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Learn about the impact of fiscal and monetary policies on economic indicators like GDP and unemployment rates, and how they influence government spending, taxation, and interest rates. Explore expansionary and contractionary policies and their effects on the economy.
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Fiscal Policy • Annual Economic Issues • GDP change about 2-3 % • Unemployment about 4-5% • Fiscal Policy – Federal Govt use of taxation & spending • Increased government spending or decreased net taxes stimulates the economy • Consumers spend more money • Firms sell more goods and hire more workers • Employment and output increase • Decreased government spending or increased net taxes contracts the economy
Critics • Fiscal policy is ineffective: can’t change output, employment or total spending • To increase spending government must get $ • Taxes • Loanable funds to borrow • Using loanable funds increases interest rates • Government spending crowds out spending by households and firms • Taxes on households means less money to spend • Taxes on firms means costs up and production falls
Expansionary Fiscal Policy • To stimulate a sluggish economy • Increase government spending • Reduce taxation • Government spending or reduced taxes, increases spending and demand for goods • Production increases with increased demand • Tax cuts for business stimulate production by reducing production costs • If budget is balanced, increased government spending or reduced taxes creates a budget deficit
Contractionary Fiscal Policy • To slow down an over stimulated economy • Decrease government spending • Increase taxation • If budget balanced, decreased government spending or increased taxes creates budget surplus • Surplus slows economic growth by reducing spending, which slows production and demand for workers = potential inflation • If cost-push inflation and the economy is sluggish, contractionary fiscal policies increase sluggishness with little affect on prices
Monetary Policy • Federal Reserve Act of 1913 • “The Fed” provides the U.S. banking system with the stabilizing influence of a central bank • 1977 amendment: to “promote effectively the goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates” • The Fed conducts monetary policy • Three Functions to Stabilize: • Open Market • Reserve Ratio • Discount Rate
Open Market Operations • Primary tool to manage money supply • Currency/Deposits—dollar bills and coins • Buy and sell government securities (Treasury bonds and bills) to commercial banks and general public • Example: When you buy a bond from the Fed for $10,000, you write a check and take money out of the economy
Reserve Ratio • Used infrequently • Banks hold $ for emergencies • Current reserve requirement: about 10% • Banks hold at least $10 for every $100 • Decrease required reserves increases money • Increase required reserves decreases money • some banks sell securities or call in loans
Discount Rate • Discount Rate = interest rate the Fed loans money to banks • Discount rate changes money supply • Increases in discount rate decrease money supply by decreasing borrowing (interest rates rise) • Decreases in discount rate increase money supply by increasing borrowing (interest rates fall) • Changes in discount rates foreshadow the Fed’s policy intentions
Expansionary Monetary Policy • Increase money supply • Buy securities (open market operations) • Reduce reserve ratios (not likely) • Lower the discount rate • Lower Discount/Interest Rates • Plant and equipment (by firms) • New housing • Consumer durables (especially autos) • Increased spending stimulates production, which reduces unemployment and increases GDP, which increases income, stimulation
Contractionary Monetary Policy • Decrease money supply • Sell securities (open market operations) • Increase reserve ratio (not likely) • Raise discount rate • Increase Discount/Interest rates • Contractionary monetary policy effective with rapidly increasing GDP and inflation • Decreases investment and slows economic expansion