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Financial Leverage and Capital Structure Policy Chapter 16. Capital restructuring involves changing the amount of leverage a firm has without changing the firm’s assets Can using more debt or more equity influence firm value, holding assets constant?
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Financial Leverage and Capital Structure PolicyChapter 16 • Capital restructuring involves changing the amount of leverage a firm has without changing the firm’s assets • Can using more debt or more equity influence firm value, holding assets constant? • The firm can increase leverageby issuing debt and repurchasing outstanding shares • The firm can decrease leverageby issuing new shares and retiring outstanding debt
Choosing a Capital Structure • What is the primary goal of financial managers? • To maximize stockholder wealth • We want to choose the capital structure that will maximize stockholder wealth • We can maximize stockholder wealth by: • maximizing the value of the firm, or • by minimizing the WACC
The Effect of Leverage • How does leverage affect the EPS and ROE of a firm? • When we increase the amount of debt financing, we increase the fixed interest expense • If we have a really good year, then we pay our fixed cost and we have more left over for our stockholders • If we have a really bad year, we still have to pay our fixed costs and we have less left over for our stockholders • Leverage amplifies the variation in both EPS and ROE
Current Proposed has debt Assets $5,000,000 $5,000,000 Debt $0 $2,500,000 Equity $5,000,000 $2,500,000 Debt/Equity Ratio 0 1 Share Price $10 $10 Shares Outstanding 500,000 250,000 Interest rate N/A 10% Current is ALL EQUITY
Leverage affects ROE & EPS • We will ignore the effect of taxes at this stage • What happens to EPS and ROE when we issue debt and buy back shares of stock? Proposed Capital Structure: Debt = $2.5 million @10% Recession Expected Expansion EBIT $300,000 $650,000 $1,000,000 Interest 250,000 250,000 250,000 Net Income $50,000 $400,000 $750,000 ROE 2% 16% 30% EPS $0.20 $1.60 $3.00
Notice higher variability in ROE • Current: ROE ranges from 6% to 20% • Proposed: ROE ranges from 2% to 30% • Notice higher variability in EPS • Current: EPS ranges from $0.60 to $2.00 • Proposed: EPS ranges from $0.20 to $3.00 • The variability in both ROE and EPS increases when financial leverage is increased
Break-Even EBIT • Find EBIT where EPS is the same under both the current and proposed capital structures • If we expect EBIT to be greater than the break-even point, then leverage is beneficial to our stockholders • If we expect EBIT to be less than the break-even point, then leverage is detrimental to our stockholders • ALL EQUITY: EPS = EBIT / # shares • With Debt : EPS = (EBIT – Interest) / revised # of shares
Current Capital Structure Investor borrows $500 and uses $500 of her own to buy 100 shares of stock Payoffs: Recession: 100(0.60) - .1(500) = $10 Expected: 100(1.30) - .1(500) = $80 Expansion: 100(2.00) - .1(500) = $150 Mirrors the payoffs from purchasing 50 shares from the firm under the proposed capital structure Proposed Capital Structure Investor buys $250 worth of stock (25 shares) and $250 worth of bonds paying 10%. Payoffs: Recession: 25(.20) + .1(250) = $30 Expected: 25(1.60) + .1(250) = $65 Expansion: 25(3.00) + .1(250) = $100 Mirrors the payoffs from purchasing 50 shares under the current capital structure Homemade Leverage and ROE
Capital Structure Theory Modigliani and Miller’s Theory of Capital Structure • Proposition I – firm value • Proposition II – WACC • The value of the firm is determined by the cash flows to the firm and the risk of the assets • Changing firm value • Change the risk of the cash flows • Change the cash flows Franco Modigliani
