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Where are we going?. Putting the trends together. Thinking Strategically. First we have to identify the TRENDS That is, identify the main PROCESSES OF CHANGE observable today Then, once we are satisfied that we have done that, we can PROJECT them into the future And see where they take us.
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Where are we going? Putting the trends together
Thinking Strategically • First we have to identify the TRENDS • That is, identify the main PROCESSES OF CHANGE observable today • Then, once we are satisfied that we have done that, we can PROJECT them into the future • And see where they take us
Isn’t this what we’ve done? The sign of a true scholar is not that he has all the answers But, that he knows what are the questions • Yes, but we also have to put it TOGETHER because no process works in isolation • The true scholar is one who can think across the boundaries of knowledge.
So, what are the TRENDS? • Demographic • Technological (encompasses everything?) • Medical • Geopolitical • Cultural, Spiritual and Social • Environmental
1. Demographic Changing U.S. Demographics by Age Group
Entirely new forms of communication Nanotechnology Technology High-Frequency Gravitational Waves open up the prospect for extremely high bandwidth, nanoscale transceivers, whose signals pass through all material things unattenuated and can, for example, reach deeply submerged submarines – the ultimate wireless "point-to-multipoint QHz communicationwithout the need for expensive enabling infrastructure, that is, no need for fiber-optic cable, satellite transponders, microwave relays, etc. Antennas, cables, and phone lines would be a thing of the past !" New Sources of Energy
Frontiers of the Mind • Quantum Physics could change our entire view of time, space, logic—everything. If it does, then we have to rethink everything since time began!
Medical • Just as Quantum Physics could change our entire understanding of matter, DNA and genetic engineering could change our entire concept of medicine • It would go from curative/preventive to regenerative—grow your own organs Brigitte Boisselier, scientific director of Clonaid, said the first cloned human baby was born Thursday.
Grow Your Own Stem cells are the key to a whole new field of medicine.
Geopolitics • How will the world of the future look different?
Geopolitics • First, the global economy will drive everything, and the regional economies will be a natural reaction.
Geopolitics • What will be our relations with the rising giant of Asia? • Or with Russia? ?
Cultural, Spiritual, Social. • Rise of Religious Right, and Values as key issues in the political process. • Convergence or divergence of science and theology. • Growth of Multi-Ethnic Society
Environmental • Main feature here is climate change, and whether we believe it, and want to do anything about it.
Sovereignty • There will be a lot of pressure on us to “act globally” and that will raise the issue of national sovereignty. • The US could end up much more out-0f-line than it is now.