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Trends & Patterns of Land U se C hange and International A id in Sub-Saharan Africa . Ephraim Nkonya Jawoo Koo Edward Kato Zhe Guo International Food Policy Research Institute. SSA – world’s future breadbasket.
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Trends & Patterns of Land Use Change and International Aid in Sub-Saharan Africa Ephraim Nkonya Jawoo Koo Edward Kato ZheGuoInternational Food Policy Research Institute
SSA – world’s future breadbasket • While crop yield gaps in other regions has narrowed leading to reduced food production from yield increase, yield gap is SSA is the widest • About 90% of the remaining 1.8 billion ha of global arable land in developing countries is in LAC and SSA (Bruinsma2009) • Recent land grabbing attests to SSA’s future BB role – 66% of 234 million ha acquired by foreign investors came from SSA (Anseeuw, et al 2012) • But challenges limiting high agricultural productivity in SSA need to be addressed to tap its large potential
SSA’s pattern of land use & its relationship with international aid • ODA support as % of GDP of recipient country is highest in countries with largest cropland expansion
Cropland area expansion has predominantly replaced intact forest
Botswana & DRC offer important lessons for cropland use change in SSA What drives Botswana to attaining such favorable outcomes with ltd resources and DRC to poor outcomes while it is endowed with abundant natural resources?