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Predicting Perioperative MI: A Revisit. Homer Yang Professor & Chair Department of Anesthesia. Objectives. Is knowing the coronary anatomy preop enough in predicting MI? Preop Stratification & limitations A “re-look” Identify population for majority of periop cardiac complications
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Predicting Perioperative MI: A Revisit Homer Yang Professor & Chair Department of Anesthesia
Objectives • Is knowing the coronary anatomy preop enough in predicting MI? • Preop Stratification & limitations • A “re-look” • Identify population for majority of periop cardiac complications • Other factors
Angiographic Correlates of Peri-op Cardiac Death & MI • case-control study • between 1984 and 1991: aortic, femoral-popliteal, and femoral-tibial surgery • between 1989 and 1991: carotid endarterectomy • 1242 patients • 21 with pre-op angio + in-hospital death / MI • 1:2 ratio of control on basis of age, year, & Sx Ellis et al. Am J Cardiol 1996; 77: 1126 - 28
Angiographic Correlates of Peri-op Cardiac Death & MI • angiography performed a median of 6 days pre-op • 14 / 21 had identifiable stenosis • 8 / 14 had inadequate collaterals • 0 / 14 had stenosis 70 - 99% • 7 / 21 had no culprit sites • high grade stenosis may have pre-op CABG / PTCA • retrospective study without CPK or troponin assays (underestimation) Ellis et al. Am J Cardiol 1996; 77: 1126 - 28
Can we predict MI? • 70 - 80% of coronary thrombosis occur where stenosis is previously insignificant • Little et al. Circulation 1988; 78:1157 - 66 • Webster et al. JACC 1990; 15:218A • Giroud et al. Am J Cardiol 1992; 69:729 - 32
Plaque Fissure in DM & HBP patients • 168 test subjects who “died within 6 hrs of onset of any symptoms in their last illness” • 129 controls who “died suddenly and in whom autopsy showed non-cardiac deaths” • 69 with an atheroma related disease • Cause of death: intracrebral hemorrhage, ruptured AAA • 60 with no atheroma related disease • Cause of death: traffic accidents, suicide Davies MJ et al. Eur Heart J 1989; 10:203 - 8
Plaque Fissure in DM & HBP patients • Test subjects • 19% had no new acute lesions • 7.7% plaque fissure • 43.5% mural thormbi but not occlusive • 29.8% occlusive thrombi • Atheroma related deaths • 16.7% plaque fissure • 5% mural thrombi • Non-atheroma related deaths • 8.7% plaque fissure Davies MJ et al. Eur Heart J 1989; 10:203 - 8
Fatal Periop MI • Periop MI (30 days postop) 42 vs Non-periop MI 25 • Periop MI (42) • Subendocardial MI 13 (31%) • Circumferential 3 (7%) • Plaque rupture, plaque haemorrhage, & intraluminal thrombus (one or more) 23 (55%) • 19 (45%) have no identifiable plaque rupture or intraluminal thrombus • Formation of thrombus at or in the immediate distal vicinity or atheroma was considered indirect evidence of plaque disruption. • “Severity of preexisting underlying stenosis did not predict the resulting infarct territory” Dawood et al. Intern J Cardiol 1996; 57:37 - 44
Lee’s RCRI • In Validation Cohort • Class 1, 0 factors, 0.4% cardiac complications • Class 2, 1 factors, 0.9% • Class 3, 2 factors, 7% • Class 4, ≥ 3 factors, 11% Circulation 1999; 100:1043-9
