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Exploring the Parameter Space with the Visual ARIES Systems Scanning Tool. Lane Carlson, Charles Kessel Mark Tillack, Farrokh Najmabadi ARIES-Pathways Project Meeting Washington, D.C. June 29-30, 2010. ARIES-AT physics ( β N =0.04-0.06) DCLL blanket. ARIES-AT physics ( β N =0.04-0.06)
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Exploring the Parameter Space with the Visual ARIES Systems Scanning Tool Lane Carlson, Charles Kessel Mark Tillack, Farrokh Najmabadi ARIES-Pathways Project Meeting Washington, D.C. June 29-30, 2010
ARIES-AT physics (βN=0.04-0.06) DCLL blanket ARIES-AT physics (βN=0.04-0.06) SiC blanket Aggressive in physics ARIES-I physics (βN = 0.03) DCLL blanket ARIES-I physics (βN = 0.03) SiC blanket Aggressive in technology The four corners of the parameter space have been defined • Scans have been performed to span the 4 corners of the parameter space • A grouping of lowest COE points have been isolated at each corner. C.Kessel to present specifics
Some systems code scanning parameters: Preliminary filtering: • Pnelec = 1000 MW ± 15 MW • Divertor (in/outboard) limit < 15 MW/m2 • BTmax = 6 - 18 T • COE real Now we can load this database of viable operating points and visualize
We have explored the four corners with the VASST GUI as a visualization tool • VASST - Visual ARIES Systems Scanning Tool • Working to visualize the broad parameter space to extract meaningful data and uncover new relationships • Graphical user interface (GUI) permits color 2D plots of any parameter Purpose: to give the user more visual interaction and explorative power to extract meaningful relationships
(Visual ARIES Systems Scanning Tool) new Number of points in database VASST GUI v.2 Blanket database used Auto-labeling Pull-down menus for common parameters Color bar scale Constraint parameter can restrict database Correlation coefficient Save plot as TIFF, JPEG, BMP, PNG… Turn on ARIES-AT point design for reference Note: All costing in this presentation is 2009$ Edit plotting properties “Thickened” database
Constraint example #1: Aggr physics / aggr tech Secondary constraints to apply for practical purposes: - fGW < 1.0 - H98 < 1.7 R vs fGW, CC COE
Constraint example #1: Aggr physics / aggr tech R vs fGW, CC COE Const: fGW < 1.0
Constraint example #1: Aggr physics / aggr tech R vs fGW, CC COE Const: fGW < 1.0 Const: H98 < 1.7
Constraint example #2: Aggr physics / aggr tech R vs H98, CC COE
Constraint example #2: Aggr physics / aggr tech R vs H98, CC COE Const: fGW < 1.0
Constraint example #2: Aggr physics / aggr tech R vs H98, CC COE Const: fGW < 1.0 Const: H98 < 1.7
Constraint example #3: Aggr physics / aggr tech BetaN vs H98, CC COE
Constraint example #3: Aggr physics / aggr tech BetaN vs H98, CC COE Const: H98 < 1.7
Constraint example #3: Aggr physics / aggr tech BetaN vs H98, CC COE Const: H98 < 1.7 Const: fGW < 1.0
Reiterating C. Kessel’s points, trends, observations with visualizations Example #4: Aggr physics / aggr tech “Knee in the curve” at BetaN = 0.03 COE vs BetaN shows relatively weak dependence
Example #5: Aggr physics / aggr tech fGW 1.0 - 1.3 Too aggressive Smaller device
Example #5: Aggr physics / aggr tech H98 > 1.65 Too aggressive Smaller device
Example #5: Aggr physics / aggr tech Aggressive physics BetaN > 0.045
Example #5: Aggr physics / aggr tech COE 70 COE 60 COE 50 Aggressive physics BetaN > 0.045
Example #6: Cons physics / aggr tech BT = 7 - 8.5 for cons physics (BetaN ~ 0.03)
Example #6: Cons physics / aggr tech Low BetaN regime BT vs COE, CC BetaN
Example #6: Cons physics / aggr tech BT vs COE, CC BetaN Const: BetaN < 0.035
Example #6: Cons physics / aggr tech BT vs COE, CC BetaN Const: BetaN < 0.030
Example #7: Aggr physics / cons tech Now DCLL blanket Rise in BT as aggressiveness decreases (BetaN)
Example #7: Aggr physics / cons tech Still weak COE effect of BetaN
Example #7: Aggr physics / cons tech nGW > 1.3 and H98 > 1.4 are too aggressive
Example #8: Cons physics / cons tech Device is large with BT = 7.5 - 8.5 T at low BetaN
SC magnet current reduction ! Builds are not finalized but show TF coil growth trend ! • SC magnet algorithm may be too optimistic • Re-examined lower B-fields for possible solutions • 1.5x reduction might represent an ITER-type TF coil 10x reduction (exaggeration) 3x reduction (~ ITER TF coil) Original magnetic coil algorithm
Extra: Pnelec (unrestricted) vs COE, CC: COE SiC blanket Possible attractive power plant designs in the 500 MW range
Is a small (< 500 MW Pnelec) plant feasible? • Must be careful when drawing comparisons from 1,000 MW ARIES power plant to a small pilot plant • ARIES is 10th-of-a-kind costing, difficult to pin down 1st-of-a-kind • ARIES magnets are SC • Differs from current project scope
The database chronicle is growing as resolution is added • What input parameters were used? • What version of the systems code was used? (Subversion control) • What blanket was implemented? • What were the assumptions applied in the code? • What filters were implemented? (Pnetel, Qdiv, B, etc.) • What costing algorithms were used, year$ ? • Every result/picture/graph should be backed up with specifics of its origin
Background check on systems code • History of code is being investigated and documented. • What exactly is in the different modules? Assumptions and approx used? • This is an ongoing effort to document every specific of the code rather than rely on “corporate memory.” • Physics Module • Toroidal magnetic fields • Heat flux to divertor • Neutron wall load • Net electric power • Engineering Module • Blanket (DCLL, SiC) • Power flow • Magnets • Geometry • Costing Module • Detailed costing accounts Documentation spreadsheet started
Summary • Large system scans have been done and thickening in areas of interest. • The second version of the VASST GUI has looked at parameter correlations at the four corners. • Continuing chronicle and documentation of details and specifics of the systems code.
Future work • Define strawmen for four corners. • Continue to thicken and refine the database in relevant areas once aggr/cons parameters are nailed down. • Re-examine/scan the TF and PF coil j vs. B relationships. • Potentially consider smaller pilot plant machines. Live VASST demo?
ARIES systems code consists of modular building blocks • Systems code integrates physics, engineering, design, and costing. Systems Code Analysis Flow 1. PHYSICS Plasmas that satisfy power and particle balance 2. ENGINEERING FILTERS APPLIED 3. ENGINEERING & COSTING DETAILS Power core, power flow, magnets, costing, COE Filters include: Modules include: Toroidal magnetic fields Heat flux to divertor Neutron wall load Net electric power Blankets Geometry Magnets Power flow Costing DCLL SiC ARIES-AT
Goals of Dec. 2010 ARIES research proposal Scope of new study is to re-evaluate the ARIES design while considering current PMI knowledge and issues.