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Lecture 8a: Return to classical prescriptions: UK regional policy from 1979. Aims Examine the how policy changed after 1979 Review the reasons why policies changed and their rationale Examine how effective the “new” policies were. Outcomes
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Lecture 8a: Return to classical prescriptions: UK regional policy from 1979 Aims • Examine the how policy changed after 1979 • Review the reasons why policies changed and their rationale • Examine how effective the “new” policies were. Outcomes • Have working knowledge of the types of policy that were used • Be able to explain the rationale for different policies • Be conversant with analysis of outcomes Aims & Outcomes Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Introduction • 1979 a “watershed” - Policy moved from being “top down” (Subsidy, direction & control) to become more “bottom up” (targeted, tied to outputs, competition) - Scale shrank but new types “emerging” (Urban and Local, Enterprise zones and Freeports) Reasons for change • Ideological The balance of power needed to change • Economic Slow national growth, Greater exposure to “free” trade, Lack of competitiveness, Impact of the EU • Government thinking The “interests” of companies, deadweight and displacement, indigenous potential, policy. • Consequences Abolition of IDCs, move out of automatic assistance, reduction in coverage, decline in budget (resources), targeted assistance (urban), aim for “self-sustaining” growth. Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Inward investment Not an overt policy aim • Less regulation and an end to punitive taxation levels • Access to the European Union market Competing hypotheses • Dependency - unequal trading, short-term relationships, little day-to-day control, low-tech & low-skill, external strategic control • Developmental - collaboration technology and trust, long-term partnership, “embedded”, developmental and skilled, autonomy Outcomes • Co-ordination through UK Trade and Investment • See http://www.ukinvest.gov.uk/UKTI-publications/4030715/en-GB.pdf • Last year of full figures (2007) accounted for around $1,300billion; more than any other country excluding the US. Nearly 30% of total US investment in Europe. And 20% of all foreign investment. UK is also the second largest overseas investor .Nearly 93,000 people work for Japanese companies and 450 international companies have their European HQ’s in the UK. Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Indigenous growth Arguments for • Large number of “new” jobs, diversified & flexible industrial base, competition, innovation, improved IR. Arguments against • Short life-span, marginal jobs, high stress poor working conditions. Recession push factors • Threat of redundancy, pay-offs, reduced barriers to entry, outsourcing, the sale of of non-core activity. Dilemmas • Who to help Turnovers, Trundlers or Flyers • Which sectors Manufacturing or services • Where to help nodes or uniform Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
New Technology Why so important to regional development? • Positive effect on profitability • Transformation of internal competencies Fundamental shifts in product market • Demand - Rising incomes, fragmented patterns of consumption demand, design and quality increasingly important • Supply - Flexible production, technological “push”, short-run production batches R&D • Applied research private sector, Basic universities & government • Concentrated in small number of “key” industries • Clusters for professional & lifestyle reasons, external information vital • Bulk in SE but there are exceptions Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
New Technology (Cont.) Different patterns of diffusion • Process - rapid, wish to see the “new” technology spread • Product - slow, wish to diffuse the product not the technology Case for technology based regional policy • Key element in growth process, clean, dynamic, high-quality, high-wage Spreading the benefits from new technology • Technology transfer agencies, investment grants, research parks, venture capital initiatives, improved infrastructure Who/what to target? • Starters, at growth thresholds, older firms, inward investors, defence spinouts, links between HE and private sector. Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Urban policy Rationale • Economic support is as important as social support for run-down communities Main themes • Co-ordination - integrate public & private investment avoid duplication • Enterprise - investment “crowded out”, deregulated zones • Development - “independent UDCs, employed the concept of “leverage”, successor English Partnerships • Severely criticised in retrospective evaluations Evolution • Single Regeneration Budget Programme - public private partnership , local government co-ordination, inputs “in kind”, dependant on development to lever in Public and EU funding Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Community Economic Development (1990 onwards) Reasons for emergence • Increased numbers socially excluded individuals (measurable) • Interest in theories of Social Capital Differences from other local and regional development • Truly “bottom up” approach - participation, long-term, explicit social, political & environmental objectives, co-ordination, area based. Instruments • Traditional but applied differently - subsidy (credit unions and co-operatives), advisory & managed (capacity, development through trading organisations for “locals”) • New - LETS (local barter system), micro credit schemes, social risk capital, Intermediate LM halfway-house to employment, deliver product or service, time limited, risky Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Impact of inward investment • UK became a more attractive investment proposition post 1979 • 1998/99 UK FDI £38.6bn, 50% from US ($279bn since 1979); 23% of all FDI in Europe, 40% of Japanese and US investment (France 15%); second largest recipient after US (China 3rd); • Split of FDI 30% new investment, 40% expansions, 30% acquisitions. Armstrong & Taylor • 60% of manufacturing FDI to 1990 in 4 regions (Scot, West Mid, Wales, North West); since 1991 pattern continued. But centre/periphery split in manufacturing (67% in periphery) and non-manufacturing (64% in core). Japanese investors favour Wales and North. Nature of investment changing. Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Impact of inward investment (Cont.) Studies • Taylor (1991) factors affecting Japanese FDI • Stone & Peck (1996) Foreign owned manufacturing sector • Munday et al (1995) Japanese owned plants in Wales • Brand, et al (2000) FDI in Wales, Scotland and W Midlands - smaller output multipliers, productivity, jobs multiplier & RVA higher • Hubert & Pain (2000) FDI & technical progress - significant element, positive externalities within and between industries. Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Indigenous potential & SMEs Regional assistance more effective in assisting small firms than larger ones (Taylor and Wren) • Small firms 99.2% of firms; 44.7% of employment; 38% of turnover • Lower proportion in UK than many competitors and UK regional performance differs; Southern rural good; Industrial heartlands poor for SMEs • By late 90s change underway; strong growth in London and Merseyside; evidence that survival rates in periphery improving • Study be Keeble - little regional difference in profitability; SE more export orientated; peripheral more R&D; all subject to competition. • Is north “hostile” environment for SMEs? • Self-employment (Robson) Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Technology & R&D Manufacturing Sectors • Pharmaceuticals, Office machinery & computers, Aerospace, Instruments, Electronics, Telecoms. Location • South East; growing stake for East, SW & Wales; cluster round London • Link between Technology & R&D Data • Most R&D in the UK is placed by; private enterprise (50%), Overseas firms and governments (15%), Research councils & HE (16%) Government (16%). • It is carried out in; business enterprises (64%) higher education (20%). • Focus of R&D has been switching between sectors. Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Technology & R&D (Cont.) National picture • Almost 140,000 people worked in R&D in 1997; Fall of almost 30% since 1981; Losses in administrative and technical; Number of scientist and engineers has increased by 10%. Regional picture • South East accounts for almost 24% of all R&D • Business funded R&D East and South East (48%), • Government funded South East and South West (47%) • Academic funded in London, the South East and Scotland (52%) Concentration • Private R&D is dominated by HQ plant of large firms; Top 15 - • 1985 50% of R&D jobs; 57% of private R&D; 79% of Gov. R&D • 1997 62% of R&D jobs; 60% of private R&D; 54% of Gov. R&D Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Technology & R&D (Cont.) Technology transfer & Science parks • Technology transfer between pure and applied R&D companies/organisations and new technology-based firms (NTBFs) is often through Science Parks • See Henneberry an early article (1992) more up-to-date figures from the UK science park associations suggests an estimated annual turnover from science parks £5.5 bn; total of 1.88 million sq m floorspace; employs 73,000 in 3,300 companies; there are 8 further science parks under development and 71 currently in operation. • NTBFs - Faster employment and sales turnover growth; greater local multiplier effects; tendency to sub-contact out work locally; minimal displacement effects; more likely to export; may be some deadweight Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Urban policy Three areas Enterprise zones, UDC; SRB Enterprise zones (study by PA Cambridge consultants) Study of 