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Measuring the Effects of Sports and Tourism on a Regional Economy. MARK D’AMATO Senior Economist. Model Features. Integration. Structural Model. New Economic Geography Model Structure. Dynamic. Model Studies. Fenway Park. Fenway Park. Existing annual economic impact of Fenway Park
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Measuring the Effects of Sports and Tourism on a Regional Economy MARK D’AMATOSenior Economist
Fenway Park • Existing annual economic impact of Fenway Park (in 2000 dollars) • $127 million in output to the greater Boston economy • $78 million of which contributed towards growth of GRP • Supports 1,608 jobs • Generates $15 million in state and local taxes, produced $93 million in personal income
New Fenway Park Construction Efforts • Creation of 3,900 jobs over four years and generation of $209 million of new GRP • Would require a $240 million public subsidy for a construction cost of $422 million • Regardless of the impacts created from building a new stadium, would the project spin off enough benefits to justify the financing of this project?
Evaluating the Alternative • Eight alternative scenarios discussing: • High attendance • Moderate attendance • Conservative attendance • Worst-case attendance • All with constant and high spending constraints
Results • Large attendance increases may not materialize and is dependent on future team success • Fans tend to have a fixed entertainment dollar they are willing to spend and will not be able to take full advantage of services in and around the ballpark • Not all of the additional revenue would be “net new” to the economy • Building a new park would require the Red Sox to spend an additional $19 million annually in debt service, compared to their current minimal maintenance costs
St. Louise Ballpark Stadium & Village • Ballpark stadium would replace existing Bush Stadium • Ballpark village would be a mixed-use development surrounding the ballpark, including office, retail, restaurant space, parking and entertainment attractions. • Financing assumed by State, County & City Government
Results • By 2005, near-complete construction would result in a 0.02% gain is GSP ($35.64 mil). • By 2008, there is a drop in GSP due to phase-out of massive construction. • By 2011, construction and operation of Phase One would result in a 0.04% gain in GSP ($90.14 mil). • By 2014, full operation of the ballpark village would result in a 0.06% gain in GSP ($153.77 mil). • By 2034 the economic impact levels off, with the gain of 0.04% in GSP ($134.78 mil).
Employment • By 2005, near-complete construction would result in 765 new jobs and $38.84 mil in wages. • By 2008, there is a drop in employment due to phase-out of massive construction. • By 2011, construction and operation of Phase One would result in 2,195 new jobs and $116.49 mil in wages. • By 2014, full operation of the ballpark village would result in 3,549 new jobs and $204.28 mil in wages. • By 2034 the economic impact levels off, resulting in 3,092 new jobs and $201.73 mil in wages.
Tax Impacts • Between 2005-2010 the State of Missouri would experience a net tax cost due to bond payments. • By 2011 the State of Missouri would experience a net tax benefit due to partial ballpark operation. • At full operation between 2014-2034, the State of Missouri would experience a net tax benefit of $12.99 million per annum. • The ballpark project would generate a net tax benefit of $61.68 million NPV between 2002-2034.
Regional Impact of Super Bowl XLVI Michael Hicks Director, Bureau of Business Research Ball State University 765-285-3398 mhicks@bsu.edu