturing expenses 63 Gross profit 149 148 Operating expenses 60 49 Depreciation 30 General administration 12 Selling 18 Operating profit 89 99 Other income (expense) – 06 Profit before interest and tax 89 105 Interest 21 22 Profit before tax 68 83 Provision for tax 34 41 Profit after tax 34 42

  12. PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT ITEMS • Net Sales • Cost of Goods Sold • Gross Profit • Operating Expenses • Operating Profit • Non-operating Gains and Losses • Profit Before Interest and Taxes • Interest • Profit before Tax • Income Tax Provision • Profit After Tax • Prior Period Adjustments • Amount Available for Appropriation • Appropriations • Balance Carried Forward

  13. NET CASH FLOW Net cash Profit after Non cash Non cash flow tax revenues expenses In practice, analysts use the following approximation: Net cash Profit after + Depreciation + Amortisation Flow tax – + = =

  14. STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW • Sources of Cash • Increase in liabilities and owners’ equity • Decrease in assets (other than cash) • Uses of Cash • Decrease in liabilities and owners’ equity • Increase in assets (other than cash)

  15. STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS Cash outflows from operations Cash flow from operations Cash inflows from operations Operating – = + – Cash inflows from investing activities Cash outflows from investing activities Cash flow from investing activities Investing – = + – Cash inflows from financing activities Cash outflows from financing activities Cash flow from financing activities – Financing = = Net cash flow for the period

  16. SOURCES USES • FINANCING CAPITAL CAPITAL • OPERATING RES. & SURPLUS RES. & SURPLUS • FINANCING LOANS LOANS • OPERATING CURRENT LIABILITIES CURRENT LIABILITIES & PROVISIONS & PROVISIONS • INVESTMENT FIXED ASSETS FIXED ASSETS • INVESTMENT INVESTMENTS INVESTMENTS • OPERATING INVENTORIES INVENTORIES • OPERATING DEBTORS DEBTORS

  17. CASH FLOW STATEMENT FOR HORIZON LTD, FOR THE PERIOD 1.4.20X0 TO 31.3.20X1 (Rs. in million) (A)Cash Flow from Operating Activities Net profit before tax and extraordinary items 68 Adjustments for Interest paid 21 Depreciation 30 Operating profit before working capital changes 119 Adjustments Debtors (46) Inventories (33) Advances 05 Trade credit 15 Advances 07 Provisions 02 Cash generated from operations 69 Income tax paid 34 Cash flow before extraordinary items 35 Extraordinary item – Net cash flow from operating activities 35 (Contd.)

  18. (Contd.) (Rs.in million) (B)Cash Flow from Investing Activities Purchase of fixed assets (38) Net cash flow from investing activities (38) (C)Cash Flow from Financing Activities Proceeds from term loans 12 Proceeds from inter-corporate deposits 44 Interest paid (21) Dividend paid (28) Net cash flow from financing activities 07 (D) Net Increase in Cash and Cash Equivalents (A) + (B) + (C) 04 Cash and cash equivalents as on 1.04.20x0 06 Cash and cash equivalents as on 31.03.20x1 10

  19. MANIPULATION OF THE BOTTOM LINE 1. INFLATE THE SALES FOR THE CURRENT YEAR BY ADVANCING THE SALES FROM THE FOLLOWING YEAR 2. ALTER THE ‘OTHER INCOME’ FIGURE BY PLAYING WITH NON-OPERATIONAL ITEMS 3. FIDDLE WITH THE METHOD & RATE OF DEPR’N 4. DEFER CERTAIN DISCRETIONARY EXPENSES TO THE FOLLOWING YEAR. 5. MAKE INADEQUATE PROVISIONS . . LIABILITIES 6. MAKE EXTRA PROVISIONS . . PROSPEROUS PERIODS . . WRITE THEM BACK . . LEAN PERIODS 7. USE TOTALLY UNACCEPTABLE ACCOUNTING PRACTICES. 8. REVALUE ASSETS . . CREATE . . IMPR’N . . RESERVES 9. LENGTHEN … ACCOUNTING YEAR . . ATTEMPT COVER POOR PERFORMANCE. WHY ? PROJECT IMAGE OF LOW RISK PROMOTE PERCEP’N . . COMPETENT MGT INCREASE MGRL COMPEN’N QUALITY PROMPTNESS OF CANDOUR IN ANALYSING PAST PERFORMANCE REPORTING MEANINGFUL DISCUSSION . . PROSPECTS

