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From IPv4 to IPv6… How far have we come? How far to go?

From IPv4 to IPv6… How far have we come? How far to go?. Paul Wilson NRO/APNIC. Overview. Why IPv6? How much IPv4 is left? How much IPv6 is being used? Do we have a problem? What next?. Why IPv6?. Just one reason: More addresses Billions… Trillions… Gazillions…?

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From IPv4 to IPv6… How far have we come? How far to go?

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  1. From IPv4 to IPv6…How far have we come?How far to go? Paul Wilson NRO/APNIC

  2. Overview • Why IPv6? • How much IPv4 is left? • How much IPv6 is being used? • Do we have a problem? • What next?

  3. Why IPv6? • Just one reason: More addresses • Billions… Trillions… Gazillions…? • Suffice to say, “Enough for a long time” • Benefits of ample address supply… • Simpler, faster, cheaper network • No more NAT: “Restore Internet transparency” • Better for everyone • Other benefits of IPv6… • Security, QoS, autoconfiguration, mobility, etc? • All are “built-in” to IPv6 • But they are not new: all available in IPv4

  4. How much IPv4 is left?

  5. How much IPv4 is left? Today Mid-2010

  6. The Transition Plan… Coexistence of IPv4 and IPv6 (“Dual Stack”) Size of the Internet IPv6 Deployment IPv4 Deployment Time

  7. How much IPv6 so far? 900 240,000 120,000 400 IPv4 blocks IPv6 blocks 26,000 800 300 14,000 IPv4 ASNs IPv6 ASNs * Routing table statistics since 2003, from: http://www.potaroo.net

  8. Why not IPv6? (so far) • Internet is now engineered for IPv4+NAT • Many vendors and (de facto) standards • Applications written for NAT • Services built around NAT • Who bears the cost of NAT? • End users pay for their “home gateways/routers” • Application and service developers do the hard work • ISP costs are externalised • And there is no business case to change this • It all seems to work • And nobody is demanding anything different…

  9. A question of demand… Providers Routers Apps Vendors We want X! They want X! The Users End Users Business Government You got it! They got it!

  10. What if it takes longer? • IPv4 will live on • No effect on existing infrastructure • New infrastructure requires addresses • IPv4 address management • Recovery of unused address space • Incentives for higher efficiency of utilisation • Transfers under approved policy framework • NAT will live on • With all its limitations and costs • A question of costs… • Cost of IPv4 vs cost of IPv6 deployment • Business will tend to decide

  11. The Blame Game… • Industry – “Market failure”? • Markets are oblivious to long-term risks when short term priorities override • IETF – “Technical community failure”? • Standards are mostly well developed • But they need “running code” • Governments – “Countries have failed”? • Individual countries can and do influence their own industries and populace

  12. The new plan… Coexistence Size of the Internet IPv4 Deployment IPv6 Deployment Time

  13. In conclusion… • No one has “failed” • IPv6 deployment is happening • All players need to work and act together • Technical standards, implementation by vendors, deployment by operators, use by users • There is no “flag date” for transition • All stakeholders are free to make decisions and demands in accord with their own interests • As elements are in place transition will progress • Best advice: sooner rather than later • Start the planning process now

  14. From IPv4 to IPv6… NRO perspectives Paul Wilson APNIC

  15. IPv6 – Global allocations by RIR Asia Pacific Europe North America Latin America Africa Unit: IPv6 prefix

  16. IPv4 – RIR activities • Research and publication • Statistics and other reporting • Outreach and educational activities • Information will support informed outcomes • IPv4 management policies • Policy discussions, panels, roundtables • Informed debates • Global policies regarding IANA allocations • Regional open policy processes • Voluntary restraint • RIR agreement on IANA allocation process

  17. IPv6 – RIR activities • Promotion, Training and education • Support for events including IPv6 Summits • Special sessions during policy meetings • Workshops, eLearning and online information • Case-studies, factsheets, operator experiences • IPv6 management policies • Well established since 1999 • Regular review - Open policy processes • No barriers • Streamlined application processes • Fees waived or cross-subsidised

  18. RIR Statements • AfriNIC board: “resolves that efforts [supporting] IPv6 be intensified, and instructs the staff to take appropriate action” • APNIC community: “focus our efforts towards comprehensive deployment of IPv6 in the Asia Pacific region.” • ARIN board: “advises the Internet community that migration to IPv6 numbering resources is necessary” • LACNIC CEO: “recommend preparing regional networks as soon as possible for using IPv6” • RIPE-NCC community: “recognise that the widespread deployment of IPv6 will be essential to sustain future growth of the Internet.”

  19. Thanks Paul Wilson pwilson@apnic.net

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