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Bad weather in Potsdam in the mid of the 21th century?

Explore adaptation suggestions for urban climate change impacts in Potsdam based on climate change projections and analysis of CORDEX results.

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Bad weather in Potsdam in the mid of the 21th century?

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  1. Bad weather in Potsdam in the mid of the 21th century? Matze/Carsten March 2015

  2. Project: “Concept for Adaptation to Climate Change in the State Capital of Potsdam” City applies, BMU pays, we do it together with RD4 (Fritz) and 2 Potsdam based engineering offices (LUP, RegioFutur) Suggestions for adaptation measures Urban climate change impacts Climate Change projections for Potsdam

  3. Projections: Statistical (i.p. resampling), e.g. STARS Dynamic (physical mechanisms), e.g. CORDEX contributers

  4. Wechsung&Wechsung(2015); Int. J. Climatol. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4220

  5. Wechsung&Wechsung(2015); Int. J. Climatol. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4220

  6. Wechsung&Wechsung(2015); Int. J. Climatol. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4220

  7. CORDEX Europe

  8. Analysis of CORDEX results. Example: annual mean of daily max. temperature 12 GCM/RCM combinations

  9. Annual precipitation Observed annual precipitation Relative frequency for projected change [% comp. to 1970-2000] for 2045 (blue) and 2085 (red). Dashed lines: single model results for 2045 Dotted lines: single model results for 2085

  10. Total runoff per year Relative frequency for projected change [% comp. to 1970-2000] for 2045 (blue) and 2085 (red). Dashed lines: single model results for 2045 Dotted lines: single model results for 2085

  11. Total runoff per year

  12. Heavy rain days (Prc > 16mm) per year Observed heavy rain days Relative frequency for projected change [% comp. to 1970-2000] for 2045 (blue) and 2085 (red). Dashed lines: single model results for 2045 Dotted lines: single model results for 2085 advective + convective rain: convective rain:

  13. Hot days (Tmax > 30°C) per year Observed hot days Relative frequency for projected change [% comp. to 1970-2000] for 2045 (blue) and 2085 (red). Dashed lines: single model results for 2045 Dotted lines: single model results for 2085

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