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Defining Public Opinion. Public opinion: the aggregate of individual attitudes or beliefs shared by some portion of adults Private opinion: becomes public opinion when an individual takes some type of action to express an opinion to others publicly Consensus versus divisive opinion . Political Socialization.
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1. American Government and Politics Today: The Essentials Chapter 6
Public Opinion and
Political Socialization
2. Defining Public Opinion Public opinion: the aggregate of individual attitudes or beliefs shared by some portion of adults
Private opinion: becomes public opinion when an individual takes some type of action to express an opinion to others publicly
Consensus versus divisive opinion
4. Political Socialization The process by which individuals acquire political beliefs and attitudes
Sources of political socialization
The family and the social environment
The education system
Peers and peer group
Opinion leaders
The media
5. Political Socialization (continued) Political events can produce a long-lasting impact on opinion formation
Example: the impact of the Great Depression on people who came of age in that period, called a “generational effect”
6. Political Preferences and Voting Behavior
Demographic influences - education and economic status
Religious influences - denominations, groups such as evangelicals
Race and ethnicity influences
Gender influences
Geographical influences
9. The Gender Gap
10. Election-Specific Voting Behavior Factors Party identification
Perception of the candidates
Issue preferences
11. Measuring Public Opinion The history of opinion polls
In the 1800s - straw polls
By the 1930s - modern and relatively accurate polling techniques developed by George Gallup, Elmo Roper, and others
12. Measuring Public Opinion (continued) Sampling techniques
Representative sampling
The principle of randomness
A purely random sample will be representative within the stated margin of error
The larger the sample of the population, the smaller the margin of error
13. Problems with Polls Sampling error: the difference between a sample’s results and the “true” result if the entire population had been interviewed
Yes/no answers pose problems when the issues admit to shades of gray
Often people will attempt to please the interviewer
Push polls: attempts to spread negative statements about a candidate by posing as a polltaker
15. Technology and Opinion Polls The advent of telephone polling
Easier and less expensive than door-to-door polling
But many entities are conducting “polls” and “market research” so nonresponse rates have skyrocketed
Internet polling
Many unscientific “nonpolls” are seen on the Internet
In time, nonresponse rates to Internet polling could escalate as did telephone poll rates
16. Public Opinion and the Political Process Political culture and popular opinion
Certain shared beliefs about important values are considered the core of American political culture
Values bind the nation together despite its highly diverse population
These values include the rights to liberty, equality, and property; support for religion; and community service and personal achievement
17. Public Opinion and the Political Process (continued) Political culture and support for our political system
Political trust
18. Trends in Political Trust
19. Public Opinion about Government Trust in government peaked shortly after September 11, 2001 but fell back thereafter
Of all institutions, the military and churches have historically received the greatest public confidence
Confidence in the military reached new highs after 9/11; confidence in churches was hurt by a series of sexual abuse scandals beginning in 2002
Banks and the Supreme Court also score highly; the media, Congress, labor unions, and businesses are less often trusted
20. Confidence in Institutions
22. Public Opinion and Policy Making The general public believes that the leadership should pay attention to popular opinion, though leaders themselves are less likely to believe this
Limits on government action
Public opinion may be at its strongest in preventing politicians from embracing highly unpopular policies
Limits of polling
23. Questions for Critical Thinking In what ways have you been socialized politically? Compare and contrast your experiences with those of your classmates.
In 2000, less than half of the adult population participated in the U.S. presidential election. If the public continues to have minimal involvement in the political process, can democracy continue to function? What are your thoughts on the future of American democracy?