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THE MODULAR MODELING SYSTEM (MMS) and PRMS

THE MODULAR MODELING SYSTEM (MMS) and PRMS. Tools for the development, application, and analysis of hydrologic and ecosystem models. Other components and class summary. Forecast Methodologies in MMS. Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (ESP) Atmospheric Model Outputs

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THE MODULAR MODELING SYSTEM (MMS) and PRMS

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  1. THE MODULAR MODELING SYSTEM (MMS) and PRMS Tools for the development, application, and analysis of hydrologic and ecosystem models Other components and class summary

  2. Forecast Methodologies in MMS Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (ESP) Atmospheric Model Outputs Statistical Downscaling Dynamical Downscaling

  3. MMS ESP Tool All Computed Traces using 1975 - 1998

  4. MMS ESP Tool Manager selected 10, 50, and 90 % probability of occurrence

  5. Developing New or Enhancing Existing Process-Model Concepts

  6. WETLANDSMODELINGAPPROACHES

  7. DEPRESSION STORAGE ESTIMATION (BY HRU)USING THE GIS WEASEL(AREA & VOLUME)

  8. FLOW P ET GW FLOW S STORAGE HRU WETLANDS HYDROLOGY (1) OPEN WETLAND CLOSED WETLAND

  9. SURFACE RUNOFF P P ET ET SUBSURFACE FLOW GW FLOW WETLANDS HYDROLOGY (2) UPLAND WETLAND UPLAND WETLAND STORAGE

  10. WETLANDS MODEL ADD MODULE TO PRMS STRUCTURE wetlands

  11. PRMS, MODFLOW, DAFLOW Unsaturated Zone Unsaturated Zone Model (Niswonger and Prudic, 2003, WRR) Streamflow

  12. Modified PRMS Remove soil2gw_max

  13. Modified MMS-PRMS Application Applied at HRU scale Applied at HRU scale ssr2gwr Replaced with Modflow Modflow T, S

  14. PRMS With Multiple HRU/SSRs, and MODFLOW } Surface Runoff Sub-Surface Runoff Streamflow Ground Water Runoff

  15. HRU/GW Cells

  16. DEM/Branch

  17. Branch/GW Cells

  18. Nodes

  19. Nodes to GW Cells

  20. HRUs to Flowplanes to Nodes

  21. MMS Model & Modules: PRMS/MODFLOW/DAFLOW MMS model xprms_mf96_daf includes the following modules: • all basic PRMS modules: precipitation, temperature, solar radiation, interception, ET, snowpack, soil moisture, precipitation excess, infiltration, and interflow • mf_ssr2cell: maps recharge from PRMS HRUs to MODFLOW cells • daf_hru2node: maps precipitation excess and interflow to DAFLOW stream nodes • mf96_daf: runs MODFLOW and DAFLOW iterating on stream stage and cell head • mf962prms: maps MODFLOW, DAFLOW and PRMS output variables consistent names and unit for water balance, reports, and plotting

  22. MMS Model & Modules: PRMS/MODFLOW/DAFLOW

  23. Test Basin: Sagehen Creek

  24. Results from MMSPRMS / MODFLOW / DAFLOW 3 1 4 2

  25. Results from MMSPRMS / MODFLOW / DAFLOW SW to GW Flux Flux ’97 New Years Flood

  26. Results from MMSPRMS / MODFLOW / DAFLOW Site 2 Stream Stage GW Head Site 1 Stream Stage GW Head

  27. Results from MMSPRMS / MODFLOW / DAFLOW Stream Stage GW Head Site 4 GW Head Site 3 Stream Stage

  28. Results from MMSPRMS / MODFLOW / DAFLOW Observed & Predicted Streamflow Site 1 Iterations & Convergence

  29. Future MMS Development:PRMS / MODFLOW / DAFLOW • MODFLOW / SWAT integration in MMS • Add an unsaturated zone module (replace the sub-surface modules) • Simulate soil moisture / infiltration / gw head feedback (replace the soil moisture module) • Add chemistry / transport modules • Add ecosystems modules

  30. Water Quality and Ecosystem Components

  31. PRMS_ISO R_snpk 18O Pools R_sm R_ssr R_gw

  32. PRMS_ISO R_precip 18O Fluxes R_smelt R_sroff R_sm2ssr R_sm2gw R_ssflow R_ssr2gw R_gwflow R_strflow

  33. Sleepers River, Vermont Trout Lake, Wisconsin Panola Mountain, Georgia Loch Vale, Colorado Luquillo, Puerto Rico WATER, ENERGY, AND BIOGEOCHEMICAL BUDGETS (WEBB) PROGRAM

