“AN SOS FOR 2011” “STRATEGIES ON SURVIVAL”

1. “AN SOS FOR 2011” “STRATEGIES ON SURVIVAL” THE ULTIMATE GOAL OF EVERY COMMUNITY Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA

2. THE “BIG SEVEN” CHALLENGES OF THE 21ST CENTURY SUSTAINABILITY SECURITY (HEALTH AND SAFETY) EDUCATION ECONOMIC ENTERPRISE ENVIRONMENT ECOLOGY ENERGY

3. THE SOLUTION IS NOT ON THE BLACKBOARD

4. SUSTAINABILITY • SECURITYY • EDUCATION • DISASTER RISK REDUCTION • DISASTER RESILIENCE • ADAPTATION • REAL-TIME MONITORING COMMUNITY CHALLENGES LONG-TERM GOALS ACCEPTABLE RISK RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK POLICIES AND PRACTICES YOUR COMMUNITY DATA BASES AND INFORMATION HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS

5. ENTERPRISE • ENVIRONMENT • ECOLOGY • ENERGY • QUALITY OF LIFE COMMUNITY CHALLENGES LONG-TERM GOALS ACCEPTABLE RISK RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK POLICIES AND PRACTICES YOUR COMMUNITY DATA BASES AND INFORMATION HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS

6. 6.6 billion people, and counting Living and competing in an interconnected global economy Producing $60 trillion of products Facing many complex problems STATUS OF OUR WORLD AT THE BEGINNING OF THE 21ST CENTURY

7. Conflict and terrorism Health care Chronic hunger Increasing risk of pandemic disease outbreaks EXAMPLES OF OUR COMPLEX GLOBAL PROBLEMS: 21ST CENTURY

8. Increased risks related to occurrences of natural hazards Large-scale migration of people Environmental degradation Threats related to global climate change EXAMPLES OF OUR COMPLEX GLOBAL PROBLEMS: 21ST CENTURY

9. Unless communities accelerate implementation of realistic public policies and professional practices, the reduction in their quality of life may be irreversible. THE REALITY OF 2011 AD INFINITUM

10. To build capacity for disaster resilience To inform, educate, train, and equip all sectors of the community for coping with complex disasters. To protect and preserve the environment strategic GOALS IN THE FRAMEWORK OF SUSTAINABILITY

11. THE WAY FORWARD: POLICY CHANGES AND PROFESSIONAL PRACTICES THAT CREATE, ADJUST, IMPROVE, AND REALIGN PROGRAMS, PARTNERS AND PEOPLE UNTIL THE COMMUNITY’S GOALS ARE REACHED

12. “STATEGIES ON SURVIVAL” INTEGRATION OF SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS WITH POLITICAL SOLUTIONS IMPLEMENATION OF INTEGRATED SOLUTIONS TO CREATE TURNING POINTS ON THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY

13. Real and Near- Real Time Monitoring Relocation/Rerouting of Cities and City Lifelines Enlighten Communities on Their Risks Hazard, Vulnerability and Risk Characterization Create a Seismic Zonation Construct (A Policy Tool) Build Strategic Equity Through Scenarios Engage Partners in Educational Surges Best Practices for Mitigation Adaptation and Monitoring Implement Modern Codes and Lifeline Standards Introduce New Technologies Situation Data Bases Multiply Capability by International Twinning Move Towards A Disaster Intelligent Community Cause & Effect Relationships Update Knowledge Bases After Each Scenario Anticipatory Actions for all Events and Situations Interfaces with all Real- and Near Real-Time Sources Gateways to a Deeper Understanding SOLVING THE SEVEN CHALLENGES OF THE 21ST CENTURY THE KNOWLEDGE BASE APPLICATIONS CONTINUING EDUCATION

14. Yes!! All of us working strategically can implement a realistic set of scientific, technical, and political solutions--- within OUR administrative, legal, and economic constraints, --- that will enable us to reach our goal of quality of life and certainty of survival. Can we do it?