Capital Structure Theory Under Three Special Cases Case I – Assumptions • No corporate or personal taxes • No bankruptcy costs Case II – Assumptions • Corporate taxes, but no personal taxes • No bankruptcy costs Case III – Assumptions • Corporate taxes, but no personal taxes • Bankruptcy costs exist
M&M Case I – Propositions I and II Proposition I on firm Value • The value of the firm is NOT affected by changes in the capital structure • The cash flows of the firm do not change; therefore, value doesn’t change Proposition II on WACC • The WACC of the firm is NOT affected by capital structure It just doesn’t matter how we divide our cash flows between our stockholders and bondholders, the cash flow of the firm doesn’t change. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-TogGxzlfhM
The Pie Model of a Firm’s Financing • Figure 16.2
M&M Case I – Equations • WACC = (E/V)RE + (D/V)RDNote: no taxes • Also RE = RA + (RA – RD)(D/E) (p. 530) • Substitute RE in #2 into #1. • Hence, WACC = RA • RA is the “cost” of the firm’s business risk, i.e., the risk of the firm’s assets • (RA – RD)(D/E) is the “cost” of the firm’s financial risk, i.e., the additional return required by stockholders to compensate for the risk of leverage
Example (Case I) Data • Required return on assets = 16%, cost of debt = 10%; percent of debt = 45% • What is the cost of equity? • RE = 16 + (16 - 10)(.45/.55) = 20.91% • Suppose instead that the cost of equity is 25%, what is the debt-to-equity ratio? • 25 = 16 + (16 - 10)(D/E) • D/E = (25 - 16) / (16 - 10) = 1.5 • Based on this information, what is the percent of equityin the firm? • E/V = 1 / 2.5 = 40%
Case II– M&M with Corporate Taxes • Interest is tax deductible • Therefore, when a firm adds debt, it reduces taxes, all else equal • The reduction in taxes increases the cash flow of the firm • How should an increase in cash flows affect the value of the firm?
Case II - Example Higher by 105→ The levered firm has 6,250 in 8% debt, so the interest expense = .08(6,250) = 500
Interest Tax Shield = DTc • Annual interest tax shield • Tax rate times interest payment • 6,250 in 8% debt = 500 in interest expense • Annual tax shield = .21(500) = 105 • Present value of annual interest tax shield • Assume perpetual debt for simplicity • PV = 105 / .08 = 1,312.50 • PV = D(RD)(TC) / RD = DTC = 6,250(.21) = 1,312.50
M&M Case II – Proposition I • The value of the firm increases by the present value of the annual interest tax shield • Value of a levered firm = value of an unlevered firm + PV of interest tax shield • Value of equity = Value of the firm – Value of debt (What goes to the equity holders) • Assuming perpetual cash flows • VU = EBIT(1-T) / RU • VL = VU + DTC
Example: Case II – Proposition I • Data • EBIT = 25 million; Tax rate = 21%; Debt = $75 million; Cost of debt = 9%; Unlevered cost of capital = 12% • VU = 25(1-.21) / .12 = $164.5833 million • VL = 164.5833 + 75(.21) = $180.333 million • E = 180.3333 – 75 = $105.3333 million • So, D/E = 75 / 105.3333 ≈.712
M&M Case II – Proposition II • The WACC decreases as D/E increases because of the government subsidy on interest payments • RA = (E/V)RE + (D/V)(RD)(1-TC) • RE = RU + (RU – RD)(D/E)(1-TC) • Example • RE = 12 + (12-9)(75/105.33)(1-.21) = 13.69% • RA = (105.33/180.33)(13.69) + (75/180.58)(9)* (1- .21) =RA= 10.95%
Example: Case II – Proposition II • Suppose that the firm changes its capital structure so that the debt-to-equity ratio becomes 1, or 50:50 Debt & Equity. • What will happen to the cost of equity under the new capital structure? • RE = 12 + (12 - 9)(1)(1-.21) = 14.37% • What will happen to the weighted average cost of capital? • RA = .5(14.37) + .5(9)(1-.21) = 10.74%, which is less than 10.95% with lower debt.