22 of the 25 enterprise zones. The key findings: • 5,000 companies on the 22 Zones by 1990 employing nearly 126,000 people; about 58,000 (46%) of jobs were additional; additional jobs highest manufacturing lowest for retailing and distribution; • Cost per job year £1,700; private sector investment was indirect; total public sector cost of the 22 Zones between £798-£968 million; rates relief 46%, enhanced capital allowances 45 %, infrastructure 9%. • Outputs 6,700 acres of land, 6,000,000 m2 of floorspace, 80% of land developed; £2 billion of private capital; public to private leverage ratio of about 1:2.3;Environmental improvement in the Zones through the removal of dereliction; 82% of the firms said their current employment levels would remain Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Urban policy (Cont.) Urban Development Corporations London Docklands Development Corporation (Oc & Tiesdell) • Findings - Single objective wealth creation; community benefits “trickle down”; “pump priming” & asset disposal; Combined development to change image & boost land prices; aided by a buoyant property market and proximity to the City of London’s financial district. • Outcomes - Mixed development went to build for sale; only 8,000 by 1987, 36% were “new”; jobs mainly service orientated; provision of training severely criticised; initial transport planning for the area was inadequate particularly the provision of public transport. • Cardiff Bay (Rowley) - Poor training provision; lack of effective employment; lack of equity in housing provision; UDCs potential “to work” benefit the local economy; need to have more of a community focus. Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Urban policy (Cont.) Review of performance & good practice (Roger Tym & partners) • Characteristics large-scale vacancy and dereliction, degraded environment, inadequate infrastructure, low resident populations, all close to areas suffering severe economic and social disadvantage. • Output 143,937 jobs, 326 km of road, 2,389 hectares of land reclaimed, 5,029,000 m2 of new commercial floorspace, investment £6.87 billion private & £1.99 billion public. • Hostility diminished over time, policy shifted towards holistic regeneration and multi-agency partnership. • Need to kick-start investment and economic activity in areas suffering severe physical degradation • Site assembly and reclamation by the public sector are crucial • Closer integration to ensure the benefits of investment-based regeneration are channelled to deprived local communities. Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Urban policy (Cont.) SRB Challenge Fund • Brought together funding of 20 previous programmes spend £1.4bn pa. • Organised through Government regional offices, funding allocated via competitive bidding Study by Dept of land Economy University of Cambridge • Based on data from 555 successful bids across rounds 1, to 3 of the Challenge Fund, analysed at the Local Authority District level. • Key findings - Positive relationship between degree of deprivation and expenditure, vast majority of deprived areas have received funding; the 20 most deprived LA Districts in England received almost one-third (30%) of total SRB CF; only 19% went to 267 non-deprived areas some of these Districts contained smaller pockets of deprivation or had newly emerging needs. • For rounded discussion of programme see Oatley N, (1998) Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Conclusion • 1979 watershed - from “top down” blanket intervention, to “bottom up” targeted assistance • Mixture of political & economic reasons - most importantly competition. • Goodbye to controls, deadweight, displacement & branch plants. • Welcome to innovation, entrepreneurs, de-regulation, value for money & technology • Inward investment poses a crucial dilemma - indigenous growth the touchstone - new technology the crucial challenge - the emergence of an integrated approach to urban and local problems • Community development the new challenge Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a
Conclusion (Cont.) • Although not an explicit part of regional policy, inward investment has had a profound impact on the regions, manufacturing concentrated in the periphery, increasingly embedded, high tech & high value. • SME growth significant after the 70s, but tends to favour southern regions, some evidence that entrepreneurship is spreading, growth in self-employment also important • Spreading technology and R&D to the regions, currently highly concentrated in the South and large firms, need to spread out via, technology transfer (pure to applied) and new technology based firms, some evidence of success. • Urban policy, massive expansion, more focus on property development with less emphasis on permanent jobs and training; needs to become more holistic and focused on host communities. Regional and Local Economics (RELOCE) Lecture slides – Lecture 8a