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This article explores the significance of Javakhq and the potential consequences of de-Armenization. It discusses the history of Meskhetian Turks in Javakhq, their deportation by Stalin in 1944, and the Georgian government's obligation to repatriate them by 2016. The article raises the question of who would be the new settlers if de-Armenization succeeds, with the answer being Meskhetian Turks. It also examines the consequences of de-Armenization, including the land link between Turkey and Azerbaijan, the blockade of Armenia, and the potential assimilation of the Armenian population. The article concludes by discussing transportation projects and the role of Javakhq in Armenia's export routes.
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Meskhetian Turks • Meskhetian Turks lived in Javakhq
Meskhetian Turks • Meskhetian Turks lived in Javakhq • In 1944, Stalin deports Meskhetian Turks.
Meskhetian Turks • Meskhetian Turks lived in Javakhq • In 1944, Stalin deports Meskhetian Turks • In 1999, Georgian government obliges to repatriate Meskhetian Turks by 2016, now numbering 200,000
Question: If de-Armenization of Javakhq succeeds, who will be the new settlers?
Question If de-Armenization of Javakhq succeeds, who will be the new settlers? Answer Meskhetian Turks
Consequences • Land link between Turkey and Azerbaijan • Complete encirclement and blockade of Armenia by a Turkish element • Armenia ceases to be a viable state and becomes an “Armenian reservation” • The population of Armenia emigrates and, eventually, becomes assimilated • Final stage of the Genocide is complete
2. Transportation Corridor Export Route Transportation Projects
“Armenian” Javakhq • Guarantee of Armenia’s open communication routes to the outside world • Serious restrain on Tbilisi from deepening its strategic partnership with Turkey and Azerbaijan
Transportation Projects • Baku – Tbilisi – Ceyhan (BTC) oil pipeline • Baku – Tbilisi – Erzerum (BTE) gas pipeline • Kars – Alhalkalak – Tbilisi -Baku (KATB) railroad • Kars – Alhalkalak – Tbilisi - Baku highway (planned)
BTC/BTE Pipeline Route BTC/BTE are Azerbaijan’s primary source of income
KATB Railroad Route Akhalkalak To Baku Gyumri Kars
KATB Railroad Goals • Connect Turkey and Azerbaijan (Turkish control), bypassing the Kars - Gyumri railroad (Armenian control) • Isolate Armenia and strengthen its blockade • Increase flow of Turks and Georgians into Javakhq (service personnel and security forces) to push out the Armenian population
Solution • Support and assist local Armenians so they remain in Javakhq • By not emigrating, they will continue constituting majority population • Republic of Armenia will continue to assert control over Javakhq and all its transportation routes • Armenia’s control over regional transportation corridors increases its influence in the region