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Future Earth: Vision and implementation. Frans Berkhout. Royal Irish Academy 17th September 2014. ‘Great acceleration’. IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al. 2004. What is Future Earth ?. A global platform for scientific collaboration
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Future Earth:Vision and implementation Frans Berkhout Royal Irish Academy 17th September 2014
‘Great acceleration’ IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al. 2004
Whatis Future Earth? A global platform for scientific collaboration • Enabling integrated research on grand challenges and transformations to sustainability • Strengthening partnerships between researchers, funders and users of research • Solutions-oriented, building knowledge needed to accelerate transformations to sustainability • Communicating science to society and society to science
Our objective To buildand connect global knowledge to intensify the impact of research and find new ways of acceleratingsustainable development
Future Earth Research Themes And cross-cutting issues: Observing systems, models, theory development, data management, research infrastructures
Models of knowledge production The ‘linear’ model of science and society Co-production of knowledge
GEC Core Projects WGs and Councils International scientific networks: ~60,000 scientists
Key functions of Future Earthand its core projects 1. Convening global science 2. Setting research agendas 6. Engaging decision-makers 3. Mobilising capacity 5. Communicating research, 2-way 4. Coordinating frontier research
Convening global science • ecoHealth: 2014 conference
Agenda-setting ecoSERVICES: links between biodiversity, ecosystem functioning and services
Frontier science PAGES: Past Global Changes
Communicating Science • Global Carbon Project: Global Carbon Atlas
Engaging policy Earth System Governance: Global governance for sustainability
Mobilising capacity CLIVAR: Variability and predictability of the ocean-atmosphere system
Inputs to global assessments Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services Launched, Apr. 2012, Panama IPBES-1, Jan. 2013, Germany IPBES-2, Dec. 2013, Turkey
Implementing Future Earth Interim Secretariat @ ICSU (July 2013-end 2014) • Completing the architecture • Advancing Future Earth science • Engaging stakeholders • Building awareness • Securing new resources
A. Future Earth governance CoreProject CoreProject Otheractivities Otheractivities CoreProject CoreProject CoreProject CoreProject CoreProject
Completing the architecture • Science Committee: announced June 2013 • Interim Engagement Committee: Nov 2013 • Engagement Committee: announcement Sept 2014 • Future Earth Council: announcement Sept 2014 • Executive Secretariat: announcement of 5-node consortium, July 2014 • Core project affiliation: transition process working smoothly (transition statement, MOU)
Future Earth Executive Secretariat • Global hubs • Canada (Montreal) • France (Paris) • Japan (Tokyo) • Sweden (Stockholm) • United States (Boulder, CO) • Regional hubs (proposed) • Latin America • Asia • Europe • Middle East and North Africa Operational: January 2015 New secured funding: $6-7M/year
B. Advancing science • 2025 vision: Success Factors for Future Earth Publish October 2014 • Strategic Research Agenda 2014: Agenda-setting for funders Launch October 2014 • Short-term initiatives: Fast track initiatives and cluster activities Announced July 2014
2025 Vision • Approaches: Pioneered approaches to co-design and co-produce solutions-oriented science, knowledge and innovation for global sustainable development • Capacities Enabled and mobilised capacities to co-produce knowledge, across cultural and social differences, geographies and generations • Challenges Inspired and created ground-breaking interdisciplinary science relevant to major global sustainability challenges • Outputs Delivered products and services that our societal partners need to achieve these challenges
Strategic Research Agenda • Request from IGFA/Belmont Forum of funders (September 2013) • Medium term (3-5 year) research priorities for IGFA/Belmont initiatives and national funders • Three sets of inputs: • Consultation with the GEC research community • Engagement with societal partners • Assessment of recent and on-going priority-setting processes
SRA 2014 • Dynamic Planet • Observing and attributing change • Understanding processes, risks and thresholds • Projecting and predicting futures • Global Development • Meeting basic needs and overcoming inequalities • Governing sustainable development • Managing growth, synergies and trade-offs • Transformations to sustainability • Understanding and evaluating transformations • Identifying and promoting sustainable behaviours • Transforming development pathways
Linking our vision to priorities Challenges Outputs, Approaches, Capacities Research Priorities
Short-term Initiatives • Fast Track Initiatives and Clusters • Funding from NSF • 10 new initiatives funded (~$100k each) • Global nitrogen cycle • Biodiversity observation • Seasonal and sub-seasonal forecasts for Africa • ….
E. Securing new resources • Commitments towards Executive Secretariat • Funding for short-term initiatives • Dialogue with development funders (ICSU-led) • ISSC T2S programme (ISSC-led) • New funding model: Informing Belmont Forum discussions at their October 2014 meeting
Funding landscape Type A - Glue money for networking/programming (order M€) • Managing/coordinating GEC programs (4 secretariats) • Managing/coordinating GEC projects (circa 30 IPOs) Type B - International research consortia (order 10M€) • Sustaining research teams across boundaries Type C - National emergent programs (order 100M€) • Improving capacity to develop new proactive programs, including interdisciplinary Type D - Blue/grey sky research (order 1000M€) • Sustaining disciplinary research • Building on the large long-term potential of a new generation of scientists
Engaging with Future Earth • Encourage participation in existing GEC projects • Creating national Future Earth platforms • Partnering with Future Earth • 2015 FTI Call (open) • Call for new Future Earth Core Projects/Initiatives (early 2015) • Inputs to 2017 Strategic Research Agenda
Website: www.futureearth.org Facebook: www.facebook.com/futureearth.org Twitter: @FutureEarth
Future Earth and IGFA/Belmont initiatives Via Future Earth High Impact Collaborative Research Actions (CRAs) Belmont Forum Scientific community IGFA Via Funders