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Information Mastery 2. Diagnostic tests. Technical vs. Clinical Precision. Sensitivity % of patients with the disease who have a positive test Number with positive test/Number with disease Specificity % of patients without the disease who have a negative test
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Information Mastery 2 Diagnostic tests
Technical vs. Clinical Precision • Sensitivity • % of patients with the disease who have a positive test • Number with positive test/Number with disease • Specificity • % of patients without the disease who have a negative test • Number with negative test/Number without disease • Positive Predictive Value • % of patients with a positive test who have the disease • Number with disease/ Number with positive test • Negative Predictive Value • % of patients with a negative test who don’t have the disease • Number without disease/ Number with negative test
Specificity Large holes catch most of the big fish but let through the small fish. (Most of the fish will be the big fish you want – SpPin)
Sensitivity Small holes catch all the big fish and many small fish. (If there are no big fish in the net, they probably aren’t out there – SnNout)
Technical Precision • Specificity: Remember SpPIn When a test has a high Specificity, a Positive test rules IN the disorder. • Sensitivity: Remember SnNOut When a test has a high Sensitivity, a Negative result rules OUT the disorder. But watch out for the prevalence of the disease or this can mislead you
Summary • Sensitivity • How good the test is at picking up disease (SnNOut) • Specificity • How good the test is at identifying people who do not have the disease (SpPIn) • Positive Predictive Value (PPV) • Chance that someone testing positive truly has the disease • Negative Predictive Value (NPV) • Chance that someone testing negative does not have the disease • As prevalence decreases, PPV decreases and NPV increases
So what does all this mean? • In primary care many people have a low chance of having the disease they are being tested for. • If they get a positive test then they may have the disease – or it could be a false positive. They may need more tests to sort out whether they truly, truly have the disease. • (But what will the patient think when you tell them their initial test indicates they may have something and they need further tests?) • If they get a negative test, and they are unlikely to have the disease, then it’s really very unlikely that they have it when they have tested negative. • And MOST IMPORTANTLY, try only to test people for anything if they are in a high risk group for having the disease. Testing lots of people will do more harm than good.