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In depth analysis of TYNDP issues

In depth analysis of TYNDP issues. TYNDP assessment Findings for NW region Resilience Denmark/Sweden, Luxembourg Supply dependency South of France Network adaptability no issues Supply source diversification Denmark/Sweden Projects resolving aforementioned issues

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In depth analysis of TYNDP issues

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  1. In depth analysis of TYNDP issues • TYNDP assessment Findings for NW region • Resilience Denmark/Sweden, Luxembourg • Supply dependency South of France • Network adaptability no issues • Supply source diversification Denmark/Sweden • Projects resolving aforementioned issues • For Denmark/Sweden: solved by Project Ellund, see section 4.3.1 and 4.3.2 • For Luxembourg: work in progress, see section 4.3.3 • For South of France: work in progress, see section 4.3.4

  2. Resilience

  3. Supply Source Dependency

  4. Supply Source Diversification

  5. Chapter ‘In Depth Review of TYNDP Identified NW Issues’: Example • Resilience Assessment • Potential investment gaps • Germany, Denmark (and Sweden) • TYNDP Project Ellund • Capacity extension from Germany to Denmark would solve this issue • Projects were identified through an Open Season in 2009 • FID-project Step 1 increase capacity from Oct. 2014 at a level of 310,000 m³/h • Non-FID project Step 2 increase capacity in 2016 at a level of 500,000 m³/h • Update GRIP 2013 • Step 2 is now also FID • No investment gap

  6. Background to NWE Projects Procedures followed to define investment projects Past and present projects (FID) Possible future projects (non-FID) Maps Matrix Explanation how the matrix works in conjunction with the appendix

  7. Matrix – how it works Step 1: look up the IP number on capacity map Step 2: goto matrix and find IP number (ascending order) Step 3: find TYNDP code(s) of project(s) Step 4: with TYNDP code and country goto appendix (countries in alphabetical order, within country in alphabetical order of TYNDP code)

  8. Implementation of draft RCC feedback September 4th S&D • Demand uncertainty • Energy efficiency measures taken in member states are part of the demand figures of the NW GRIP report • But major uncertainty in heating market is outside temperatures. Elasticity for domestic heating market on price is low.

  9. Matrix – how it works • Step 1: look up the IP number on capacity map • Step 2: goto matrix and find IP number (ascending order) • Step 3: find TYNDP code(s) of project(s) • Step 4: with TYNDP code and country goto appendix (countries in alphabetical order, within country in alphabetical order of TYNDP code)

  10. Conclusions • TSOs are aware of TYNDP identified issues • Germany/Denmark/Sweden solved, RFO 2016 • Vulnerable position of Sweden improved but not solved. Solutions identified but not decided • Luxembourg congestion identified but not solved • Price spread between PEG Nord and PEG South identified, solutions being analysed • Enduring importance of gas, but increasing import dependency • Depleting L-gas sources in Germany and the Netherlands trigger L-gas market conversion • Role of gas in power generation and increasing contribution of RES adds to the challenges in flexible gas supply and transmission • Further challenges to network development due to decreasing long term transmission capacity commitments

  11. NW GRIP 2013 Timeline - future Nov 2013 26 Nov 28 Nov 1st Jan 2014 2014 2014 2015 • Publish report, start consultation phase • GRIP workshop ENTSOG • GRI NW presentation • End consultation phase • Review of feedback • ENTSOG discussions future GRIPs • New NW GRIP 2015

  12. Questions?

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