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A Look to the Future: Communications Trends to Watch in the Next 5 Years David Young, Vice President – Public Policy Ver

A Look to the Future: Communications Trends to Watch in the Next 5 Years David Young, Vice President – Public Policy Verizon December 2013. Agenda. 21 st Century Communications encompasses Devices, Applications, Content and Communications Quick review of how we got where we are today

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A Look to the Future: Communications Trends to Watch in the Next 5 Years David Young, Vice President – Public Policy Ver

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  1. A Look to the Future:Communications Trends to Watch in the Next 5 YearsDavid Young, Vice President – Public PolicyVerizonDecember 2013

  2. Agenda • 21st Century Communications encompasses Devices, Applications, Content and Communications • Quick review of how we got where we are today • Impact of Communication, Innovation and Investment • The Internet of Things • Sensors everywhere • Ubiquitous broadband connectivity • Powerful analytics in the cloud • What Does it Mean? • Smart Grid • Smart Transportation • Smart Buildings • Smart Healthcare • Smart Manufacturing • Precision Agriculture

  3. Broadband Internet Ecosystem: Devices, Applications, Content and Communications Signals

  4. U.S. Communications Sector ~ 1992 Other Components of Communications Sector Traditional “Communications” Firms • Personal Computers • Application Software, like word processing and spreadsheets. • Consumer Electronics – • TV sets • Radios • Phone Hand Sets • Telephone: • Local • Long Distance • Cellular Cable TV Direct Broadcast Satellite • Computer Bulletin Boards: • AOL • Compuserv • Prodigy • Print: • Newspapers • Magazines • Programming: • Movies, • TV shows, • News • Broadcast: • TV • Radio

  5. Digital Technologies and Broadband Have Converged Industries and Blurred Boundaries Advances in Information Technology (everything into digits) and Communications (broadband) is What Drives Convergence and Dynamic Competition

  6. The Internet Ecosystem Platform

  7. Dynamism: Virtuous Circle of Innovation and Investment

  8. Dynamic Competition Has Driven a Whole New Network of Networks • Driven by competition, broadband technology has transformed our lives and our work – and is poised for even greater growth. • In less than a decade, we’ve moved from narrowband, voice-centric, copper-based, regulated communications to a broadband, multimedia, fiber-based, competitive system that is delivering products and services that benefit consumers.

  9. ILEC’s Now Provide Phone Service to Fewer Than 37% of Homes Source: FCC local Telephone Competition Status as of December 31, 2012 and Morgan Stanley Wireline Overview, November 4, 2013 – Wireless Substitution Figures

  10. Progressive Policy Institute: Investment HeroesTop 25 2012 Non-Financial US Capital Investment ($B) http://www.progressivepolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/2013.09-Carew-Mandel_US-Investment-Heroes-of-2013.pdf

  11. Job Impacts of Broadband Investment Source: BEA Multipliers, Singer/Crandall Study on Broadband Economic Impacts

  12. Internet of Things: Crossing the Cyber and the Physical Divide

  13. Abundant sensors More than 50% of Internet connections are things. In 2011, there were more than 15 billion things on the Web, with 50 billion+ intermittent connections. By 2020, there will be more than 30 billion connected things, and more than 200 billion with intermittent connections.

  14. Ubiquitous Broadband Verizon Data Coverage Machine-to-Machine Communications Today 24% of the world’s mobile connections are broadband; as operators aggressively migrate to a common global standard network technology — long-term evolution (LTE) — that percentage will rise to 53% by 2017.

  15. Big Data and Actionable Analytics Cloud, packaged analytics and big data accelerates in 2013 and 2014. You'll be able to perform analytics and simulation on every action taken in business. Mobile devices will have access to the data, supporting business decision making.

  16. What Does it Mean? Transforming Businesses and Processes

  17. Internet of Things Brings Disruption and Opportunity • From: • Products to Services • Response to Anticipation • Transaction to Engagement.

  18. Smart Manufacturing

  19. Smart Grid

  20. Smart Transportation

  21. In Conclusion . . . In 1935 the DuPont company introduced an advertising slogan that captured the spirit of the age: “Better Things for Better Living . . . Through Chemistry.” If we were to update this slogan we might now say, “Better Things for Better Living . . . Through Data.” Better living through data is the theme for our time and age.

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