Database Results • HHSC Chart Audit 1996 – 1997 elective THR & TKR • 679 charts • 38/49 (77.5%) cardiac complications in Detsky 0 or 5 • LHSC Referral Consults • 2035 patients • 95/130 (73.0%) of MI, unstable angina, CHF, or death in Detsky stratum 1 • TOH 2002 – 2006 elective THR & TKR • 5158 patients in Data Warehouse
POMI (n=77) No POMI (n=5081) OR Class I 28 (36.4%) 4502 (88.6%) Class II 32 (41.6%) 502 (9.9%) 10 (6.1–17) Class III 15 (19.5%) 63 (1.2%) 38 (19–75) Class IV 2 (2.6%) 14 (0.3%) 23 (5.0–106) Effect of β-blockers in Postop Hip & Knee Replacements Anesthesiology 2009; 111(4): 690-4
Periop β-blocker & mortality after major non-cardiac surgery (Propensity Analysis) • Retrospective cohort of patients undergoing major non-cardiac surgery in 329 hospitals in 2000 & 2001 • 782969 patients, 663635 without contraindications to β-blockers • 13454 mortality (2%) • Number of RCRI factors • 0: 313969 • 1: 76983 • 3: 15655 • ≥ 4: 1416 Lindenauer et al. NEJM 2005; 353:349 - 61
541297 (did not receive -blockers) 10771 (1.98%) RCRI Factors ≤ 1 RCRI Factors ≥ 2 2328 (4.23%) 8443 (1.73%) 78% of all mortality 22 % of all mortality Perioperative Mortality Lindenauer et al. NEJM 2005; 353:349 - 61
Emergency Sx • CRI: 4 points • Detsky’s: 10 points • RCRI: only on elective Sx • Ottawa Hospital Chart Audit 2003 • 88 perioperative MI or cardiac arrest • 42 after urgent or emergent surgery
Effect of β-blockers in Postop Hip & Knee Replacements • THR & TKR at The Ottawa Hospital (2002 – 2006) • On day of Sx: • I: β-blockers & continued during stay or until POD 7 • II: β-blockers but d/c during stay • III: No β-blockers • N = 5158 patients; Mortality 54 (1.0%); POMI 77 (1.5%) • Withdrawal of β-blockers postop is associated with POMI [OR 10; 5.8 – 18] • Postop Hb < 100 g/L associated with POMI [OR 3.5; 1.8 – 6.8] • Together, compound risk Anesthesiology 2009; 111(4): 690-4
Acute Surgical Anemia Influences the Cardioprotective Effects of β-Blockade • Retrospective Review of Records between Mar 2005 – Jun 2006, 1° outcomes: MI, non-fatal CA, in-hospital death • Nadir Hb – lowest Hb in first 3 days postop • 1:1 Propensity Analysis with matching • 4387 patients with nadir Hb • 1153 (26%) received β-blockers (BB) within 24 hr postop • Propensity matching in 827 • Major cardiac event 54 (6.5%) in BB & 25 (3.0%) in non-BB (RR 2.38; CI 1.43 – 3.96, p = 0.0009) • Hb drop > 35% • BB: RR 3.5; CI 1.8 – 5.5, p<0.0001 • Non-BB: RR 2.17; CI 0.97 – 4.86, p=0.0533 Anesthesiology 2010; 112:25 - 33
Independent Predictors of Periop MI MI = myocardial infarction; bpm = beats per minute; clinically important bleeding (i.e., bleeding that was disabling or required > 2 units of blood) POISE. Lancet 2008; 371:1839-47
Summary • Most cardiac complications (& mortality) occur in lower risk patients • Most MIs do not occur at sites of previous highest stenotic areas, in angio & in autopsy studies • Approx 16% of plaque fissure occurring in asymptomatic patients as a “baseline” • Significant % of POMI due to Supply & Demand • 45% of periop cardiac deaths are not explained by intraluminal or occlusive thrombi: supply & demand • At least 7 – 19% of periop MI on autopsy are circumferential or multi-site (supply & demand) • Is supply & demand a postop problem?
Conclusion • Preop ACC / AHA guidelines appropriate • Diagnosing CAD does not equal predicting perioperative cardiac events • “Low Risk” Patients are neglected • Factors to watch for • Postop Hb • Emergency cases • Needs more research, especially in postop period