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EUROMED SOLAR WORKSHOP on EU-MENA COOPERATION on Solar Power

EUROMED SOLAR WORKSHOP on EU-MENA COOPERATION on Solar Power Side event to the extraordinary session of EMPA Dead Sea/Jordan 2008. DESERTEC. Clean Power from Deserts. The global challenge of energy, water and climate security. Gerhard Knies.

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EUROMED SOLAR WORKSHOP on EU-MENA COOPERATION on Solar Power

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  1. EUROMED SOLAR WORKSHOP on EU-MENA COOPERATION on Solar Power Side event to the extraordinary session of EMPA Dead Sea/Jordan 2008 DESERTEC Clean Power from Deserts The global challenge of energy, water and climate security Gerhard Knies DESERTEC Project Promotor for The Club of Rome and co-ordinator of TREC www.desertec.org , Gerhard.Knies@.desertec.org Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008 1

  2. Our Earth 2050 a World with 10 Billion People Our Region EUMENA a community of 1.4 Billion People, rich in solar energy Our Neighbourhood with conflicts for land and water Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008 2

  3. Our Earth 2050 has a problem: mankind Our Region Our Neighbourhood 10 Billion People live together on Earth ? How can Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008 3

  4. 5 Essentials for our Earth with 10 Billion People in 2050 Lasting and sufficient water, food + energy Stable economy Stable climate Limit to further population growth Peace  Enough energy for “civilization”: Enough water: by desalination and re-use Enough food: by irrigation Enough and stable economy Enough wealth to stop population growth Enough energy precondition for enough water, food and wealth to avoid large scale migration and to avoid conflicts for resources.  Clean energy for stable climate New SECURITY paradigm: enough + clean energy 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008 4

  5. How much power is “enough” ? 1. Power per person per year: 5 (+/- 1) MWh 2006: world 3.1, OECD =8.6, USA=12.2, India=0.9, Germany=6.4, Egypt=1.2MWh 2. World pop. 2050: 10 (+/- 0.5)billion people  50,000 TWh/y, (+/- 20%) world in 2050  18,000 TWh/y in 2007 Is there a way to provide enough + clean energy? There are several, a very powerful one is DESERTEC Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008 5

  6. DESERTEC = Clean Power from Deserts for the World 3000 km world electricity demand (18,000 TWh/y) More than 90% of world pop could be served by clean power from deserts ! can be produced from 300 x 300 km² =0.23% of all deserts distributed over “10 000” sites Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008 6

  7. 50,000 TWh/y => 10,000 solar GW Global 10 billion people 2050 5 MWh/person/year Total global power demand 50,000 TWh/y EUMENA = 1/7 world population 7,000 TWh/y (14%) 50% as solar power from deserts 25,000 solar TWh/y 10,000 GW 1,400 GW CSP Collector capacity (2,500 solar h/y) „collector GW“ CSP Plant capacity (7500 op. h/y) plant capacity = 2-3 x collector capacity Collector deployment over 30 years 3,300 GW world-wide EUMENA 1 GW/day 1 GW/week Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008 7

  8. Our Region - EUMENA Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008 8

  9. EUMENA Study By DLR MED-CSP TRANS-CSP deserts + technology for energy, water and climate security Club of Rome White Paper 2007 (www.desertec.org) 9 Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008

  10. Our Neighbourhood 1: Nile Delta food shortage Egypts food source - under water ! Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008 10

  11. Our Neighbourhood 2: GAZA Water shortage Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008 11

  12. Strong over-pumping of aquifer underneath Gaza Ground Water Level (m) below Mediterranean Sea Level Pollution of Wells by Salt Water   threat to young children . P/61 L/57 0.00 1.50 -1.00 1.00 -2.00 0.50 -3.00 0.00 -4.00 -5.00 -0.50 -6.00 -1.00 -7.00 -1.50 -8.00 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 B/4 A/107 5.00 2.00 4.00 1.00 3.00 0.00 2.00 -1.00 1.00 -2.00 0.00 -1.00 -3.00 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002  Salt intrusion ! Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Sea level 12

  13. Basic parameters for Solar Water &Power Source Population in 2005 1.4 Mio From Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics Expected in 2015 In 2025 In 2035 2.0 2.6 Assuming 3.0% ann. Growth 3.3 Assuming 2.0% ann. Growth Demand for 3 Million inhabitants Per person and year 15 TWh electricity/y Power 5 MWh > 1 billion m³ water/y Water 350 m³ Required solar collector size (5 km² for 1 TWh/year):   75 km² for collectors = 20% of Gaza area Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008 13

  14. Solar Power&Water Plants in Egypt and/or Israel + Pipe and Power Lines into Gaza Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008 14

  15. Summary • The whole world is vulnerable to climate change and energy scarcity. • A bold emergency plan is needed. DESERTEC offers a global defense line against climate change and energy scarcity! • North Africa and Middle East are extremely vulnerable to climate change: Mediterranean Solar Plan  community for energy and climate security. (like community for coal and steel 60 years ago). • Co-operation of desert and technology belts (DESERTEC, Union for the Mediterranean, Mediterranean Solar Plan ) holds the promise – to stop climate change, – to achieve wealth and just development, – to resolve water and energy conflicts in the region Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008 15

  16. 10:30 – 10:40 Prof. Hans-Gert Poettering, President of the European Parliament, President of the Euro-Mediterranean Parliamentary Assembly (EMPA), Honorary Member of the Brussels-EU Chapter of the Club of Rome 10:40 – 10:55 Chairman’s opening remarks Dr. Gerhard Knies, DESERTEC Project Director, German Association CLUB OF ROME; Coordinator, Trans- Mediterranean Renewable Energy Cooperation (TREC) Opening of the EUROMED SOLAR WORKSHOP 10:55 – 11:15 Dr. Nikolaus Benz, Vice President, European Solar Thermal Electricity Association 11:15 – 11:20 Questions 11:20 – 11:35 Combined heat, power, desalination and district cooling with CSP; Potentials in the EU-MENA countries: the MED-CSD project Jürgen Kern, Managing Director, kernenergien | the solar power company 11:35 – 11:40 Questions 11:40 – 12:00 Survey on solar energy potentials; Expected demand for power and water in MENA; and power export to Europe Prof. Dr. Dr.-Ing. Hans Müller-Steinhagen, Head of the Institute of Technical Thermodynamics, German Aerospace Center (DLR) 12:00 – 12:05 Questions 12:05 – 12:20 The Mediterranean Solar Plan as part of the Barcelona Process: Union for the Mediterranean (UfM) Antoine-Tristan Mocilnikar, Mission Union pour la Méditerranee, Presidence de la République Française 12:20 – 12:25 Questions 12:25 – 12:40 Bottlenecks and options for market introduction and EU-MENA cooperation Dr. Peer Günzel, Head of Renewables – Solar Energy Europe, HSH Nordbank AG 12:40 – 13:10 What can the EMPA(s) do? Open discussion Survey on solar technologies; Projects in Spain and North Africa Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008 16

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