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Explore Israel's evolving national security strategies amid threats, challenges, and changing global dynamics. Discover the impact of failed paradigms, strategic inferiority, and the rise of resistance networks. Unravel the complex dynamics of military means, internal dissent, and international pressures shaping Israel's security landscape.
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The Rise and Fall of Strategies • Strategies in the Flat World New Paradigm Paradigm ‘relevant’ to reality A few years Paradigm Eroded Relevancy Paradigm Loses Relevancy Generations Time
Israel’s National Security Concept UNSCR 1701 + Winograd Commission + Billions of Dollars Israel secure Israel suffering from Strategic Inferiority Relevancy Logic of Implosion Israel’s Code Broken 2nd Lebanon War Tahdiah with Hamas Ben Gurion’s Seminar 1936-45 1947 Time 2000~
Israel losing to Resistance Network Convergence Plan > Failure to topple Hamas 2nd Lebanon War Around Gaza Annapolis Stalemate : 5 4 1 2 3 0 Ideology + Strategy + Nuclear Weapons = New Strategic Challenge
Resistance Network Bypasses IDF Arab States: Strategic balance IDF Superiority Resistance Network Outflanking IDF Israeli Inferiority IL Arabs Home front Intl Arena
Logic of Implosion Vision: Islamic State in place of Israel Demography Identity Tactics: Overstretch Basic De-Legitimacy Demography / Intl Law No Finality of claims Undermine 2SS / Promote 1SS Democracy Territory
Occupation Serves the Implosion Purpose: Destruction of Israel Continuation of the Occupation War Against Occupation Nasrallah: “We do not need tanks and planes… [Israel] is weaker than a spider web.” (7/31/06) Ahmadinejad: “Israel is on a crash course… just like the Soviet Union disappeared.” (12/2/06) Meshal: “If Hamas cannot protect the Palestinian people, let the PA go to hell…” (3/19/06) De-Legitimize Promote 1SS Oppose 2SS MilitaryMeans IsraeliImplosion Single Arab State in its place
The Threat: International Inversion Anti-Zionism rising Failure of NegotiationBy the ‘Dream-Team’ Global Changes: USA DecliningNew Forces Rise International Inversion Towards the 2SS Inversion: From Two-State Solution to One-state Solution Israeli-Arabs:InternationalizationPalestinizationChallenge to IL’s Charecter Logic of Implosion Occupation is Bad for Israel
Ben Gurion’s Seminar (3-11/47) Objectives Defining the Challenge Formulating structural & Operational approach Why it was Successful Learning Process Systemic & Systematic Approach Focus National Security Strategy & Victory 2008: A New Seminar is Required