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Development of Financial Markets in India Rakesh Mohan Deputy Governor Reserve Bank of India Lecture at the First Indian-French Financial Forum at Mumbai, May 16, 2007. Scheme of the Presentation. Role of Financial Markets Money Market Government Securities Market
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Development of Financial Markets in India Rakesh Mohan Deputy Governor Reserve Bank of India Lecture at the First Indian-French Financial Forum at Mumbai, May 16, 2007
Scheme of the Presentation • Role of Financial Markets • Money Market • Government Securities Market • Foreign Exchange Market • Financial Market Integration
Role of Financial Markets • Intermediate between savers and investors • Generate resources for investment and growth • Allocate resources efficiently • Improve the efficacy of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy
Financial Markets in Pre-reform Period – Major Problems • Administered Interest rates • Limited Instruments • Restrictions on Participation • Segmentation of Markets
Money Market • Role of the Money Market • Key role in the transmission of monetary policy impulses • Major Reforms Introduced • Development of the Liquidity Adjustment Facility • Development of collateralised instruments – CBLO and Market Repo • Modification in issuance norms and maturity profile of CD and CP • Setting up of central counter party – Clearing Corporation of India Ltd. (CCIL)
Government Securities Market • Significance of the G-Sec. Market • Enables smooth raising of government borrowings • Risk free rupee yield curve provides a benchmark for pricing other debt instruments • Plays a key role in the monetary policy transmission mechanism
Government Securities Market • Major Reforms in the G-Sec Market • Auction system for issuance of government securities • Primary Dealer (PD) system • New instruments • Widening of investor base • Debt consolidation – re-issuance of securities • Introduction of short-selling • When issued market allowed • Strengthening of trading and settlement infrastructure
Government Securities MarketReasons for the Recent Decline in Activity
Foreign Exchange Market • Major Reforms • Market-determined exchange rate in 1993 • Current account convertibility in 1994 • Substantial liberalisation of capital account transactions • Greater flexibility to market participants to undertake foreign exchange operations • Improvement in market infrastructure
Foreign Exchange MarketIncrease in Activity Turnover in the Foreign Exchange Market
Financial Market Integration • Significance • For monetary policy transmission framework • Evidence of stronger integration during the recent period (2000-2006) than the earlier period (1993-2000) • Correlation between the call rate and the reverse repo improved from 0.35 to 0.86 • Correlation between the call rate and the 364-day Treasury Bills yield improved from 0.40 to 0.92 • Correlation between the call rate and the 10-year yield improved from 0.46 to 0.88 • Correlation between the call rate and the 6-months forward premia improved marginally from 0.61 to 0.62 • Correlation between interest rates (the call rate) and the stock market improved from -0.10 to -0.23.
Financial Market Integration Interest Rates and Exchange Rate in India
Financial Market IntegrationInterest Rate Spread over the Reverse Repo Rate
Growth of Financial Markets in India – A Comparative Picture Table 6: Depth of Financial Markets in India – Average Daily Turnover (Rs.crore)
The Way Ahead - Measures Announced in the Annual Policy Statement G-Sec. Market • A ‘Non-Competitive Bidding Scheme’ in the auctions of State Development Loans (SDLs) to be introduced. • A system of reissuances of State Government securities to be introduced. • Use of average cut-off yield on 182-day Treasury Bills, instead of the yield on 364-day Treasury Bills as a benchmark rate for the FRBs to be issued in future. • A Working Group being set up to suggest measures for developing the interest rate futures market.
The Way Ahead - Measures Announced in the Annual Policy Statement Foreign Exchange Market • Further liberalisation of foreign exchange facilities in view of CFCAC • Overseas investment limit to be enhanced • Portfolio investment abroad limit to be enhanced • Increase in the existing limit for prepayment of ECBs • The limit for remittance scheme for individuals to be enhanced • Expanded the range of hedging tools available to the market participants as also facilitate dynamic hedging by the residents • A Working Group on Currency Futures to be set up
Thank You