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International conference “Changing Family: Demographic Challenges for Social Policy”, 28-29 November 2007, Moscow . DIFFERENCES IN PARTNERSHIP AND FAMILY FORMATION IN LITHUANIA. Vlada Stankūnienė Aušra Maslauskaitė Marė Baublytė Demographic R esearch Center, ISR Lithuania .
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International conference “Changing Family: Demographic Challenges for Social Policy”, 28-29 November 2007, Moscow DIFFERENCES IN PARTNERSHIP AND FAMILY FORMATION IN LITHUANIA Vlada Stankūnienė Aušra Maslauskaitė Marė Baublytė Demographic Research Center, ISR Lithuania Research was funded by the Lithuanian Science and Studies Foundation
Data • Gender and Generations Survey_Lithuania, 2006 • Population Census_Lithuania, 2001
Presentation outline • Marital/partnership status: changes, differencies • Partnership/family formation:strategy, differences • Turning point to new family formation pattern • Conclusions
Family transformation • Decrease of marriage rates • Postponement and “ageing” of marriage • Spread of cohabitation • Increase of never married • Decrease of fertility, etc…
Marital/partnershipstatus MALES FEMALES • with every younger generation – increase in cohabitation, decrease in marriage • among females - high level living without partner
Relative risk of never marrying MALES Rural/low educated/ unempoyed males have relatively „low value“ in the „marriage market“. They are in social and „demographic exclusion“ *** p<0,001 Source: GGS_Lithuania, 2006
Never married males: urban/rural by education Population census Lithuania, 2001 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Lower_sec_rural Lower_sec_urban Secondary_rural Secondary_urban Higher_rural Higher_urban 1950-54 1955-59 1960-64 1965-69
Cumulative percentages of first partnership as marriage MALES FEMALES
Cumulative percentages of first partnership as marriage 1960-1979 MALES FEMALES
Cumulative percentages of first partnership as cohabitation, 1930-1979 birth cohorts MALES FEMALES
Cumulative percentages of first partnership as cohabitation, 1960-1979 MALES FEMALES
Cumulative percentages of first marriage/cohabitation/partnership, 1960-79 MALES partnership marriage cohabitation
Cumulative percentages of first marriage/cohabitation/partnership, 1960-79 FEMALES partnership marriage cohabitation
partnership/marriage/cohabitation Cumulative percentages of first partnership FEMALES 1948-1955 1968-1975 78,9 85,5 70,3 57,5
Cumulative percentages of first partnership: partnership/marriage/cohabitation MALES 1948-1955 1968-1975
Cumulative percentages of first partnership MALES FEMALES
Cumulative percentages, who had by specified age entered a first partnershipMALES partnership marriage cohabitation
Cumulative percentages, who had by specified age entered a first partnershipFEMALES marriage cohabitation partnership
First partnership: cohabitation or marriage, by age and residence, percentage
First partnership: cohabitation or marriage, by age and residence, percentage
Cohabitants by ageand sex in urban and rural areas, census 2001 rural men rural women urban men urban women Population Census_Lithuania, 2001
Relative risk of ever entering the cohabitation • The highest risk to experience cohabitation: • for youngest age groups; • for the groups with the lowest education; • more for urban than rural population *** p<0,001
Conclusions Marital/partnership status: • With every younger generation: increase in cohabitation, decrease in marriage • There is the highest risk not to marry for rural/low educated/ unempoyed males
Conclusions Partnership/marriage strategy: • Postponement of marriage: • from very young age to older age • Postponement of marriage is compensated by cohabitation in younger age: • spread of cohabitation/rejuvenation of cohabitation • cohabiting unions replace married unions • Rejuvenation/increase of partnerships – females • Rejuvenation/increase of partnerships - females • General partnership level remains near the same: • “daughters” start partnership earlier than “mothers”
Conclusions Cohabitation: • The highest risk to experience cohabitation: • for youngest agegroups; • for the groups with thelowest education; • more for urban thanrural population