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Internationalization in military aviation. Poland’ s perspective

Explore Poland's involvement in international military aviation cooperation, including alliances, regional outlook, and lessons learned. Discover the challenges and benefits of participation, and the importance of managing expectations.

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Internationalization in military aviation. Poland’ s perspective

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  1. Internationalization in military aviation.Poland’s perspective Eugeniusz Cieslak NDU, Warsaw e.cieslak@aon.edu.pl

  2. Agenda • Little bit of alliance politics theory • Current outlook • Dimensions of Polishinternational cooperation • Poland in big ticket projects • Poland and regional outlook • What we havelearned

  3. Little bit of alliance politics theory • The alliance security dilemma: • the fear of abandonment and the fear of entrapment • Pactasundservanta (casus foederis) • Obligations versus interests • Interests divergence and overlap • Alliance game • Burden sharing versus free riding • Promises of support versus threats of defection • Chain-ganging versus buck passing

  4. Since alliance treaties are unenforceable,an alliance will be viable only to the extentthat it reflects the interests of its members. „realist” common wisdom Glenn H. Snyder, Alliance Politics, Cornell University Press 1997

  5. What’s in NATO • Smart Defence Initiative • more with less, pooling and sharing, role specialization • Defence Capabilities Initiative 1999 • Prague Capabilities Commitment 2002 • Force Transformation efforts • ISAF winding down • Burden-sharing debate in times of austerity • Ongoing „high visibility” programs • Theatre and Territorial BMD • AGS • AWACS, SAC, SALIS, ATARES, Air Policing operations

  6. What’s in European Union • Common Security and Defence Policy • Common European defence market versus protection of national industrial base • Headline Goals and Battle Groups • Pooling and Sharing • Complementary with NATO Smart Defence • European Air Transport Fleet

  7. What’s in the regions • The Lancaster House treaties 2010 • Bilateral UK – France political, militaryand industrial cooperation • Belgian-Dutch naval cooperation • Scandinavian cooperation • Baltic States cooperation

  8. Common challenges for international cooperation in military aviation • Strategic national freedom of action versus dependency on partners (in kind contributions - AWACS, AGS) • Long-term commitments (Tornado, A400, SAC) • Complexity of cooperation and delayed benefits (AGS, A400) • Protection of national industrial base and export potential (R&D, life cycle costs)

  9. Dimensions of Polishinternational cooperation • Participants • NATO-wide and groups of states within NATO • EU-wide and groups of states within EU • Regional (Weimar Triangle, Visegrad Group) • Bilateral (Polish-US, Polish-German, etc) • Scope • Diplomatic (UN, NATO, EU CSDP, Quadriga consultations, bilateral, etc) • Operational (ISAF, KFOR, etc) • Organizational (POLBAT, MNCE, AVDET) • Industrial (project consortia)

  10. The challenge: „Coherence and synergyof international cooperation”

  11. Big ticket projects • Poland in AWACS since 2006 • Expectations management (AWACS is nota substitute to ASACS) • Training, AD posture support • Poland in SALIS since 2003/2005/2006 • outsized cargo to Pakistan earthquake • Support to ISAF • Poland in SAC since 2006/2009 • Flying hours limits and crews

  12. Poland in AGS • Joining, leaving and rejoining the program • 2002/2004 participation in AGScosts • 2009 withdrawal from AGS • 2012 rejoining the program • Benefits expectations (AGSbase in Poland) • Limited industrial participation • Lack of tangible results in short and medium term timeframes

  13. Regional outlook • Aircraft swaps between neighbors • Visegrad Group • Multinational air training center • Mi-24 modernization • Regional procurement of multirole aircraft • Bilateral cooperation • Polish – US cooperation (operational AVDET versus industrial F-16 offset) • Polish-German cooperation (diplomatic, military and industrial)

  14. What we have learned • The school of hard knocks, you have tried it you know it • The projects urgently needed and less expensive enjoy more consensus and have more chances for success • Long established international cooperation programs more predictable and stable • Developmental programs risky, costly and with delayed final (sometimes hard to predict) results • Proportional commitment/benefits scale • Do not expect the same level of success in different fields of international cooperation

  15. So what…. • Maybe not the dream, but the most rational option available • Takes time and patience to learn and participate • Manage your expectations and you will be satisfied (more or less) • A friend in need is a friend indeed

  16. Internationalization in military aviation.Poland’s perspective Eugeniusz Cieslak NDU, Warsaw e.cieslak@aon.edu.pl

  17. Together we are stronger

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