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BIOENERGY IN BRAZIL CONSUMPTION AND TRADE. Jose Roberto Moreira Brazilian Reference Center on Biomass/IEE/Univ. of Sao Paulo. Biofuel Availability – 2007 View. Significant growth in ethanol/bioelectricity Country will continue to be an ethanol exporter. 2005 2030
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BIOENERGY IN BRAZILCONSUMPTION AND TRADE Jose Roberto Moreira Brazilian Reference Center on Biomass/IEE/Univ. of Sao Paulo
Biofuel Availability – 2007 View • Significant growth in ethanol/bioelectricity • Country will continue to be an ethanol exporter 2005 2030 Planted area (Mha) 5.6 13.9 Sugar cane production (Mt/yr) 431 1140 Area (million ha) Production (Mt/yr) Planted area Cane production Share of biofuels energy in road transport (2008)
Figure 28a: Ethanol production for different scenarios – 2008-2017
EVOLUTION OF AUTO AND LIGHT COMMERCIAL FLEETS IN BRAZIL (OTTO CYCLE) Million of units
Figure 32: Total fuel demand for Otto-cycle light vehicles – 2008-2017
Figure 29 : Potential bioelectricity from sugar cane – Brazil 2008-2020
Figure 30: Forecasted biodiesel consumption – Brazil 2008-2017
Surprising enough is the volume of investments in the oil sector • Such investments surpass electricity investments; very unusual at globe level
Oil Availability - 2011 View • Nevertheless, reserves shown are too small • No reference to available total reserves and resources provided Includes only 3 areas Brazil oil and gas historical reserves Million boe Pre-salt Ultra deep water deep water shallow water Future Land
BEST(BioEthanol for Sustainable Transport) Venues: Rio de Janeiro, RJ; and São Paulo, SP
The City of Sao Paulo Receives the First Bus Fleet of Diesel Engine Busses Running on Ethanol May 25th, 2011 60 busses already sold 10 busses in operation by May 27, 2011 50 busses in operation by June 30, 2011
Emission Limits for diesel engines Euro I NOx (g/kWh) Euro II Euro III Euro V Euro IV 2,0 3,5 5,0 7,0 8,0 Third engine generation MP (g/kWh) Second engine generation Source:SEKAB
Figure 14 Crop specific LUC. Sources of emissions Source: Kiel Institute for the World Economy, 2011
Figure 2: Total emission savings (%) using Monte Carlo simulation results (from Laborde 2011, p. 57) for LUC emission values and EU-RED values for WtW emissions
RE costs are still higher than existing energy prices, but in various settings RE is already competitive. Small scale CHP (steam turbine) Binary cycle plant Domestic pellet heating system Palm oil biodiesel
Figure 18: Charcoal consumption by end-sectors – Brazil 1970-2008