1 / 30

Dr Simone Allin School of Architecture, Design and the Built Environment

Coping With City Shrinkage: A Critical Review of Housing Market and Urban Development Policies in the City of Erfurt (Germany) 2001 – 2011. Dr Simone Allin School of Architecture, Design and the Built Environment Property Management and Development Group. Eisenhüttenstadt/Stalinstadt 2010.

clea
Download Presentation

Dr Simone Allin School of Architecture, Design and the Built Environment

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Coping With City Shrinkage:A Critical Review of Housing Market and Urban Development Policiesin the City of Erfurt (Germany) 2001 – 2011 Dr Simone Allin School of Architecture, Design and the Built Environment Property Management and Development Group

  2. Eisenhüttenstadt/Stalinstadt 2010 Source: http://www.welt.de/kultur/article9231174/Eisenhuettenstadt-Stalinstadt-Eisenhuettenstadt.html (24/03/2011).

  3. Background • Research is based on previous findings of Master Thesis, completed in 2001 (University of Kaiserslautern, Germany) • Today’s presentation refers to initial results of on-going review of urban development policies and housing market strategies in the City of Erfurt over the past 10 years

  4. Overview Introduction: Urban development trends in Germany before/after 1990 Focus: Housing market in Eastern Germany after 1990 Case study: Housing market in the City of Erfurt, Thuringia Review of Erfurt’s housing market strategies and urban development policies between 2001 – 2011 Conclusions and outlook

  5. Population in Germany – 1990 Source: http://www.destatis.de/bevoelkerungspyramide/ (23/03/2011).

  6. Population in Germany – 2000 Source: http://www.destatis.de/bevoelkerungspyramide/ (23/03/2011).

  7. Population in Germany – 2010 Source: http://www.destatis.de/bevoelkerungspyramide/ (23/03/2011).

  8. Population in Germany – 2060 Source: http://www.destatis.de/bevoelkerungspyramide/ (23/03/2011).

  9. ‘We are shrinking and getting older.’

  10. Economic transformation/recession Industry/ Production Finance Unemployed persons Services GDP (= BIP) Retail Source: http://www.destatis.de/ (28/03/2011).

  11. Share of Brownfield Sites across Germany Source: http://www.bbsr.bund.de/nn_23470/BBSR/DE/Veroeffentlichungen/IzR/2010/1/GrafikenKarten.html (28/03/2011).

  12. Urban development implications: Leipzig Source: http://www.bbsr.bund.de/nn_23470/BBSR/DE/Veroeffentlichungen/IzR/2010/1/GrafikenKarten.html (28/03/2011).

  13. Urban development implications: Leipzig Source: http://www.uni-leipzig.de/isb/squ/index.php?main=2 (24/03/2011).

  14. The extreme case of the housing market in Eastern Germany after 1990 • Approx. 776,000new dwellings builtbetween 1991 - 1999 Source: http://www.empirica-institut.de/kufa/kom-lang.pdf (28/03/2011).

  15. The extreme case of the housing market in Eastern Germany after 1990 Migration between 1980 – 1999 -746,000 Source: http://www.empirica-institut.de/kufa/kom-lang.pdf (28/03/2011).

  16. The extreme case of the housing market in Eastern Germany after 1990 Vacant dwellings according to Microcensus 1998:→ 729,000 dwellings = 13.2% of whole stock Source: http://www.empirica-institut.de/kufa/kom-lang.pdf (28/03/2011).

  17. Case study: Erfurt, Thuringia Source: City of Erfurt: Integrated Urban Development Concept, 2008, p. 25.

  18. Erfurt’s housing market – present stock (2006) Source: City of Erfurt: Integrated Urban Development Concept, 2008, p. 46.

  19. Erfurt’s overall settlement structure Source: City of Erfurt: Integrated Urban Development Concept, 2008, p. 47.

  20. Erfurt 2020 – Urban development ‘Leitbild’ Source: City of Erfurt: Integrated Urban Development Concept, 2008, p. 117.

  21. Erfurt 2020 – Diversified intervention framework Example of a refurbished large housing estate Source: City of Erfurt: Integrated Urban Development Concept, 2008, p. 125 & 127.

  22. Erfurt 2020 – Allocated funding & interventions Source: City of Erfurt: Integrated Urban Development Concept, 2008, p. 133.

  23. Review of Erfurt’s policy framework between 2001 – 2011: some initial reflections • Situation 2001: Draft local land use plan (FNP); no ISEK;Masterplan I; INNOVA (i.e. private consultancy) survey reports on housing market related issues only • Situation 2011: Adopted local land use plan; ISEK 2020; revised Masterplan II;urban development monitoring system • disintegrated policy situation in 2001; also reflected by fragmented institutional responsibilities • improved integration of relevant policies and institutions through collaborative work on comprehensive informal and formal urban development policies (i.e. FNP & ISEK) and housing market specific Masterplan II

  24. Critical review of measures undertaken before 2005 & their implications Source: BMVBS: 2. Statusbericht – 5 Jahre Stadtumbau Ost – eine Zwischenbilanz, 2007, p. 44.

  25. Critical review of measures undertaken before 2005 & their implications • Masterplan I (city council & 4 large housing societies): - focus on demolition of large-scale GDR industrial housing stock (especially, estates built after 1970s’ and in suburban areas), - although also high vacancy rates in historical city centre > reason: in the longer-term, development of inner-city locations is regarded more sustainable • But: What happens to vacant sites? Any interim or longer- term solutions? What are the wider implications of demolished infrastructure? How can diverse private owners of historical housing stock in city-centre be persuaded to refurbish their properties?

  26. Critical review of measures undertaken/proposed after 2005 & their implications Source: BMVBS: 2. Statusbericht – 5 Jahre Stadtumbau Ost – eine Zwischenbilanz, 2007, p. 42; BMVBS: 4. Statusbericht – Stadtumbau vor neuen Herausforderungen, 2010, p. 53, 83.

  27. Critical review of measures undertaken/proposed after 2005 & their (potential) implications • Masterplan II: - summary re demolition: 7,555 dwellings in total until 2009; vacancy rate dropped from 15.1% (2002) to 4.6% (GDR industrial housing stock only) > now classified as ‘stable conditions’ - successful integration in comprehensive urban development strategy: long-term planning & development objectives (> 2020): reasonable mix of flexibility & clear constraints - revised focus on consolidation of selected areas & parts of the City’s housing stock, based on urban ‘Leitbild’ • But: How will Erfurt cope with projected 2. wave of shrinkage and need for extensive refurbishment from 2016 onwards?

  28. Some initial conclusions • Obvious policy shift between 2001 – 2011: from demolition to careful development/refurbishment > sustaining • Comprehensive urban development/land use policy framework has become primary source of consultation & must now provide base for future integration • Thus, for example, all housing market (monitoring & development) strategies – incl. allocation requirements of state funding etc. – must be embedded in this framework • Present and most significant shortcoming: missing (city-) regional perspective on urban development, housing market and related policy-making: inter-city cooperation often hampered by negative perceptions and competition…

  29. Focus of future research • Qualitative part:Further in-depth investigation & evaluation of effectiveness and integrative capacity of urban development and housing market policies in Erfurt • Quantitative part:Collection, analysis and modelling of available demographic and housing market data in order to evaluate the performance of specific market segments, related targets and measures > could be used as a ‘tool’ for informing future policy-making

  30. Thank you! simone.allin@ntu.ac.uk Source: BMVBS: 4. Statusbericht – Stadtumbau vor neuen Herausforderungen, 2010, p. 94.

More Related