Advanced Transit Technologies (Personal Rapid Transit shown)

1. Advanced Transit Technologies(Personal Rapid Transit shown)

2. Short Story • A citywide ATN (automated transit network) feeding the BART station would: • reduce CO2 emissions • improve public health and safety • produce a great 10-year ROI (200% - 400%). Start with small pilot projects paid for by others (OBAG, FTA, foundations, PRT companies, residents).

3. Reduce CO2 emissions 84% in 38 years(required by AB 32, SB 375, Executive Order S-3-05)

4. Transportation Mode Share

5. Silver Bullet: cut SOV in half • Standford Research Park SOV rate of 89% • Scenario: ATN from Caltrain station to 20 stations in the Research Park (20,000 employees, 100 buildings, area = 1+ mi2) • Include cell phone apps, smart car-pooling, car-share services, existing transit services • 13 one-hour interviews and 62 surveys • http://www.cities21.org/silver_bullet.htm

9. Citywide ATN would connect: • BART/LRT/bus stationGreat MallPost OfficeLibrary/Valley Health CenterTown Center/Senior Center/City HallMilpitas Sports ComplexHetch-Hetchy linear parkMPD/Public Worksvarious schools (MHS/Randall/Pomeroy, Rancho/Sinnott, new school)various shopping centers(Calaveras/Park Victoria, Calaveras/Serra, Milpitas/Dixon)various City parks (Augustine, Hidden Lake, Cardoza)

10. Cabs: 1-4 people, lightweight (1000 lbs.)

11. Operating ATN systems(Morgantown, Heathrow, Masdar, Sweden)

12. Benefits of a citywide ATNthat captures 10% of automobile VMT • Environmental- Reduce CO2 emissions (AB 32, SB 375)- Slow global warming (emergency situation!) • Public Health- cleaner air- reduce auto-related injuries and deaths- transportation equity for cyclists, the poor, and the aged • Economic (next 4 slides)

13. PRT System Costs: guideway + cabs

14. Economic Benefits (1 of 3) • A cost-conscious and effective government considers financial benefits (revenue and savings) that accrue to City coffers and to the Milpitas economy. The following assumes a citywide PRT system would capture 10% of trips. • $9M - eliminate the need for a bike/ped crossing of Montague Expressway (BART/Great Mall) • $9M - eliminate a bike/ped crossing of Montague Expressway (BART/new school) • $5M - eliminate a bike/ped crossing of the railroad tracks at Yosemite/Curtis • $5M - eliminate a bike/ped crossing of railroad tracks from Piper housing developments to the Great Mall

15. Economic Benefits (2 of 3) • $3M – delay for 10 years expansion of Calaveras crossing of the railroad tracks (5% of project cost) • $2M – delay for 10 years the Montague/Great Mall urban interchange (5% of project cost) • $12M - resident fuel savings of $2.4M/year for 5 years (roughly 10% of 300 gals./car/year x 20,000 cars x $4/gal.) OR$13M - (5 years x $0.55/mile x 12,000 miles/year x 20,000 cars x 2%) • $1M - 1% increase in property values due to improved transit generates 1% increased annual property tax revenues (for 5 years) (2010/2011 total Milpitas property tax revenue = $16.6M) • $1M – 10% reduction in street maintenance costs ($200K/year for 5 years) (137 miles of street) • $1M - increased tourism at PRT "attraction" ($200K/year for 5 years)

16. Economic Benefits (3 of 3) • $xM - reduce the amount of VTA Outreach service in the area (for 5 years) • $xM - reduce amount of structured parking required in Midtown and Transit Areas ($30,000/space x 100 = $3M) • $xM - rental for utility space (e.g. telecommunications) within guideways • $xM – value of public health/safety benefits • $xM – value of jobs created • up to $51M - reduce bus service in Milpitas for 5 years (3.8% of annual $270M VTA budget) • TOTAL = $48M - $99M City's 20% cost of $120M ATN = $24M

17. One Bay Area Grant (OBAG) • Two types of projects: • 1) bicycle and pedestrian and • 2) Transportation for Livable Communities. • All four proposed pilot projects qualify. The Yosemite/Curtis crossing and the BART/Great Mall circulator are PDA-qualified.Apply for OBAG funding by February 2013.

18. Advantages to first U.S. city to build ATN • Regional and a national tourist attractionFame, acclaim, and extra sales tax dollars • Pay below 20% for ATNSecure funding from groups interested in our "pilot projects" (OBAG, FTA, foundations, PRT companies, residents) to reduce City's need to fund full 20% ante. • First in line for an extensionWith a demonstrated pilot project in place, Milpitas would be a leading contender for additional funding to extend the project(s).

19. PRT as horizontal elevator over RR tracks

20. PRT “ferry” over RR trackshttp://www.electric-bikes.com/prt/ferry.html

21. Rob's “ask” • Put four projects onto the RTP • Yosemite/Curtis crossing of RR tracks • Hetch-Hetchy gap closure at north city limit • I-880 crossing near 237 interchange • BART circulator Encourage Rob to lobby for funding.

22. California Cities Initiative • Cities interested in forwarding ATN:San Jose, Fresno, Santa Cruz, Mt. View, and Milpitas • San Jose State University ATN project • Ed Porter • Santa Cruz City Council member 2000-2008 • retired UCSC professor • 10-year proponent of PRT

23. San Jose State University ATN project

24. Ed's “ask”

25. Summary • Advanced transit could reduce CO2 emissions, improve public health and safety, and produce a great ROI. Start with small pilot projects paid for by others. • Lack of action incurs risk of Climate Action Plan rejection by CARB, SANDAG-like lawsuit, financial costs to City and County of “business as usual”, and opportunity costs. • (Slides at http://www.electric-bikes.com/presentations)