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Superintelligence

Superintelligence. Matjaž Gams Institut “ Jo ž ef Stefan ”. AI ENDANGERS HUMAN EXISTENCE. Elon Musk, the billionaire chief executive of SpaceX and Tesla Motors and a techno-optimist Bill Gates Stephen Hawking ….

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Superintelligence

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  1. Superintelligence Matjaž Gams Institut “Jožef Stefan” Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

  2. AI ENDANGERS HUMAN EXISTENCE • Elon Musk, the billionaire chief executive of SpaceX and Tesla Motors and a techno-optimist • Bill Gates • Stephen Hawking • …. „The development of full artificial intelligence could spell the end of the human race“ Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

  3. SUPERINTELLIGENCE • Bostrom, N. 2014. Superintelligence – Paths, Dangers, Strategies. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.(100 Global Thinkers) • Future of Life Institute: „Because of the great potential of AI, it is important to research how to reap its benefits while avoiding potential pitfalls“ • Relations when computers surpass humans3 forms of superintelligence: speed, collective, qualityIntelligence can not be controlled Depending on the form, AI will be more or less dangerous Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

  4. AI PROGRESSExamples of AI progress • Self-driving cars: Google car: over 1 million miles without accident fault,several cars with lane assist • Computers surpass humans in symbolic tasks like chess, Jeopardy, IQ tests, verbal IQ tests (Microsoft Beijing, 2015; an average person) • Autonomous robots (walking, flying) Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

  5. EXAMPLES OF AI PROGRESS IJCAI 2015Gerhard Widmer MusicCompanion Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

  6. IJCAI 2015 • World-best AI conference, 30% increase of paper numbers • Computer and Thought Award recipient Ariel Procaccia AI: Kidney exchange, security (Nash agents), fair division • Christof Koch presented Consciousness in Biological and Artificial Brains: necessary conditions for consciousness (feelings, self-consciousness), axioms and postulates, numeric function to compute consciousness, computers probably not (no simulation, HW insufficient) • Chinese advances: Alibaba, Baidu, Taoobao, Vivian …top no. of users Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

  7. AI DANGERS - SUMMARY • BAN all activities potentially dangerous to humans such as autonomous weapons (Slovenian AI society voted) • Prevention: Programs and robots should not ever be given rights of animals, far less humans • So far, the negative effects of AI have been negligible and so far all the doomsday predictions turned false (every 13 minutes a person dies in car crash in USA) • Most likely, warning (Hawking, Musk, Gates …) is inside the doomsday category -cooperation is more beneficial Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

  8. Computer/Human memory Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

  9. INFORMATION HUMAN SOCIETY Humans versus computers Kurtzweil humans + computers processing power Fermi paradox computers humans Moore’s law time Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

  10. SUMMARY • Of all dangers to the EU/Slovenian population, the technological ones, climate changes, business, … only one stands out: demographic • Civilization dangers - Fermi paradox? • The sooner superintelligence (safe) the better for humans • Fantastic human progress • Science progressing fast, colliding with ideology and myths • It is up to the AI society to fulfil its own prophecy and not the mass media’s fears • The human civilization is to step into a new civilization area of unimaginable power and success Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

  11. Thank you Contact: matjaz.gams@ijs.si Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

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