  20. HORIZON LIMITED: PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT FOR THE YEAR ENDING 31ST MARCH 20X1 (Rs. in million) 20X1 20X0 Net sales 701 623 Cost of goods sold 552 475 Stocks 421 370 Wages and salaries 68 55 Other manufacturing expenses 63 50 Gross profit 149 148 Operating expenses 60 49 Depreciation 30 26 General Administration 12 11 Selling 18 12 Operating profit 89 99 Non-operating surplus/deficit - 6 Profit before interest and tax 89 105 Interest 21 22 Profit before tax 68 83 Tax 34 41 Profit after tax 34 42 Dividends 28 27 Retained earnings 6 15 Per share data ( in rupees) Earning per share 2.27 2.80 Dividend per share 1.80 1.80 Market price per share 21.0 20.0 Book value per share 17.47 17.07

  21. HORIZON LIMITED: BALANCE SHEET AS ON 31ST MARCH 20X1 (Rs. in million) 20X1 20X0   I. Sources of funds 1. Shareholders' funds 262 256 (a)   Share capital 150 150 (b) Reserves and surplus 112 106 2. Loan funds (a)  Secured loans 143 131 (i) Due after 1 year 108 29 (ii) Due within 1 year 35 40 (b)  Unsecured Loans 69 25 (i) Due after 1 year 29 10 (ii) Due within 1 year 40 15   474 412 II. Application of funds 1. Fixed assets 330 322 2. Investments 15 15 (a) Long term investments 12 12 (b) Current investments 3 3 3. Current assets, loans and advances 234 156 (a) Inventories 105 72 (b) Sundry debtors 114 68 (c) Cash and bank balance 10 6 (d) Loans and advances 5 10 Less: Current liabilities and provisions 105 81 Net current assets 129 75 Total 474 412

  22. LIQUIDITY RATIOS • Current Ratio Current assets 237 Current liabilities 180 • Acid-Test Ratio Quick assets (237 – 105) Current liabilities 180 • Cash Ratio Cash and bank Current balances investments (10 + 3) Current liabilities 180 = = 1.32 = = 0.73 + = 0.07 =

  23. LEVERAGE RATIOS • Debt-equity Ratio Debt 212 = = 0.809 Equity 262 • Debt-asset Ratio Debt 212 = = 0.45 Assets 474 • Interest Coverage Ratio Profit before interest and tax 89 = = 4.23 Interest 21

  24. TURNOVER RATIOS • Inventory Turnover Cost of goods sold 552 Average inventory (105 + 72)/2 • Debtors’ Turnover Net credit sales 701 Average debtors (114 + 68)/2 • Fixed Assets Turnover Net sales 701 Average net fixed assets (330 + 322)/2 • Total Assets Turnover Net sales 701 Average total assets (474 + 412)/2 = = 6.24 = = 7.70 = = 2.15 = = 1.58

  25. PROFITABILITY RATIOS • Gross Profit Margin Ratio Gross profit 149 Net sales 701 • Net Profit Margin Ratio Net profit 34 Net sales 701 • Return on Assets (ROA) Profit after tax 34 Average total assets (474 + 412)/2 = = 0.21 or 21 percent = = 0.049 or 4.9 percent = = 0.077 or 7.7 percent

