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Texas Demographic Trends, Characteristics, and Projections

This webinar explores the demographic characteristics of Texas, including population growth, geographic distribution, racial and ethnic diversification, and aging population. It also discusses the implications of these trends for infrastructure, economic growth, and inclusive development.

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Texas Demographic Trends, Characteristics, and Projections

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  1. Texas Demographic Trends, Characteristics, and Projections Insurance Council of Texas Webinar January 23, 2018 @TexasDemography

  2. Demographic Overview Texas is experiencing significant growth. Population growth is not geographically evenly distributed. Texas continues to racially/ethnically diversify. The population of Texas, while relatively young, is also aging. The components of population change have varying implications for infrastructure in Texas. A young and growing workforce could be a competitive edge for Texas and its growing metro areas. Demographic shifts may have serious implications for maintaining inclusive and equitable economic growth in the state.

  3. Growing States, 2000-2017 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count, 2017 Population Estimates.

  4. Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

  5. Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2016 96 counties lost population over the 6 year period. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

  6. Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

  7. Components of Population Change by Percent in Texas, 1950-2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

  8. Population Percent Change for Texas Counties, 2015 to 2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016Population Estimates

  9. Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2015-2016 8 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates.

  10. Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2015-2016 9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates.

  11. Estimated Percent of Total Net-Migrant Flows to and From Texas and Other States, 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016. ACS Migration Flows, 2015

  12. Texas continues to diversify.

  13. Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, • 2000, 2010, and 2016 11 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000, 2010 Decennial Census and 2016 Population Estimates

  14. Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 1980 to 2050 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1980 to 2010 Decennial Censuses; Texas Demographic Center, 2014 Population Projections, Half Migration Scenario

  15. Population Pyramids for Hispanics and Non-Hispanic Whites in Texas, 2010

  16. Annual Shares of Recent Non-Citizen Immigrants to Texas by World Area of Birth, 2005-2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS

  17. Unauthorized and Mexican Immigration, 2015

  18. Texas is young, but aging.

  19. States with the Oldest Median Ages, 2000, 2010, 2014

  20. Texas Population by Age Group, 2000 to 2014

  21. Population Projections by Age Group, 2010 to 2050

  22. Percent of Population 65 Years Plus, Texas Counties, 2011-2015 30 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates

  23. Economic Outlook

  24. Job Growth, U.S. and Texas, 2008 to 2017

  25. Economic Indicators, Texas and U.S., 2016 • Unemployment rate • Texas = 5.6% • U.S. = 5.8% • Median Household Income • Texas = $56,565 • U.S. = $57,617 • Median Family Income • Texas = $67,025 • U.S. = 71,062 • Median earnings for males working full time • Texas = $47,351 • U.S. = $50,586 • Median earnings for females working full time • Texas = $37,576 • U.S. = $40,626 • Poverty rate • Texas = 15.6% • U.S. = 14.0% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates

  26. Housing Affordability in Select Texas Metros, 2007-2016

  27. Unemployment Rate by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, 2003-2015

  28. Median Household Income, Texas Counties, 2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2016 5-Year Estimates

  29. Percent of Housing Units Built Before 1960, Dallas Metro, 2013 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 American Community Survey, 5-Year Estimates

  30. Percent of Housing Units Built Between 1960 and 1999, Dallas Metro, 2013 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 American Community Survey, 5-Year Estimates

  31. Percent of Housing Units Built After 1999, Dallas Metro, 2013 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 American Community Survey, 5-Year Estimates

  32. Percent of Persons with Commutes of 40 Minutes or Greater, 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey, 5-Year Estimates

  33. Percent of Person with Commutes of 40 Minutes or Greater, San Antonio and Austin Metro Areas, 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey, 5-Year Estimates

  34. Percent of Person with Commutes of 40 Minutes or Greater, Houston and Dallas Metro Areas, 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey, 5-Year Estimates

  35. Language Spoken at Home by English Proficiency, Texas, 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates, 2015

  36. Population Projections

  37. Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050 Source: Texas State Data Center, 2016 Preliminary Population Projections

  38. Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2020 Source: Texas State Data Center, 2016 Preliminary Population Projections and U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Population Estimates

  39. Office: (512) 936-3542 Lila.Valencia@utsa.edu www.texasdemographics.gov Lila Valencia, Ph.D. @TexasDemography

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