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Information, Efficiency, and Welfare in Agricultural Markets What do (don’t) we know?. Aparajita Goyal Economist, World Bank January 18, 2012. Two Dominant Questions. Given proliferation of ICT interventions in agriculture: What is the impact of these services on people's lives?
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Information, Efficiency, and Welfare in Agricultural MarketsWhat do (don’t) we know? Aparajita Goyal Economist, World Bank January 18, 2012
Two Dominant Questions Given proliferation of ICT interventions in agriculture: • What is the impact of these services on people's lives? • What are the enabling factors for scaling up? Growing body of rigorous, quantitative, independent studies • Jensen 2007, Goyal 2010, Fafchamps & Minten 2011, Mitra, Mookherjee, Torero and Visaria 2011 • Aker 2008, Muto & Yamano 2009, Svensson & Yanagizawa 2009, Camacho & Conover 2010, Beuermann 2010 Information important for efficient functioning of markets - Costly search lowers competition, creates inefficient allocation
Impact of Market Information Systems? Source: Jensen 2007 Source: Goyal 2010
Scaling up? ICT innovations make markets work better (good for development) • But other constraints limit effect on welfare, gap in input effects • Bigger issue is why MIS not scaling up as expected? Fragmentation of the Market • Crop type, operating system, frequency of information • Typical of less mature markets Financially Sustainable Business Models • Private sector profits • Government partnerships
Lessons Positive impact of ICT MIS on efficiency and welfare in certain contexts • Continue to build evidence, develop evaluation systems • What, Why, How? Not a Panacea for Development • Necessary but not sufficient condition • Cannot ignore investments in roads, electricity, infrastructure Sustainable and Scalable Business Models • IT Policy and Regulation • Role played by government, private sector, donors, communities