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Explore key statistics, market trends, and future projections for the Boston lodging industry. Learn about occupancy rates, average room rates, new supply pipeline, and the impact of the Boston Convention and Exhibition Center on room demand. Discover important factors influencing future demand and projections for 2003.
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Rachel J. Roginsky, ISHC Pinnacle Advisory Group 76 Canal Street Boston, MA 02114 Telephone: 617-722-9916 Fax: 617-722-9917 rroginsky@pinnacle-advisory.com NAIOP Presentation Pinnacle Realty Investments Pinnacle Advisory Group
Lodging Statistics • National • Boston / Cambridge • Suburban Boston
Total United StatesRoom Supply/Demand Percent ChangeTwelve Month Moving Average To Dec 2002 Source: Smith Travel Research
Total United StatesRoom Demand Percent ChangeJan 2000 – Dec 2002 Source: Smith Travel Research
Total United StatesOccupancy and ADRTwelve Month Moving Average To Dec 2002 Source: Smith Travel Research
Top 25 MarketsOccupancy PercentDecember 2002 YTD INDUSTRY AVERAGE 59.2 % Source: Smith Travel Research
Top 25 MarketsADR Percent Change December 2002 YTD Year over Year INDUSTRY AVERAGE -1.5 % Source: Smith Travel Research
Top 25 MarketsRoom Supply Percent ChangeDecember 2002 YTD Year over Year INDUSTRY AVERAGE 1.8 % Source: Smith Travel Research
Boston / Cambridge Occupancy1989 – 2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Boston / Cambridge Average Room Rate 1989-2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Boston / Cambridge Lodging Supply 1989 - 2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Suburban Boston Occupancy 1995-2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Suburban Boston Average Room Rate 1995 - 2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Suburban Boston Lodging Supply 1995 - 2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Key Boston Lodging Market Issues New Supply Pipeline Boston Convention and Exhibition Center Changes in Demand
Boston / Cambridge New Supply Pipeline • Compound Annual Growth of 1.9% Between 1989 and 2002 • Inventory Growth of 4.9% Projected in 2003 • Projected Compound Annual Growth of 5.3% between 2002 and 2007
The Pipeline - Boston/Cambridge • Commonwealth Hotel–150 Rooms - April 2003 • Embassy Suites–273 Rooms - February 2003 • Hotel Marlowe -236 Rooms - March 2003 • Residence Inn – 168 Rooms – May 2003 • Jurys Doyle – 220 Rooms – April 2004 • Hotel Onyx– 112 Rooms – July 2004 • Charles Street Jail-300 Rooms – July 2004 • Hampton Inn Crosstown – 175 Rooms – July 2004 • Robin Brown Hotel –168 Rooms - Spring 2006
The Pipeline – Seaport District • Renaissance – 438-Rooms April 2005 • Sheraton HQ – 800-Rooms September 2005 • Intercontinental – 420-Rooms - July 2005 • Grand Hyatt – 500-Rooms – January 2006 • Anthony’s Pier 4 – 250-Rooms – April 2007
Boston Convention and Exhibition Center - BCEC • Projected Opening - June 2004 • HQ Hotel Projected Opening September 2005 • 24 Definite Events • 600,000 Room Nights Upon Stabilization • Currently 128,000 definite room nights on books for 2006
Convention Center Related Demand • In 2000 the Hynes Generated 400,000 Room Nights (7 occupancy points for the entire Boston Cambridge market) • Upon Stabilization the BCEC is expected to generate approximately 600,000 room nights in addition to 300,000 at the Hynes , which results in a total of 900,000 room nights (11 occupancy points)
Boston / Cambridge Demand 2002 (Estimated) Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Factors Affecting Future Demand • New Convention Center • New Office Supply and Vacancies • Logan Modernization • Completion of the Big Dig • Economy • Budget Cuts
Boston / Cambridge 2003 Projections 2002 2003 Change Occupancy 72% 70% -2 Pts. Rate $165.04 $161.74 -2.0% RevPAR $118.82 $113.21 -4.7%
Suburban Boston 2003 Projections 2002 2003 Change Occupancy 58% 57% -1 Pts. Rate $97.37 $94.42 -2.0% RevPAR $56.47 $54.39 -3.7%
Pinnacle Realty Investments NAIOP Presentation Rachel J. Roginsky, ISHC Pinnacle Advisory Group 76 Canal Street Boston, MA 02114 Telephone: 617-722-9916 Fax: 617-722-9917 rroginsky@pinnacle-advisory.com Pinnacle Advisory Group