110 likes | 291 Views
China’s Changing Role In Asia by Wang Jisi,2004. Wu-Chia-Jung r93341052. The Rise of China. The pessimistic view in China: The rise of china will be constrained by U.S. in the world affairs. The Rise of China. The sanguine view in China:
E N D
China’s Changing Role In Asiaby Wang Jisi,2004 Wu-Chia-Jung r93341052
The Rise of China • The pessimistic view in China: • The rise of china will be constrained by U.S. in the world affairs.
The Rise of China • The sanguine view in China: • Earlier, both international political and economic circumstances were favorable. • Recent, domestic reform and balanced development as the priorities to enhance China’s international stature. • China’s “soft power” for expanding Chinese influence in world affairs. • Unlike Japan and Germany before, China today is far from being militarized. • “20-year period of strategic opportunities”
Regional Security environment (North Korea) * Regional Economic Cooperation * China’s growing military capabilities * The China-U.S. Relationship * The Taiwan Issue * The Japan Issue *
Regional Economic Cooperation • In the early 1990s, China was not enthusiastic about regional trade arrangement. • Now, China’s WTO accession and increasing economic ties with its neighbors will have a great gains. • Predictions: China-ASEAN free trade arrangement will rival both the European Union and NAFTA. • The promotion of East Asian economic cooperation will be an integral part of China’s regional strategy. *
Regional Security environment • Pakistan. • China-India relations. • International terrorism, refugees and illegal immigration. • Crime and drug trafficking across Chinese borders. To this extent, China will continue to be a conservative or status quo power in the region. • The North Korea Nuclear Issue • Painful historical memories. • Hu Jintao’s proactive posture toward the Korean nuclear issue. • Third priorities: • 1.to maintain a nuclear-free Korea. • 2.the preservation of peace and stability on the Korean peninsula. • 3.to assist North Korea’s economic recovery. *
China’s growing military capabilities • The best approaches are: • First, incresing the transparency of China’s strategic thinking, planning and defense capabilities. • Second, strengthening regional security dialogues. *
The Taiwan Issue • National goal: to achieve reunification with Taiwan. • Diplomatic failure. • APEC • To deter Taiwan from taking adventurous moves toward de jure independence. • Two modification since 2001 • First,U.S. policy toward the island is not intended to encourge or endorse de jure independence of Taiwan. • Senond, the other is based on the reassessment that time is on the mainland’s side in the long run. *
The Japan Issue • The ongoing momentum of regional economic cooperation featured by ASEAN+3. • The Korea nuclear issue. *
The China-U.S. relationship: A Dominant Factor.
Conclusion • The realtionships with the other two major players-the U.S. and Japan are still in flux . • The Taiwan problems. • The nature of the Chinese polity constitutes a large gap with its Asian neighbors. • The choice of value system.