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Preparing for Pandemic Flu in Scotland RCPE/Scottish Executive Meeting 5 June

Preparing for Pandemic Flu in Scotland RCPE/Scottish Executive Meeting 5 June. Kenneth Hogg Public Health and Wellbeing Scottish Executive. Summary. Recap on possible impact Reflect on progress Highlight key priorities. Impact in Scotland One or more waves: each around 3 months

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Preparing for Pandemic Flu in Scotland RCPE/Scottish Executive Meeting 5 June

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  1. Preparing for Pandemic Flu in Scotland RCPE/Scottish Executive Meeting 5 June Kenneth Hogg Public Health and Wellbeing Scottish Executive

  2. Summary • Recap on possible impact • Reflect on progress • Highlight key priorities

  3. Impact in Scotland One or more waves: each around 3 months Attack rate: 1.25 to 2.5 million people ill 5,100 - 63,000 additional deaths in Scotland 25-50% of staff may be absent over the pandemic Plan for absence levels up to 50% during peak week

  4. Health impacts 25 - 50% of population showing symptoms of flu 10 - 25% of symptomatic cases may develop complications 0.5 - 4% of symptomatic cases may need hospitalisation 6 days average hospital stay for those with severe illness; 11 days if immediately life threatening

  5. Progress: within NHS NHS Board plans Assessing progress; exercising NHS Boards’ pandemic flu co-ordinators Awareness raising Pandemic Flu Website and Newsletter

  6. Workforce • Adult community care • NHS performance • targets • Vaccination • National framework • Frontline Healthcare • services • National Pandemic Flu • helpline • Service and patient • prioritisation Progress: at national level within Scotland

  7. Progress: working within the UK UK Scientific groups Committee on ethical aspects of pandemic influenza Range of working groups: eg surveillance, workforce, pharmacy, primary care Communications work

  8. Progress: planning beyond health Transport Management of excess deaths Telecoms, fuel, water and sewerage, food Business Education

  9. Looking ahead • Key messages • Making good progress • Mapped a way ahead • We have the skills to • solve the problems Key priorities Primary care Community care Service and patient prioritisation Workforce planning

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