1 / 17

TRENDS IN SELECTIVE ABORTIONS OF GIRLS IN INDIA FROM 1980-2010

TRENDS IN SELECTIVE ABORTIONS OF GIRLS IN INDIA FROM 1980-2010. Centre for Global Health Research (CGHR) Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto prabhat.jha@utoronto.ca Release: Lancet, May 24, 2011 Sources of support: NIH (US); CIHR, IDRC & LKSKI (Canada). CGHR.ORG/GIRLS

carminda
Download Presentation

TRENDS IN SELECTIVE ABORTIONS OF GIRLS IN INDIA FROM 1980-2010

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. TRENDS IN SELECTIVE ABORTIONS OF GIRLS IN INDIA FROM 1980-2010 Centre for Global Health Research (CGHR) Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto prabhat.jha@utoronto.ca Release: Lancet, May 24, 2011 Sources of support: NIH (US); CIHR, IDRC & LKSKI (Canada) CGHR.ORG/GIRLS Twitter: @CGHR_org

  2. Conclusions • Selective abortion of girls has increased in last two decades • Selective abortion more common among the most wealthy, and most educated households • 4.2 to 12.1 million or M girls aborted from 1980-2010 • About 3.1 to 6.0 M in the 2000s (~1/2 of total) • About 1.2 to 4.1 M in the 1990s • About 0 to 2.0 M in the 1980s • Risk of selective abortion of girls is highest in families with a first daughter • Selective abortion of girls is now common all over India

  3. What’s new about this research? • First study documenting recent trends in conditional sex ratios, over 15 years, from 1990 to 2005 • Estimates of the number of selective abortions of girls over the last 3 decades

  4. How as the study done? • Trends in “conditional” sex ratios: • Girls or boys don’t “run” in families: the chances of a second girl or boy do not depend on the gender of firstborns • We studied conditional sex ratios and compared against the West • Used 3 rounds of the National Family Health Survey (NFHS) - a large, national survey which resembles the whole of India: NFHS-1 NFHS-2 NFHS-3 CGHR.ORG/GIRLS Twitter: @CGHR_org

  5. Declines in sex ratio of second born when firstborn was a girl *Red brackets show the natural sex ratio range of 950-975 girls per 1000 boys. CGHR.ORG/GIRLS Twitter: @CGHR_org

  6. Declines in sex ratio of second born when firstborn was a girl, by education No education 10 or more years of education (matric) *Red brackets show the natural sex ratio range of 950-975 girls per 1000 boys. CGHR.ORG/GIRLS Twitter: @CGHR_org

  7. Declines in sex ratio of second born when firstborn was a girl, by wealth *Red brackets show the natural sex ratio range of 950-975 girls per 1000 boys. CGHR.ORG/GIRLS Twitter: @CGHR_org

  8. 4-12 million (M) girls aborted over the last 3 decades Number of aborted girls calculated over last 3 decades using the 1991, 2001 and 2011 Census of India. Census 1991 Census 2001 Census 2011 1980-2010 totals: 4 to 12 M aborted girls 0 to 2.0 M aborted girls 1.2 to 4.1 M aborted girls 3.1 to 6.0 M aborted girls CGHR.ORG/GIRLS Twitter: @CGHR_org

  9. Child sex ratio of girls to boys at ages 0-6 in 2001 and 2011 for the districts of India CGHR.ORG/GIRLS Twitter: @CGHR_org

  10. District-level changes in child sex ratio at ages 0-6, between 2001 to 2011 • More than double the number of Indian districts (n=405) showed decreasing sex ratios, compared to those showing no change or an improvement (n=158) • Every 1% decline in child sex ratio at ages 0-6 years implies 1.2 to 3.6 million more selective abortions of girls CGHR.ORG/GIRLS Twitter: @CGHR_org

  11. Distribution of Indian population living in states with varying child sex ratios 90% of Indians now live in states where the sex ratio is abnormal (i.e. below a natural level of 950-975 females for every 1000 boys) CGHR.ORG/GIRLS Twitter: @CGHR_org

  12. Conclusions • Selective abortion of girls has increased in last two decades • Selective abortion more common among the most wealthy, and most educated households • 4.2 to 12.1 million or M girls aborted from 1980-2010 • About 3.1 to 6.0 M in the 2000s (~1/2 of total) • About 1.2 to 4.1 M in the 1990s • About 0 to 2.0 M in the 1980s • Risk of selective abortion of girls is highest in families with a first daughter • Selective abortion of girls is now common all over India CGHR.ORG/GIRLS Twitter: @CGHR_org

  13. www.cghr.org/girls Twitter: @CGHR_org • Article • Web appendix • Press release (English and Hindi) • - Video press release • FAQs • PowerPoint slides • District-level child sex ratios in 2001 and 2011 in excel format CGHR.ORG/GIRLS Twitter: @CGHR_org

  14. District-level changes in child sex ratio at ages 0-6, between 2001 to 2011 CGHR.ORG/GIRLS Twitter: @CGHR_org

  15. Declines in sex ratio of second born when firstborn was a girl • Sex ratio of the second born, if firstborn was a girl, has fallen during the period of 1990-2005, compared with no change if the firstborn was a boy • This conditional sex ratio fell from 906 in 1990 to 836 in 2005 (natural sex ratio is between 950-975) • INTERPRETATION: Selective abortion of girls has increased over the last two decades CGHR.ORG/GIRLS Twitter: @CGHR_org

  16. Declines in sex ratio of second born when firstborn was a girl, by education • - Sex ratio of the second born, if firstborn was a girl, was lower in families where mother had 10 years or more of education, compared to those with no education • The gap in selective abortion of girls increased over time between these two groups; conditional sex ratios fell for the most educated, but saw no change for those with no education • INTERPRETATION: Selective abortion of girls has increased the most in educated households CGHR.ORG/GIRLS Twitter: @CGHR_org

  17. Declines in sex ratio of second born when firstborn was a girl, by wealth • - Sex ratio of the second born, if firstborn was a girl, was lower for the richest 20% of households, compared to the poorest 20% • This gap widened between 1990-2005; conditional sex ratios fell for the richest 20% of households • INTERPRETATION: Selective abortion of girls has increased most for the richest 20% of households CGHR.ORG/GIRLS Twitter: @CGHR_org

More Related