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Money Matters: Technical Market Overview. 29 May 2012. Top - Down Approach. International Markets Economic Indicators Currencies Precious Metals Local Market Main Indices Specific Sectors Specific Shares. `. Technical Market Overview. International Outlook Brent Crude Oil
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Money Matters: Technical Market Overview 29 May 2012
Top - Down Approach • International Markets • Economic Indicators • Currencies • Precious Metals • Local Market • Main Indices • Specific Sectors • Specific Shares `
Technical Market Overview • International Outlook • Brent Crude Oil • Gold-$ & Platinum-$ • Silver $ & Copper • US$ versus Euro & GBP • JPY versus US$ • DJ Industrial Average • S & P 500 Index • Nikkei Index • Hang Seng Index • DAX Index • CAC 40 Index • FTSE Index Local Outlook Gold Rand Platinum Rand Rand vs US $ & Euro JSE Overall Index Top 40 Index Mid Cap & Small Cap Index Alt-X Index Gold Mining Index Platinum Mining Index Resource 20 Index Financial 15 Index Industrial 25 Index Opportunities? Summary Conclusion
Economic Indicators • Brent Crude Oil • Copper Price • Gold-$ • Platinum-$ • Silver-$ • US$ versus Euro • US$ versus GBP • JPY versus US$
Brent Crude Oil Resistance Support Resistance Support Support Bearish
Copper Price Resistance Resistance Support Support Bearish
Gold-$ Resistance Resistance Support Resistance / Support Support Bearish
Platinum-$ Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance / Support Bearish
Silver-$ Resistance Resistance Resistance Support Bearish
Economic Indicators • Brent Crude Oil - Bearish • Copper Price - Bearish • Gold-$ - Bearish • Platinum-$ - Bearish • Silver-$ - Bearish • US$ versus Euro • US$ versus GBP • JPY versus US$ Bearish
US$ vs Euro $ Weakness / Euro Strength Support Support Resistance Resistance Resistance $ Strength / Euro Weakness US$ Strength
US$ vs GBP $ Weakness / GBP Strength Support Support Resistance Resistance $ Strength / GBP Weakness US$ Strength
JPY vs US$ JPY Weakness/ $ Strength Support Support Support Resistance JPY Strength JPY Strength / $ Weakness
What can we learn? • US Dollar • Strong against Euro - Breaking through Resistance • Strong against GBP - Breaking through Resistance • Weak against JPY – Testing previous Support Bullish
International Markets • DJ Industrial Average • S & P 500 Index • Nikkei Index • Hang Seng Index • DAX Index • CAC 40 Index • FTSE Index
DJ Industrial Average Resistance Resistance / Support Resistance Support Support Bullish (Just!)
S&P 500 Index Resistance Resistance / Support Support Support Support Bullish (Just!)
Nikkei Index Resistance Resistance Support Resistance Resistance Support Support Bearish
Hang Seng Index Resistance Support / Resistance Resistance / Support Support Bearish
DAX Index Resistance Support / Resistance Resistance Support Bearish
CAC 40 Index Resistance Resistance Resistance / Support Support Support Support Bearish
FTSE 100 Index Resistance Resistance Support Support Support Bearish
What can we learn? • US Markets • DJIA: Just turned Bullish • S&P 500: Just turned Bullish • Asian Markets • Nikkei Index: Bearish • Hang Seng Index: Bearish • European Markets • DAX Index: Bearish • CAC 40 Index: Bearish • FT100 Index: Bearish Bearish
Gold Mining Index Platinum Mining Index Resource 20 Index Financial 15 Index Industrial 25 Index Local Market • Gold Rand • Platinum Rand • Rand vs US $ • Rand vs Euro • Rand vs GBP • JSE Overall Index • Top 40 Index • Mid Cap Index • Small Cap Index • Alt-X Index
Gold Rand Resistance Resistance Resistance Support Support Support Bullish
NewGold ETF Resistance Resistance Resistance Support Support Bullish
Platinum Rand Resistance Resistance Support Support Bearish
Rand vs US $ Support Rand Weakness/ US$ Strength Resistance Resistance Rand Strength / US$ Weakness Rand Weakness
Rand vs Euro Rand Weakness/ Euro Strength Support Support Resistance Resistance Resistance Rand Strength / Euro Weakness Rand Weakness
Rand vs GBP Support Rand Weakness/ GBP Strength Support Resistance Resistance Rand Strength/ GBP Weakness Rand Weakness
What can we learn? • Gold Rand • Bullish (Testing support) • NewGold ETF? • Platinum Rand • Bearish (Testing support) • Rand weakness vs USD vs EUR vs GBP • Testing Support – Weakening • Inflationary - Oil Imports? • Rand Hedge Shares? • Opportunities?
Gold Mining Index Platinum Mining Resource 20 Index Financial 15 Index Industrial 25 Index Market Indicators • JSE Overall Index • Top 40 Index • Mid Cap • Small Cap • Alt-X Index
JSE Overall Index (Weekly) Resistance Support Support Bullish
JSE Overall Index Resistance Support Resistance / Support Support Bullish (Just!)
Top 40 Index Resistance Resistance / Support Support Support Cheap or Expensive? Bearish
JSE Resources (PE Ratio) Expensive Cheap Cheap
JSE Findi 30 (PE Ratio) Expensive Cheap Expensive
Top 40 Index Bearish/ Oversold / Market Underperforming
Mid Cap Index Bullish / Oversold/ Market Outperforming
Small Cap Index Bullish / Oversold / Outperforming
Alt-X Index Bearish / Oversold / Under Performing
Small Cap Index Bullish Oversold Market Outperforming Alt-X Index Bearish Oversold Market Underperforming What can we learn? • JSE Overall Index • Bullish (Just!) • Cheap or Expensive? • Top 40 Index • Bearish • Oversold • Underperforming • Mid Cap Index • Bullish • Oversold • Outperforming
Market Indicators • Gold Mining Index • Platinum Mining • Resource 20 Index • Financial 15 Index • Industrial 25 Index
Gold Mining Index Bearish / Overbought /Outperforming
Platinum Mining Index Bearish / Oversold / Underperforming
Resources 20 Index Bearish / Oversold / Underperforming
Financial 15 Index Bullish / Oversold/ Market Outperforming
Industrial 25 Index Bullish / Oversold/ Market Outperforming
Fin 15 Index Bullish Neutral or sideways Oversold Outperforming Industrial 25 Index Bullish Oversold Outperforming Summary • Gold Mining Index • Bearish • Overbought • Outperforming • Platinum Mining • Bearish • Oversold • Underperforming • Resource 20 Index • Bullish • Bounce? • Oversold • Underperforming
Investor Profile R E W A R D Hi Prudent Aggressive Conservative Speculative Lo RISK Lo Hi