  34. TOP_PRMS PRMS National Weather Service - Hydro17 TOPMODEL

  35. WEBB Program

  36. WEBB Program

  37. Tracers and Flow Paths

  38. Coupled xtop_prms and PHREEQC

  39. Water Quality and Ecosystem Components • Coupled PRMS and Root Zone Water Quality Model (RZWQM) • ARS, NRCS • SWAT – MODFLOW modules • Chinese Academy Sciences, Kansas GS • Vegetation growth and succession modules • WRD, BRD, GD, NMD • Isotopes • International Atomic Energy Agency

  40. USGS National Water Quality Asssessment Program (NAWQA) An Objective – Increase the use of models for improving our understanding of the causes and effects of water quality Recommend - “ NAWQA attempt to merge development in watershed based water quality models with the current Modular Modeling System.” National Research Council Report (2002) Opportunities to Improve the U.S. Geological Survey National Water Quality Assessment Program

  41. Future Directions • Framework design • Additional water quality and ecosystem components • Expanded DSS capabilities and applications • Parameter optimization, sensitivity, and uncertainty toolbox

  42. INTEGRATED SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT Collaborative effort to integrate the Object Modeling System (OMS) and the Modular Modeling System (MMS) • US Geological Survey • Friedrich Schiller University, Jena, Germany • US Agricultural Research Service (ARS) • US Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS)

  43. OMS Platform & Extensions Extension Modules Java Compiler XML Testing C++ Other… ModelCore ModelBuilder RZWQM PRMS Database Netbeans IDE, Sun Forte,… OMS Platform “Branding” NetBeans Platform

  44. OMS Integration and Support Field Offices ITC OMS Central Support Research Units Lighthouse Lighthouse AppServer/ Infrastructure • OMS Development & Maintenance • OMS Dev Deployment • OMS RT Deployment • Implementation • Training • Peer review, Verification, Approval • Component development • Science Data Gateway Production Dictionary Dict ITC Web Farm OMS Runtime Cluster Dict OMS Appserver Review Approval Staging Testing OMS RT Portal Research Dictionary OMS RT OMS RT RT Deployment NRCS RT OMS OMS Central Support Dict Development System Deployment Model Deployment Portal DB UDDI Registry E-FOTG Proposed multi-agency group Data warehouse Portal technology for Data access Model invocation Directory of simulation services

  45. Resource Analysis Tools • RUSLE2 • WEPS • Nutrient Management • Pesticide Screening • Phosphorus Index PS2 Crop Growth 1 Crop Growth 1a PS 1 PS1 Crop Growth 1 E-FOTG Catalog Hydrology 1 Hydrology 2 Hydrology 2 Erosion Leaching 1 Wind OMS Deployment at NRCS Lighthouse Portal Custom User Profile My.NRCS NRCS Technical Toolbox Ortho Resource Setting Smartech (E-FOTG) Plant Conservation Practices Conservation Planning Climate Resource Information RUSLE2 Soil Hydrology 1 Hydrology 2 Erosion Crop Growth 1 Crop Growth 2 PS 1 Data Warehouses Wind PS2 Climate Generator Crop Growth 1a Crop Nutrient Uptake Leaching 1 Leaching 2 Net Present Value Object Modeling System (OMS)

  46. Adaptive Parameterization UI Delineation and parameterization of response units:

  47. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) Army Corp of Engineers (COE) US Geological Survey (USGS) NOAA U.S. MULTI-AGENCY MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING Facilitates cooperation in R&D of multi-media environmental models, frameworks, and databases for use in human and environmental health risk assessment • Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) • Department of Energy (DOE) • US Agricultural Research Service (ARS) • Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS)

  48. Visualization GeoViewer OUI ESRI IMS A P I Environmental Model Framework OMS MMS Frames DIAS MIMS GIS Data: ESRI Shapefiles ESRI Geodatabase OGC Feature Server OGC Coverage Server GEOLEM Geographic Feature Business Logic/ MetaData Models SEEMS RZWQM PRMS … GIS Processing: ESRI ArcGIS OGC Feature Server OGC Coverage Server A P I A P I GEOLEM: GeoSpatial Object Library for Environmental Modeling

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