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Many Ways to Win Kevin Fleming April 26, 2013. education counts. $114,800. $41,473. $63,310. $33,938. USA Median Annual Earnings by Education. $200,000 in debt Earning $36,000/year. education counts. (but skills count more). Human Pie Chart. The Fate of 20 Ninth Graders (CA)
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Many Ways to Win Kevin Fleming April 26, 2013
education counts $114,800 $41,473 $63,310 $33,938
USA Median Annual Earnings by Education $200,000 in debt Earning $36,000/year
education counts (but skills count more)
The Fate of 20 Ninth Graders (CA) 6 drop out (30%) 6 graduate & go to work (30%) 8 Enroll in college (40%) 4 Drop out (20%) 4 Graduate in five years (20%) 2 Take “gray collar” jobs, nationally (10%) 2 Win the one-way-to-win game (10%)
Ventura County: by the numbers (CALPADS, 2010-11) 3.5% drop out annually (9-12th grade: 1,631 total) Appr. 14% of all students dropout during high school
Ventura County: by the numbers (CALPADS, 2010-11) 3.5% drop out annually (9-12th grade: 1,631 total) Appr. 14% of all students dropout during high school Among the 86% that become seniors (11,535) 84% of them graduated high school (9,719)
Ventura County: by the numbers (CALPADS, 2010-11) 3.5% drop out annually (9-12th grade: 1,631 total) Appr. 14% of all students dropout during high school Among the 86% that become seniors (11,535) 84% of them graduated high school (9,719) Among those that graduated, 34.3% of 12th grade graduates completed all courses required for UC and/or CSU entrance
Ventura County: by the numbers (CALPADS, 2010-11) 100% 9th graders - 14% dropouts - 16% non-graduating seniors - 65.7% not university bound 24.78% of 9th graders could directly enroll in university 100% 9th graders - 14% dropouts - 16% non-graduating seniors - 21% not college bound (79.3% postsecondary enrollment) 57.07% of 9th graders eventually enroll in some college
75% of Ventura county 9th graders Don’t play the One-Way-to-Win game
43% of Ventura county 9th graders Do not enroll in postsecondary education…
The Three“Rs” Reading Writing Arithmetic Relevance Reality Five
Most Jobs in the Workplace are Middle Skilled:(e.g. the Health Care Industry) Ratio: 1 to 2 to 7
Not Everyone needs a BA.By 2018, most jobs will not require a BA Source: March CPS data, various years; Center on Education and the Workforce forecast of educational demand to 2018, as reported in Pathways to Prosperity (Harvard, February, 2011)
“The society which scorns excellence in plumbing because plumbing is a humble activity and tolerates shoddiness in philosophy because it is an exalted activity will have neither good plumbing nor good philosophy. Neither its pipes nor its theories will hold water” - John Gardner, 1961
AA/AS recipients$26,800 - $68,000 BA/BS recipients$33,900 - $96,800 Median, 25th Percentile, and 75th Percentile Earnings of Full-Time Year-Round Workers Ages 25 and Older, by Gender and Education Level, 2008 Sources: The College Board, Education Pays 2010, Figure 1.5; U.S. Census Bureau, 2009; calculations by the authors.
The fact is that large numbers of CA college graduates leave school as unsure of what they will do “when they grow up” (except perhaps continue to go to school) as they were when they started.– CA Postsecondary Education Commission
30% of associate degree holders have higher annual earnings as 4-yr grads
College-Prep and CTE are complementary not competing goals . . .
Students in CTE pathways: More likely to complete a-g requirements (50% vs 34%) More likely to pass the CAHSEE (71% vs 55%) Had higher graduation rates (96% vs 87%) Had lower drop out rates Higher postsecondary participation College-Prep and CTE are complementary not competing goals!
Compared to students with similar academic background, ROP students: raised GPAs more rapidly attended college in larger numbers females/minorities earned higher incomes received raises and promotions at a higher rate (UCR, 2007) UC Riverside – ROP Study
Determine the Goal • College? • College and graduation? • College, graduation and commensurate employment?
Thank You! Kevin Fleming www.TelosES.com