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Rural coping strategies to natural disasters: Household responses to hurricane Mitch in Nicaragua

Rural coping strategies to natural disasters: Household responses to hurricane Mitch in Nicaragua. Marrit van den Berg, Development Economics Group. Research project: Natural hazards, poverty traps, and adaptive livelihoods in Nicaragua, 2005-2008 ( funded by NWO).

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Rural coping strategies to natural disasters: Household responses to hurricane Mitch in Nicaragua

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  1. Rural coping strategies to natural disasters: Household responses to hurricane Mitch in Nicaragua Marrit van den Berg, Development Economics Group

  2. Research project: Natural hazards, poverty traps, and adaptive livelihoods in Nicaragua, 2005-2008 (funded by NWO) • LSMS survey 1998-1999-2001-(2003?) • Own data to be collected

  3. Utility L2 U*H Dynamic Asset Poverty Line Income Poverty Line L1 x U*L Static Asset Poverty Line Assets Ab Aa A*1 A* AS A A*2 Poverty Trap At=A0 (dynamic equilibrium) Next Period’s Assets Shocks and poverty

  4. Natural Hazards in Nicaragua Table 1. Descriptive figures per disaster type, Nicaragua (yearly averages for 1980-2000).

  5. Hurricane Mitch, October 26-27, 1998

  6. Aggregate effects • Intense rains: floods, strong currents, landslides • Effects magnified by deforestation, intensive land use & human settlements on hillsides, riverbanks & lakeshores • 19% of population affected • 867,000 people homeless (end of Nov: 65,000) • 3,045 dead, 287 wounded, nearly 1,000 missing • Rural areas: lands left unusable, roads and bridges destroyed • Total cost of US$ 988 million (45 % of GDP) • Damage to productive sectors 34%, mostly to agriculture

  7. Mitch and food production

  8. Prices of staple crops

  9. Rural support programs • Stimulation of apante production • WFP • 2/3 Food for Work (housing, infrastructure, farms) • 1/3 Vulnerable groups (women and children) • ..

  10. Pre- and post-Mitch rural poverty ( HCI, % )

  11. Household effects: reported losses (N=393)

  12. Consumption change 1999-1998

  13. Institutional support in Mitch-affected areas Note: a Up two three answers allowed.

  14. Coping mechanisms for 98-99 shocks to agriculture Note: a Up two three answers allowed.

  15. Methodological considerations • Focus on income-generating capacity: assets • Physical, natural, human, social, financial • Asset vs income shocks • Assets as coping mechanism • Analysis at different scales

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