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This study examines the changes in travel mode choices among young adults and the reasons behind the decline in driver's licenses. It also explores the implications for road safety and future research areas.
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Trevor Baileya, Lisa Wundersitza, Simon Rafterya, Matthew Baldock & Rebekah Smithb aCentrefor Automotive Safety Research, bRACV Are young adults’ choice of travel mode changing?
Changes in travel mode choice • US, Canada, Sweden, Norway, UK, Germany, NSW • Changes in travel mode choices among young adults, declines in proportion of young people with driver’s licences. • Reasons for not having a driver’s licence: • too busy to get a licence • owning/maintaining a vehicle is too expensive • able to get transport from others • prefer walking, cycling or public transport University of Adelaide
Study questions • Is there a decline in driver licensing among young adults in Victoria? • Are motorcycles being used as an alternative mode of transport? • What are the reasons for not wanting to drive or get a licence? • What are the road safety implications of changing travel mode choices for young adults? University of Adelaide
Study phases • Literature review – factors influencing travel choice • Analysis of driver and motorcycle licensing data • Survey of young adults not licensed to drive University of Adelaide
Factors influencing travel mode choice Literature review • Transport planning policies, economic circumstances and market forces restricting access to and usage of cars • A delayed transition from teenage to adult lifestyles • Increased use of bicycle and car-sharing schemes • A devaluing of car ownership and car use as a lifestyle characteristic • Increased working from home • Public transport more attractive: convenient, shorter travel time, use smartphonesetc. University of Adelaide
Method – Analysis of licensing data • All licensed drivers in Victoria, 18-90yrs; 2001-2014 • ABS population data for Victoria • Victorian motorcycle licensing data – motorcycle only, car + motorcycle endorsement; 2011-2014 University of Adelaide
Driver licensing rates as percentage of Victorian population by age, 2001-2014 University of Adelaide
Motorcyclelicensing rates as percentage of Victorian population by age, 2011-2014 University of Adelaide
Motorcycle only licensing rates as percentage of Victorian population, 2011-2014 University of Adelaide
Online survey of young adults not licensed to drive • Australians aged 18-30 years • Do not currently have a driver’s licence or drive • Survey monkey – audience pool, web link promoted by RACV • N=147 • 41% Victorian • 20% male, 76% female, University of Adelaide
Results from online survey Main reason for not having a driver’s licence University of Adelaide
When plan to get a driver’s licence? • 40% within the next year • 47% within 1-5 years • 2% 6or more years • 12% no plans (53% 25-30yrs) Current travel mode used? University of Adelaide
Summary • Continuing pattern of driver licensing decline among young adults (18-30yrs) in Victoria. • Small increase in motorcycling licensing (esp. 22-25yrs motorcycle only) • Common reasons for not getting a licence include never learned to drive, do not like driving and too busy/difficult to get licence. • Deferring driver licence until older, 12% have no intention to get a licence University of Adelaide
Implications for road safety Fewer young adults getting licences, preferences for other modes of transport (e.g. public transport, motorcycling) • Reduced young driver exposure on roads -> fewer crashes … but may become vulnerable road users in other travel modes • Need for infrastructure supporting alternative travel modes Defer licensing until older • More mature when obtain licence -> fewer crashes University of Adelaide
Future research • Analyse urban and rural differences in licensing rates and any reasons for not getting a licence. • Examine the prevalence of young adults choosing not to drive despite having a licence. • Explore non-car driving travel modes chosen by young adults and the reasons for these preferences. University of Adelaide
Acknowledgements • This study was funded by Royal Automobile Club of Victoria through a project grant to the Centre for Automotive Safety Research. • The Centre for Automotive Safety Research (CASR) is supported by both the Department of Planning, Transport and Infrastructure (SA) and the Motor Accident Commission (SA). Full report: Young adult licensing trends and travel modes (2015) Dr Trevor Bailey: trevor@casr.adelaide.edu.au University of Adelaide