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PERSONAL INVESTMENT. Team 6 EGR 403 Techie: Jeremy Deake Summarizer: Winnie Lau Organizers: Mimi Ngo Nicolas Tully. Outline. Description of project Scenarios Analysis Sensitivity Analysis Results Conclusion Resources. Description of Project.
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PERSONAL INVESTMENT Team 6 EGR 403 Techie: Jeremy Deake Summarizer: Winnie Lau Organizers: Mimi Ngo Nicolas Tully
Outline • Description of project • Scenarios • Analysis • Sensitivity Analysis • Results • Conclusion • Resources
Description of Project • Comparison between a stock vs. a mutual fund • By using FV and IRR method 25 years old Engineer - $50,000/year (Increase of 2%/year) - Saving 10% of salary/year - Period of 25 years
Scenarios • Scenario 1 – Stock Investment Invest in Pfizer, Inc. • Scenario 2 – Mutual Fund Investment Vanguard Energy Fund
Analysis • Scenario 1 – Stock Investment Collected history of: - dividends per share - price per share Estimated growth by developing trends Calculated FV and IRR
Analysis • Scenario 2 – Mutual Fund Investment Collected history of: - rate of return for years 1, 5, 7, 9, and 9.66 Estimated growth by developing a trend Calculated FV and IRR
Sensitivity Analysis • Scenario 1 – Stock Investment
Sensitivity Analysis • Scenario 1 – Stock Investment
Sensitivity Analysis • Scenario 1 – Stock Investment
Sensitivity Analysis • Scenario 1 – Stock Investment
Sensitivity Analysis • Scenario 1 – Stock Investment
Sensitivity Analysis • Scenario 2 – Mutual Fund Investment
Sensitivity Analysis • Scenario 2 - Mutual Fund Investment
Results • Results using original parameters • Results from Sensitivity Analysis
Conclusion • The best option for this engineer is to invest in Vanguard Energy Fund • Stock investment gives higher ROR if the price/share increases a lot • Is better to invest in smaller growing business but involves higher risks
Resources • Professor Dr. Rosenkrantz • Standard and Poor’s • www.morningstar.com • www.forbes.com