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Demographic Trends in the U.S. and Missouri: Implications for Urban Extension September 2010

Demographic Trends in the U.S. and Missouri: Implications for Urban Extension September 2010 Columbia, Missouri. Dr. Bill Elder, Director. Data Information Knowledge Wisdom. OSEDA…. Http://WWW.OSEDA.MISSOURI.EDU.

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Demographic Trends in the U.S. and Missouri: Implications for Urban Extension September 2010

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  1. Demographic Trends in the U.S. and Missouri: Implications for Urban Extension September 2010 Columbia, Missouri Dr. Bill Elder, Director

  2. Data Information Knowledge Wisdom OSEDA… Http://WWW.OSEDA.MISSOURI.EDU “The construction of knowledge involves more the orderly loss of information than it’s meaningless accumulation.” -- Kenneth Boulding

  3. The context of population change in the U.S. Total Population 2009 World: 6.8 Billion U.S.: 307 Million Mo.: 5,987,580

  4. Population Change Missouri 381,515 7% US 24,834,593 9% Change in Population By State 2000 – 2008 Change in Population By State 2000 – 2008 Total Population 2009 World: 6.8 Billion U.S.: 307 Million Mo.: 5,987,580

  5. Relative Concentrations of Growth U.S. Increase 24.8 Million (8.8%) Six States account for 55% * * * * * *

  6. In Missouri nearly 80% of us live on about 3% of our land

  7. Diverse Trends: Regions within Regions – and within urban areas

  8. Core Based Statistical Areas

  9. Core Based Statistical Areas – meaning of terms Census • Core Based Statistical Areas (land) • Metropolitan Areas (county level) • “non-metropolitan” everything not Metro • Urbanized Areas (block level) • “rural” everything not “urban” • “Micropolitan” Areas” part of Non-Metro • For Details Google OSEDA • MCDC and John Blodgett

  10. Missouri Core Based Statistical Areas Census • 97.4% of the land area in the state of Missouri is classified as “rural” • 30.6% of the population is classified as living in rural areas. • Almost 70% of the population of MO lives in 2.6% of the land that is Metro • Nationwide, the same 97.4% of the land area is rural, but nearly 80% of the population lives in Metro America.

  11. Missouri Core Based Statistical Areas

  12. Missouri Core Based Statistical Areas

  13. Patterns of growth -- urban flows

  14. Other data that shows urban concentration

  15. Dots make the concentration more apparent

  16. Be Careful with Census Estimates On the Brink of New Data • New 2009 American Community Survey (ACS) Data – within days • New (5 year) ACS in December • New 2010 counts in December • New Definitions of Metros and Urban Areas in @ 2012 • Be careful with small area variability

  17. Many Urban Challenges…. For example… A few of the Urban Challenges • Hispanic Growth – not just rural areas • Educational Issues • Your list for extension work….. • Communities of interest • Connections to stakeholders • Cultural and class connections • Building social capital (networks)

  18. Urban Challenges … Reaching Important Stakeholder Groups

  19. Urban Challenges … Reaching Important Stakeholder Groups

  20. Latinos are important part of our urban growth Growth of the Hispanic Population In Missouri impacts urban as well as rural areas

  21. Hispanic Growth as an urban issue

  22. Latinos are important component of our growth Location of the Latino Population, 2008

  23. For More Information Google: OSEDA or Pew Hispanic Center

  24. Latinos are important component of our growth Trends from education data

  25. Disparities…Health Status of Hispanics, 2008 Inadequate Prenatal Care Source: Missouri Department of Health and Senior Services (MICA)

  26. Urban Challenges – Education…

  27. The Number of Missouri High School Dropouts Increased by 3,162 or 36% from 2004 to 2008 6,808 White 4,535 Black Source: DESE, 2009 School Data

  28. Overall, Missouri rates increased modestly. Black & Hispanic rates are higher and increasing Black Hispanic Indian Total White Asian 2005 2006 2007 2008

  29. Educational Issues – building expectations From the “Employer” Report:Returns to Associate Degrees

  30. Educational Issues – building expectations From the “Employer” Report:Returns to Bachelor Degrees

  31. Demographic Trends in the U.S. and Missouri: Implications for Urban Extension September 2010 Columbia, Missouri Dr. Bill Elder, Director

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