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Analytical Tools. <<author>>. Overview. Analytical Tools Matrix Analysis Pattern Analysis Link Analysis. Analytical Tools. A System or a Process Helps decision-making Product based Formats large volumes of information Not exact answers Is it a briefing media?. A Briefing Media?.

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  1. Analytical Tools <<author>> Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  2. Overview • Analytical Tools • Matrix Analysis • Pattern Analysis • Link Analysis Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  3. Analytical Tools • A System or a Process • Helps decision-making • Product based • Formats large volumes of information • Not exact answers • Is it a briefing media? Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  4. A Briefing Media? What is this trying to say? Link diagram of a variety of people, places, and organizations. Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  5. Types of Analytical Tools • Pattern Analysis • Matrix Analysis • Link Analysis Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  6. Pattern Analysis • Used to determine doctrinal TTPs • Used to construct threat models • Graphical representation is Pattern Analysis Plot Sheet Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  7. Pattern Analysis Plot Sheet 24/0 23 1 22 2 3 21 4 20 19 5 18 6 7 17 8 16 9 15 10 14 11 13 12 Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118 • Tool used to determine time trends • Can be used to plan and conduct operations based on trends observed • Downfall: All events are plotted, there is no way to distinguish events in different areas from other events

  8. PATTERNS: OPERATIONALIZED Pattern Analysis Plot Sheet 2400 End: C&K Begin: Counter IED 2100 Applying patterns in conjunction with friendly operations yields general timelines (seasonal and adapting) to best employ certain missions at certain times. End: SVCP 0300 Begin: Admin Mvmt Time Typical Hours of Darkness Begin: Counter IDF And C&K End: Counter IDF And Begin C&K Agriculture & Industrial Activity Ends, Urban Activity Wanes Agricultural & Industrial Activity Begins 0600 1800 End: Admin Mvmt Time End: Counter IDF; Cache Sweeps; C&K, Begin: SVCP Peak Temperature=High Cost to Force, Little Payoff WRT Enemy Activity Begin: Counter IDF 1500 0900 1200 Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  9. Matrix Analysis • All-source information • Converts large amounts of info to graphic format for easy filtering and sorting • Two basic types • Activities Matrix • Association Matrix Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  10. Activities Matrix • Shows relationship between people and organizations or activities • Difference in the dots determines the probability • Example Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  11. Example Activities Matrix Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  12. Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  13. Association Matrix • Shows relationship between individuals or personalities • Does not demonstrate strength of relationship, e.g. • Father vice best friend • Cousin vice acquaintance Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  14. Example Association Matrix Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  15. Link Analysis • Graphically displays info that has been organized into matrices • Line and Block charts most commonly used • Shows relationships between people or entities (places, events) that may not otherwise be apparent • Used to identify key personnel weaknesses or vulnerabilities • Tools to aid: Analyst Notebook, PowerPoint, Pencil and Paper • Very time consuming/Labor intensive Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  16. Steps in Link Analysis • 4 Basic Steps • Organize raw data • Construct matrices • Determine relationships between people and organizations • Create Link Analysis Chart Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  17. Basic Symbology (con’t) Confirmed connection Suspected connection Person Two personalities, one person Organization Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  18. Basic Symbology Cont. GOOD BAD Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  19. The Nine Sequential Exercises • Collate data into organized form • Relevant data points are identified • Matrices are constructed • Contact or association points placed in matrices • Number of links is analyzed • Draft link diagram is drawn • Additional drafts to clarify relationships • Final draft is completed • Recommendations are made based on analysis from diagram Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

  20. Questions? ________________________________________ <<author>> Marine Corps Intelligence Schools Company Level Intelligence Cell – <<author billet>> <<author email>><<author tel>> https://www.intranet.tecom.usmc.mil/sites/MCIS/FocusAreas/CIC/default.aspx Analytical Tools (MCIS – ) 081118

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