310 likes | 453 Views
Sailing Throug h Rough Seas: A Cambodia Investor’s Perspective. Asia Economic Forum April 7, 2009. confidential. Global Investment Backdrop. Risk Aversion Darwinism / Upheaval Worst or best of times Opportunities in Crisis. 2. Leopard Capital, LP. confidential. The World Economy.
E N D
Sailing Through Rough Seas:A Cambodia Investor’s Perspective Asia Economic Forum April 7, 2009 confidential
Global Investment Backdrop • Risk Aversion • Darwinism / Upheaval • Worst or best of times • Opportunities in Crisis 2 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
The World Economy • Building on fire • Most developed – top floors • Least developed – bottom floors 3 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Asia’sSituation 4 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Copingwith the Credit Crunch Domestic Credit to GDP (2007) Source: ADB Korea Malaysia Vietnam Thailand Cambodia confidential Leopard Capital, LP
The Situation • Catch-up opportunity for LDCs – to take bigger slice of smaller pie • Improve internal policies • Reduce inefficiencies, barriers, and unofficial costs • Bypass export sectors that are overinvested 6 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Investment Backdrop • Next Cycle’s Winners: • Unused Resources vs. Population size • . • . • . • . 7 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Cambodia’s Commodities Endowment • Crops: Rice, Cassava, Corn, Soybeans, Sugar • Trees: Rubber, Palm, Fruit, Teak, Acacia, Cashew • Energy: Oil, Gas, Coal • Mining: Gold, Bauxite, Nickel, Zinc, Copper, Lead, Iron • Water: Irrigation, Hydropower • Meat potential • Aquaculture potential 8 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Investment Backdrop 9 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Investment Backdrop • Next Cycle’s Winners: • Unused resources vs. Population size • Sustainable energy policy • . • . • . 10 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Investment Backdrop • Next Cycle’s Winners: • Unused resources vs. Population size • Sustainable energy policy • . • . • . 11 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Electrification 12 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Investment Backdrop • Next Cycle’s Winners: • Significant resources vs. Population size • Sustainable energy policy • Favorable Demographics • . 13 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Differing Challenges Ahead Population Age Pyramid Comparison confidential Cambodia: Investing in Modernization
Investment Backdrop • Next Cycle’s Winners: • Significant resources vs. Population size • Sustainable energy policy • Favorable Demographics • Political and Policy Stability 15 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Assessing Risks Now 2007 and 2008 (Source: Political & Economic Risk Consultancy Ltd.) confidential Cambodia: Investing in Modernization
Investment Backdrop • Next Cycle’s Winners: • Significant resources vs. Population size • Sustainable energy policy • Favorable Demographics • Political and Policy Stability • Sufficient Infrastructure 17 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Cambodia’s Improving Infrastructure • Sea Port upgraded, new ports coming • International Airports (3) • Roads and bridges • Railroads • Electricity • Wireless Network • Internet fiber backbone confidential Leopard Capital, LP
Investment Backdrop • Next Cycle’s Winners: • Significant resources vs. Population size • Sustainable energy policy • Favorable Demographics • Political and Policy Stability • Sufficient Infrastructure • Pro-investment policies and low taxes 19 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Tax Comparison 20 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
CountercyclicalInvestment Opportunities • Tourism Development (beyond Siem Reap) • . • . • . • . 21 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Tourism Development Opportunity 22 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Countercyclical Investment Opportunities • Tourism Development (beyond Siem Reap) • Rural Banking • . • . • . 23 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Banking Opportunity Bank loans to GDP (2007) Source: ADB Korea Malaysia Vietnam Thailand Cambodia confidential Leopard Capital, LP
Countercyclical Investment Opportunities • Tourism Development (beyond Siem Reap) • Rural Banking • Wireless Communications for the poor • . • . 25 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Communications Opportunity 26 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Countercyclical Investment Opportunities • Tourism Development (beyond Siem Reap) • Rural Banking • Wireless Communications for the poor • “Off-grid” Renewable Power • . 27 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Electrification Opportunity 28 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Countercyclical Investment Opportunities • Tourism Development (beyond Siem Reap) • Rural Banking • Wireless Communications for the poor • “Off-grid” Renewable Power • Affordable Housing 29 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Property Development Opportunity 30 Leopard Capital, LP confidential
Opportunity for Cambodia • Retool the Economy • Create Tourism Paradise • Add Value to Natural Resources • Champion emerging global themes: • Renewable / Sustainable • Safe / Organic • Fair / Equitable • Import Substitution 31 Leopard Capital, LP confidential