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Financial Modeling

Financial Modeling. Ashay Verma. The Problem. The average person, not in finance, does not have time to analyze the market. He is prone to get hurt by events such as the most recent recession. Problem. Goal.

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Financial Modeling

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  1. Financial Modeling Ashay Verma

  2. The Problem • The average person, not in finance, does not have time to analyze the market. • He is prone to get hurt by events such as the most recent recession.

  3. Problem

  4. Goal • Detect and track anomalies in the market (where correction is imminent) such as the housing bubble. • Understand human behavior and how it is reflected in stock prices especially since human reactions to economic situation probably has remained constant

  5. Retrieval of Information • Historical Stock Prices • Earnings • Macroeconomic data such as retail sales

  6. Display

  7. Indicators • Candlesticks

  8. Indicators • Moving averages

  9. Plans • Create an accurate forecasting model

  10. Plans • 5/15/11 – Make the model more accurate by involving other variables such as related stock prices, international markets, or other macroeconomic data • 5/22/11 – Implement basic AI capabilities – keep track of probabilities as mentioned above in a separate file so the program gets smarter as more data is read • 6/5/11 – Depending on how behind… build an alert system where an alert is txted/emailed when a stock is ideal to buy/short (from a list of stocks given by user).

  11. Questions?

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