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Fundamentals of Experimentation. Clearly define the objectiveWhat question are you trying to answer? How will you know you are finished?Choose the factor(s) of interest- The response to measure,The data analysis techniquesConsider the design specificsRange- Replication - RepetitionRan
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1. Introduction to Experimental Design Engineering Experimental Design
Winter 2003
2. Fundamentals of Experimentation Clearly define the objective
What question are you trying to answer? How will you know you are finished?
Choose
the factor(s) of interest - The response to measure,
The data analysis techniques
Consider the design specifics
Range - Replication - Repetition
Randomization - Blocking - Risks
Collect the data
Record all conditions carefully. Will you understand this later?
Analyze the data
Graphs & descriptive statistics first - Hypothesis testing & regression next
Interpret the results
Draw conclusions - Make recommendations
3. Advantages of Designed Experiments Enable data-based decisions
Create understanding of a process and how to control it
Take into account the inherent noise in the system
Provide maximum information for the amount of effort
Detect variable interactions
4. A Designed Experiment Should . . . Meet the objective
Allow for simultaneous study of multiple factors
Cover the region of interest
Obtain maximum information for minimum cost
Be simple to analyze and interpret
Enable the experimenter to
Distinguish important from unimportant factors
Develop a mathematical model
Test for model adequacy
Estimate experimental uncertainty
5. Terminology Controlled variables
X’s - Factors
Treatments - Independent variables
Outputs
Y’s - Responses
Effects - Dependent variables
6. Types of Experimental Designs Factorial
To distinguish important from unimportant X’s
To form limited models
Fractional factorial
To make a preliminary distinction between important and unimportant X’s
Response Surface
To determine the relationship between Y’s and the important X’s (develop a model)
Regression is a way to analyze data from a response-surface experiment
7. Fundamentals of Experimentation Clearly define the objective
What question are you trying to answer? How will you know you are finished?
Choose
the factor(s) of interest - The response to measure,
The data analysis techniques
Consider the design specifics
Range - Replication - Repetition
Randomization - Blocking - Risks
Collect the data
Record all conditions carefully. Will you understand this later?
Analyze the data
Graphs & descriptive statistics first - Hypothesis testing & regression next
Interpret the results
Draw conclusions - Make recommendations
8. Design Specifics - Range Cover the region of interest
Are you in the right flow regime?
Wide enough to see the effect of interest
Will the real change in Y be bigger than the variability in Y?
For regression, remember that model parameters (adjustable parameters, slope & intercept) can be determined more precisely from a wide range of data than from a narrow range
9. Design Specifics - Replication Means coming back to the same conditions at a different time
Allows you to estimate the inherent noise in the process
Allows you to distinguish between a real response and normal variability
Allows you to estimate the overall uncertainty in the experiment
10. Design Specifics - Repetition Provides an estimate of the variability within a given run
Measurement uncertainty
Variations in water pressure, temperature
Provides an opportunity to study the variability in Y for a given X
11. Repetition and Replication
12. Replication and Repetition In practice, in an experimental situation, it can be difficult to achieve true replication.
Do you really want to spend 30 minutes twiddling the valves to get exactly the same flow rate you got yesterday?
How do you decide whether the current conditions are “close enough” to replication?
Consider uncertainty on flow rate.
13. Design Specifics - Randomization An insurance policy
Helps ensure that the effects of unknown, unidentified, or uncontrolled variables do not bias our experiments
Helps ensure the validity of statistical assumptions
14. Design Specifics - Blocking Allows you to see a difference in Y due to one X, in spite of a change in another X
How do you use blocking to see the effect of shell-side flow regime on overall heat transfer coefficient, in spite of the effect of tube-side flow regime on overall heat transfer coefficient?
15. Design Specifics - Risk Not a part of statistics, but something to consider to avoid becoming a statistic
Potential danger to people
Potential danger to property
Potential danger to environment