  26. PROFITABILITY RATIOS • Earning Power Profit before interest and tax 89 Average total assets (474 + 412)/2 • Return on Capital Employed Profit before interest and tax (1 – Tax rate) 89 (1 – 0.5) Average total assets (474 + 412)/2 • Return on Equity Equity earnings 34 Average equity (262 + 256)/2 = = 0.201 or 20.1 percent = = 0.101 or 10.1 percent = = 0.131 or 13.1 percent

  27. VALUATION RATIOS • Price-earnings Ratio Market price per share 21.0 = = 9.25 Earnings per share 2.27 • Yield Dividend Price change + Initial price Initial price Dividend yield Capital gains/losses yield 1.87 1.0 = 9.35% = 5% 20.0 20.0 • Market Value to Book Value Ratio Market value per share 21.00 = = 1.20 Book value per share 17.47

  28. COMPARISON WITH INDUSTRY AVERAGES Ratios Formula Horizon Industry Limited Average Liquidity Current assets • Current ratio 1.32 1.26 Current liabilities Quick assets • Acid-test ratio 0.73 0.69 Current liabilities Leverage Debt • Debt-equity ratio 0.81 1.25 Equity Debt • Debt-ratio 0.45 0.56 Assets PBIT • Interest coverage ratio 4.23 4.14 Interest Turnover Net sales • Inventory turnover 6.24 6.43 Average Inventory Net credit sales • Accounts receivable turnover 7.70 7.50 Average accounts receivable Net sales • Fixed assets turnover 2.15 2.23 Average net fixed assets Net sales • Total assets turnover 1.58 1.26 Average Total assets

  29. Ratios Formula Horizon Industry Limited Average Profitability Gross profit • Gross profit margin ratio 21.0% 18.0% Net sales Net profit • Net profit margin ratio 4.7% 4.0% Net sales Net profit • Return on assets 7.7% 6.9% Average total assets PBIT • Earning power 20.1% 17.7% Average total assets PBIT (1–T) • Return on capital employed 10.1% 8.8% Average total assets Equity earnings • Return on equity 13.1% 11.9% Average net worth Valuation Market price per share • Price-earnings ratio 9.25 9.26 Earnings per share Dividend + Price change • Yield 14. 0% 14.1% Initial price Market price per share • Market value to book 1.20 1.16 value ratio Book value per share

  30. TIME SERIES OF CERTAIN FINANCIAL RATIOS 1 2 3 4 5 Debt-equity ratio 0.91 0.98 0.65 0.61 0.81 Total assets turnover ratio 1.51 1.59 1.58 1.53 1.58 Net profit margin (%) 8.8 11.6 9.8 6.6 4.9 Return on equity (%) 25.4 30.7 24.5 16.7 13.1 Price-earnings ratio 18.6 15.3 10.3 7.1 9.3

  31. DUPONT ANALYSIS Basic Du Pont Analysis Net profit Net profit Net sales = x Average total assets Net sales Average total assets ROA = NPM x TATR Extended Du Pont Analysis Net profit Net profit Sales Average total assets = x x Equity Sales Average total assets Average equity ROE NPM x TATR x 1/(1 – DAR)

  32. DU PONT CHART APPLIED TO HORIZON LIMITED Net Sales +/- Non operating Surplus/Deficit 701 Net Profit 34 – Net Profit Margin 4.9% Total Costs 667  Net Sales 701 Return on Total Assets 7.7 % X Average Fixed assets 326 Net Sales 701 +  Total Assets Turnover 1.58 Average Investments 15 Average Total Assets 443 + Average Net Current Assets 102

  33. EXTENSION OF THE DU PONT CHART Return of Equity 13.1% Return of Assets 7.7% Average Total Assets To Average Equity Ratio 1.70

