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GDP (% YoY)

2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Inflation and Growth – The credit crunch and tight monetary policy should curb GDP growth to 3% in 2009. GDP (% YoY). IPCA ( D % annual). 9.0%. 10.00%. 8.5%. 8.0%. 8.00%. 7.5%. 6.0%. 7.0%. 6.00%. 6.5%. 5.3%. 6.0%. 4.00%. 5.5%. 3.0%. 5.0%. 2.00%. 4.5%.

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GDP (% YoY)

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  5. 6 Inflation and Growth – The credit crunch and tight monetary policy should curb GDP growth to 3% in 2009. GDP (% YoY) IPCA (D% annual) 9.0% 10.00% 8.5% 8.0% 8.00% 7.5% 6.0% 7.0% 6.00% 6.5% 5.3% 6.0% 4.00% 5.5% 3.0% 5.0% 2.00% 4.5% 4.0% 0.00% 3.5% 3.0% -2.00% 2.5% -4.00% IPCA (fev/04) IPCA (fev/05) IPCA (fev/06) IPCA (fev/07) IPCA (fev/08) IPCA (fev/09) IPCA (nov/04) IPCA (nov/05) IPCA (nov/09) IPCA (nov/06) IPCA (nov/07) IPCA (nov/08) IPCA (mai/04) IPCA (mai/05) IPCA (mai/09) IPCA (mai/06) IPCA (mai/07) IPCA (mai/08) IPCA (ago/04) IPCA (ago/05) IPCA (ago/09) IPCA (ago/06) IPCA (ago/07) IPCA (ago/08) IPCA-15 (jul/04) IPCA-15 (jul/05) IPCA-15 (jul/09) IPCA-15 (jul/06) IPCA-15 (jul/07) IPCA-15 (jul/08) Q1 1992 Q4 1992 Q3 1993 Q2 1994 Q1 1995 Q4 1995 Q3 1996 Q2 1997 Q1 1998 Q4 1998 Q3 1999 Q2 2000 Q1 2001 Q4 2001 Q3 2002 Q2 2003 Q1 2004 Q4 2004 Q3 2005 Q2 2006 Q1 2007 Q4 2007 Q3 2008 Q2 2009 IPCA-15 (jan/04) IPCA-15 (jan/05) IPCA-15 (jan/06) IPCA-15 (jan/09) IPCA-15 (jan/07) IPCA-15 (jan/08) IPCA-15 (abr/04) IPCA-15 (abr/05) IPCA-15 (abr/09) IPCA-15 (out/04) IPCA-15 (out/05) IPCA-15 (out/09) IPCA-15 (abr/06) IPCA-15 (abr/07) IPCA-15 (abr/08) IPCA-15 (out/06) IPCA-15 (out/07) IPCA-15 (out/08) Source: IBGE, Unibanco Source: IBGE, Unibanco After spiking at 6.4% in 2008, IPCA consumer inflation should move down closer to the official target, closing 2009 at 51%.

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