M&M Case IIIwith Bankruptcy Costs • Now we add bankruptcy costs • 100% equity firm has no bankruptcy costs • As the D/E ratio increases, the probability of bankruptcy increases • This increased probability will increase the expected bankruptcy costs • At some point, the additional value of the interest tax shield will be offset by the increase in expected bankruptcy cost • At this point, the value of the firm will start to decrease and the WACC will start to increase as more debt is added
What are Bankruptcy Costs? • Direct costs • Legal and administrative costs • Ultimately cause bondholders to incur additional losses • Disincentive to debt financing • Financial distress • Significant problems in meeting debt obligations • Most firms that experience financial distress do not ultimately file for bankruptcy
Indirect bankruptcy costs • Larger than direct costs, but more difficult to measure and estimate • Stockholders want to avoid a formal bankruptcy filing • Bondholders want to keep existing assets intact so they can at least receive that money • Assets lose value as management spends time worrying about avoiding bankruptcy instead of running the business • The firm may also lose sales, experience interrupted operations and lose valuable employees
Figure 16.6 Page 536
Conclusions on Capital Structure • Case I– no taxes or bankruptcy costs • No optimal capital structure • Case II– w/ corporate taxes but no bankruptcy costs • Optimal capital structure is almost 100% debt • Each additional dollar of debt increases the cash flow of the firm • Case III– w/ corporate taxes and bankruptcy costs • Optimal capital structure is part debt and part equity • Occurs where the benefit from an additional dollar of debt is just offset by the increase in expected bankruptcy costs
Managerial Recommendations • The tax benefit is only important if the firm has a large tax liability • Risk of financial distress • The greater the risk of financial distress, the less debt will be optimal for the firm • The cost of financial distress varies across firms and industries and as a manager you need to understand the cost for your industry
The Value of the Firm Value of the firm = marketed claims + nonmarketed claims • Marketed claims are the claims of stockholders and bondholders • Nonmarketed claims are the claims of the government and other potential stakeholders • The overall value of the firm is unaffected by changes in capital structure • The division of value between marketed claims and nonmarketed claims may be impacted by capital structure decisions
The Extended Pie Model • Here the total value stays constant, but the relative shares change as capital structure changes.
THE PECKING ORDERTheory Firms want to use internal rather than external sources of funds. If so, 3 implications: • No target capital structure: A firm’s capital structure is determined by its needs for external financing. • Profitable firms use less debt: Profitable firms have greater internal cash flow so they need less external financing • Companies will want financial slack: To avoid selling new equity, companies will want to stockpile internally generated cash. Such a cash reserve is known as financial slack
Observed Capital Structure • Capital structure does differ by industries • Differences according to Cost of Capital by Ibbotson Associates, Inc. • Lowest levels of debt • Drugs with 6.38% debt • Paper and computers with 10.24 – 10.68% debt • Highest levels of debt • Airlines with 64.22% debt • Electric utilities with 49.03% debt
Bankruptcy Language • Business failure – business has terminated with a loss to creditors • Legal bankruptcy – petition federal court for bankruptcy • Technical insolvency – firm is unable to meet debt obligations (workout) • Accounting insolvency – book value of equity is negative
Bankruptcy Process Liquidation • Chapter 7 of the Federal Bankruptcy Reform Act of 1978 • Trustee takes over assets, sells them and distributes the proceeds according to the absolute priority rule Reorganization • Chapter 11 of the Federal Bankruptcy Reform Act of 1978 • Restructure the corporation with a provision to repay creditors There is also a Chapter 13 for personal bankruptcy, which we don’t cover.
Problem • Assuming perpetual cash flows in Case II Proposition I, what is the value of equity for a firm with EBIT = $50 million, Tax rate = 21%, Debt = $100 million, cost of debt = 9%, and unlevered cost of capital = 12%? • VU = $50 million (1 - .21) / .12 = $329.17 million • VL = $329.17 million + $100 million (.21) = $350.17 million • E = VL – Debt = $350.15 million - $100 million = $250.17 million
Results from this problemrelating to capital structure • If you owned the whole firm with no debt, it is worth $329 million. • If you ask your firm to borrow $100 million, the firm is worth $350 million. • You just made a cool $21 million!