  34. COMMON SIZE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Part A : Profit and Loss Account   Reg ular (in million) Common Size (%) 20X0 20X1 20X0 20X1 • Net sales Rs.623 Rs. 701 100 100 • Cost of goods sold 475 552 76 79 • Gross profit 148 149 24 21 • PBIT 105 89 17 13 • Interest 22 21 4 3 • PBT 83 68 13 10 • Tax 41 34 7 5 • PAT 42 34 7 5 Part B: Balance Sheet Regular (in million) Common Size (%) 20X0 20X1 20X0 20X1 • Shareholders’ funds 256 262 62 55 • Loan funds 156 212 38 45 Total 412 414 100 100 • Fixed assets 322 330 78 70 • Investments 15 15 4 3 • Net current assets 75 129 18 27 Total 412 474 100 100

  35. COMMON-BASE YEAR FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Part A : Profit and Loss Account   Regular (in million) Common Base Year (%) 20X0 20X1 20X0 20X1 • Net sales Rs.623 Rs. 701 100 113 • Cost of goods sold 475 552 100 116 • Gross profit 148 149 100 101 • PBIT 105 89 100 85 • Interest 22 21 100 95 • PBT 83 68 100 82 • Tax 41 34 100 83 • PAT 42 34 100 81 Part B: Balance Sheet Regular (in million) Common Size (%) 20X0 20X1 20X0 20X1 • Shareholders’ funds 256 262 100 102 • Loan funds 156 212 100 136 Total 412 414 100 115 • Fixed assets 322 330 100 102 • Investments 15 15 100 100 • Net current assets 75 129 100 172 Total 412 474 100 115

  36. APPLICATIONS OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS • Financial ratios may be employed to: • Assess corporate excellence • Judge creditworthiness • Forecast bankruptcy • Value equity shares • Predict bond ratings • Estimate market risk

  37. PROBLEMS IN FINANCIAL • STATEMENT ANALYSIS • Heuristic and Intuitive Character • Development of Benchmarks • Window Dressing • Price Level Changes • Variations in Accounting Policies • Interpretation of Results • Correlation among Ratios

  38. GUIDELINES • USE RATIO TO GET CLUES TO ASK THE RIGHT QUESTIONS • BE SELECTIVE IN THE CHOICE OF RATIOS • EMPLOY PROPER BENCHMARKS • KNOW THE TRICKS USED BY ACCOUNTANTS • READ THE FOOT NOTES • UNDERSTAND HOW THE RATIOS ARE INTER- RELATED • REMEMBER … FSA .. ODD MIXTURE OF ART & SCIENCE

  39. LOOKING BEYOND THE NUMBERS 1. ARE THE COMPANY’S REVENUES TIED TO ONE KEY CUSTOMER ? 2. TO WHAT EXTENT ARE THE COMPANY’S REVENUES TIED TO ONE KEY PRODUCT ? 3. TO WHAT EXTENT DOES THE COMPANY RELY ON A SINGLE SUPPLIER ? 4. WHAT PERCENTAGE OF THE COMPANY’S BUSINESS IS GENERATED OVERSEAS ? 5. COMPETITION 6. FUTURE PROSPECTS 7. LEGAL AND REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT

  40. SUMMING UP • Balance sheet, profit and loss account, and the statement of • cash flows are the three financial statements • The balance sheet shows the financial position at a given • point of time, the profit and loss account reflects the • financial performance over a period of time, and the • statement of cash flows displays the sources and uses of • cash over a period of time. • Financial statement analysis can provide valuable insights • into a firm’s performance and position. • The principal tool of financial statement analysis is • financial ratio analysis.

  41. Financial ratios may be divided into five broad categories: • Liquidity ratios • Leverage ratios • Turnover ratios • Profitability ratios • Valuation ratios • Generally, the financial ratios of a company are compared • with some benchmark ratios. • The Du Pont chart is a popular tool of financial analysis. It • provides insights into the determinants of the return on • equity • There are certain problems and issues in financial • statement analysis that call for care, circumspection, and • judgment.

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