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Interpretation of outputs

Interpretation of outputs. Health and Social Care Modelling Group University of Westminster, London. Outline. Following the sequence of FLoSC reports LoS – General Info LoS – Summary Info LoS – Fitted Results Cost – General Info Cost – Forecast Result LoS – Technical Info.

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Interpretation of outputs

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  1. Interpretation of outputs Health and Social Care Modelling Group University of Westminster, London

  2. Outline Following the sequence of FLoSC reports • LoS – General Info • LoS – Summary Info • LoS – Fitted Results • Cost – General Info • Cost – Forecast Result • LoS – Technical Info

  3. FLoSC: Report - LoS – General Info • First FLoSC summarises the data, after some basic cleansing • FLoSC deletes records of patients moving from NC to RC

  4. FLoSC: Report - LoS – Summary Info (1) • FLoSC provides a summary frequency table

  5. FLoSC: Report - LoS – Summary Info (2) • FLoSC provides summary statistics on length-of-stay (mean, standard deviation, etc), stratified by type of care and by gender

  6. FLoSC: Report - LoS – Summary Info (3) • Histograms (should) confirm the “exponential” shape of the LoS distribution • The time labels are actually interval mid-points

  7. FLoSC: Report - LoS – Summary Info (4) • The table at the bottom summarises the movement of residents

  8. FLoSC: Report - LoS – Fitted Results (1) • More homogeneous group in RC than in NC • High mortality in the first few months in NC • Once past the early phase in NC, residents “behave” like in RC

  9. FLoSC: Report - LoS – Fitted Results (2) • Very good fit to data • Exponential shape

  10. FLoSC: Report - LoS – Fitted Results (3) • Very good fit to data • “Exponential” shape • Much sharper early decline captured by the mixture of two exponentials

  11. FLoSC: Report - Cost – General Info (1) First FLoSC summarises the number of residents in the care system (RC and NC) on the last date of the data availability period (7 Sep 2007)

  12. FLoSC: Report - Cost – General Info (2) FLoSC provides other LoS statistics on those in care at the last date of the data availability period

  13. FLoSC: Report – Cost – Forecast Result (1) • First FLoSC summarises your cost input data

  14. FLoSC: Report – Cost – Forecast Result (2) • Predict cost of known commitments quarterly • Known commitment: residents already in system Costs amount to nearly £7.5m to the end of the current financial year (1 Apr 2008), and almost £11m for the following financial year

  15. FLoSC: Report – Cost – Forecast Result (3) • Costs are also broken down by type of care

  16. FLoSC: Report - LoS – Technical Info These are the parameters used to derive information on residents’ movements and costs forecasts

  17. THANK YOU Questions? And then to the FAQs

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