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Science-Policy Interface

Science. Policy. IPCC. SBSTA (science-policy interface). SBI. Science-Policy Interface. Bernhard Schlamadinger [bernhard.schlamadinger@joanneum.at]. COP (decision-making). How science feeds into the policymaking process. Science directly to the COP (via IPCC, „Assessment reports“)

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Science-Policy Interface

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  1. Science Policy IPCC SBSTA (science-policy interface) SBI Science-Policy Interface Bernhard Schlamadinger [bernhard.schlamadinger@joanneum.at] COP (decision-making)

  2. How science feeds into the policymaking process • Science directly to the COP (via IPCC, „Assessment reports“) • Indirectly by lobbying SBSTA and COP negotiators; side events; sci. literature, etc. • Technical issues from IPCC via SBSTA • Very specific inquiries from SBSTA • SBSTA approves work plan and results

  3. Technical issues for the scientific community • CP1 issues vs. CP2 (or longer-term) issues • Methodologies • Measuring, monitoring and reporting (integrate statistical and env. data) • remote sensing • modelling • forest and soil inventories • flux towers • inverse modelling • especially combining different tools

  4. Technical issues for the scientific community II CP 1 issues cont‘d • Focus on uncertainties. Especially soils • Demonstrate a pool is not a source • Georeferenced data • Research towards „National System for estimation of anthropogenic emissions by sources and removals by sinks of all GHGs“ • „Reversibility“ of credited C stocks (CDM)

  5. CP2 technical issues • Systems design • Accuracy • Simplicity • Scale Independence • Precedence • Incentives • Full C accounting: technical and policy implications • inter-annual variability • verification (e.g., independent methods such as inverse modelling)

  6. CP 2 technical issues • „Factoring out“ • effects of pre-1990 activities • direct human-induced activities (as opposed to CO2, climate and similar impacts) • Deforestation avoidance (esp. baselines)

  7. Science issues related to sinks in the future • Robustness of sinks is uncertain • permanence in the long term (land use) • Feedbacks from climate change on biosphere, e.g. emissions from soils • Long-term role of CO2 fertilization? • Other feedbacks • albedo changes • local climate etc. • Tropics can strongly affect the C balance

  8. Science issues related to sinks in the future II • Biomass burning • significant in many regions • UNFCCC only addresses „human induced“ portion • Converge top-down and bottom-up estimates • Saturation: Technical vs. more constrained potentials; short vs. long-term • Research towards a broad systems view, e.g. • leakage, • products and energy sectors

  9. Science issues related to sinks in the future III • Land-use policies • Economics of land-management • Synergies with other land-use objectives • Salinity • biodiversity • desertification • bioenergy • local livelihoods, ... • Link mitigation with adaptation strategies

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