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Israel’s National Security In Crisis

Israel’s National Security In Crisis. The Rise and Fall of Strategies. Strategies in the Flat World. New Paradigm. Paradigm ‘relevant’ to reality. A few years. Paradigm Eroded. Relevancy. Paradigm Loses Relevancy. Generations. Time. Israel’s National Security Concept. UNSCR 1701. +.

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Israel’s National Security In Crisis

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  1. Israel’s National SecurityIn Crisis

  2. The Rise and Fall of Strategies • Strategies in the Flat World New Paradigm Paradigm ‘relevant’ to reality A few years Paradigm Eroded Relevancy Paradigm Loses Relevancy Generations Time

  3. Israel’s National Security Concept UNSCR 1701 + Winograd Commission + Billions of Dollars Israel secure Israel suffering from Strategic Inferiority Relevancy Logic of Implosion Israel’s Code Broken 2nd Lebanon War Tahdiah with Hamas Ben Gurion’s Seminar 1936-45 1947 Time 2000~

  4. Israel losing to Resistance Network Convergence Plan > Failure to topple Hamas 2nd Lebanon War Around Gaza Annapolis Stalemate : 5 4 1 2 3 0 Ideology + Strategy + Nuclear Weapons = New Strategic Challenge

  5. Resistance Network Bypasses IDF Arab States: Strategic balance IDF Superiority Resistance Network Outflanking IDF Israeli Inferiority IL Arabs Home front Intl Arena

  6. Basic Assumptions: Strategic A-Symmetry

  7. Logic of Implosion Vision: Islamic State in place of Israel Demography Identity Tactics: Overstretch Basic De-Legitimacy Demography / Intl Law No Finality of claims Undermine 2SS / Promote 1SS Democracy Territory

  8. Occupation Serves the Implosion Purpose: Destruction of Israel Continuation of the Occupation War Against Occupation Nasrallah: “We do not need tanks and planes… [Israel] is weaker than a spider web.” (7/31/06) Ahmadinejad: “Israel is on a crash course… just like the Soviet Union disappeared.” (12/2/06) Meshal: “If Hamas cannot protect the Palestinian people, let the PA go to hell…” (3/19/06) De-Legitimize Promote 1SS Oppose 2SS MilitaryMeans IsraeliImplosion Single Arab State in its place

  9. The Threat: International Inversion Anti-Zionism rising Failure of NegotiationBy the ‘Dream-Team’ Global Changes: USA DecliningNew Forces Rise International Inversion Towards the 2SS Inversion: From Two-State Solution to One-state Solution Israeli-Arabs:InternationalizationPalestinizationChallenge to IL’s Charecter Logic of Implosion Occupation is Bad for Israel

  10. Ben Gurion’s Seminar (3-11/47) Objectives Defining the Challenge Formulating structural & Operational approach Why it was Successful Learning Process Systemic & Systematic Approach Focus National Security Strategy & Victory 2008: A New Seminar is Required

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