1 / 50

Creating a nutritious home for all

Creating a nutritious home for all. THE FOOD CRISES: BACKGROUND & THE WAY FORWARD. Dirk Troskie Specialist: Agricultural Economics Western Cape Dept. of Agriculture. % OF HOUSEHOLDS THAT REPORTS CHILDREN GOING HUNGRY DURING THE PAST YEAR. Fewer experience hunger than anytime in SA history.

csilla
Download Presentation

Creating a nutritious home for all

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Creating a nutritious home for all

  2. THE FOOD CRISES: BACKGROUND & THE WAY FORWARD Dirk Troskie Specialist: Agricultural Economics Western Cape Dept. of Agriculture

  3. % OF HOUSEHOLDS THAT REPORTS CHILDREN GOING HUNGRY DURING THE PAST YEAR

  4. Fewer experience hunger than anytime in SA history. THE FOOD CRISIS: THE SITUATION

  5. AGRICULTURAL GDP PER PERSON IN AGRICULTURE (2004)

  6. TRANSFERS / CAPITA (Constant 2000 Rand) Source: vd Berg (2007) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  7. Fewer experience hunger than anytime in SA history. • Government interventions play a major role in this regard. THE FOOD CRISIS: THE SITUATION

  8. FOOD PRODUCTION & POPULATION GROWTH Source: Abstract (2008) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  9. GROWTH OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION PER CAPITA (1994 – 2004)

  10. Fewer experience hunger than anytime in SA history. • Government interventions play a major role in this regard. • Food production keep track with population growth. THE FOOD CRISIS: THE SITUATION

  11. AGRICULTURAL IMPORTS & EXPORTS(Nominal values) Source: Abstract (2008) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  12. EXPORTS OF WINE Source: SAWIS (2008) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  13. WESTERN CAPE EXPORTS2001 - 2003 Source: Quantec (2008) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  14. CONCENTRATION RATIO OF AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS (2002 – 2004)

  15. Fewer experience hunger than anytime in SA history. • Government interventions play a major role in this regard. • Food production keep track with population growth. • SA shows growth in the net value of exports THE FOOD CRISIS: THE SITUATION

  16. NET TRADE IN FOOD (2002 – 2004)

  17. SHARE OF FOOD IN TOTAL IMPORTS (2002 – 2004)

  18. SHARE OF AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS IN TOTAL EXPORTS (2002 – 2004)

  19. Fewer experience hunger than anytime in SA history. • Government interventions play a major role in this regard. • Food production keep track with population growth. • SA shows growth in the net value of exports • Yet, SA is a deficit exporter of calories THE FOOD CRISIS: THE SITUATION

  20. FAPRI % BFAP BASELINE PRICES:Wheat & Barley Source: BFAP (2007) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  21. BIOFUELS IN THE US Source: OECD/FAO Outlook (2007) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  22. ANIMAL PRODUCTSIndex of nominal prices Source: OECD/FAO Outlook (2007) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  23. PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION OF MEAT Source: OECD/FAO Outlook (2007) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  24. WORLD CLOSING STOCKS Source: OECD/FAO Outlook (2007) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  25. WORLD POPULATION Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  26. POPULATION ON CONTINENTS Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  27. Fewer experience hunger than anytime in SA history. • Government interventions play a major role in this regard. • Food production keep track with population growth. • SA shows growth in the net value of exports • Yet, SA is a deficit exporter of calories • We are experiencing a trend-break THE FOOD CRISIS: THE SITUATION

  28. IMPACT ON THE MOST VULNERABLE: LSM1(Inflation = 6%; Food Inflation = 12%) Source: Own Calculations based on LSM Data (2007) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  29. % HH EXPENDITURE ON FOOD Source: Troskie (2001) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  30. RURAL POPULATION IN TOTAL POPULATION (2004)

  31. Fewer experience hunger than anytime in SA history. • Government interventions play a major role in this regard. • Food production keep track with population growth. • SA shows growth in the net value of exports • Yet, SA is a deficit exporter of calories • We are experiencing a trend-break • We need to protect the most vulnerable • Certain countries are preventing exports: • Impact on WTO negotiations • Export instability THE FOOD CRISIS: THE SITUATION

  32. THE WAY FORWARD

  33. UN DECLARATION • Feed the hungry • Food aid • Food for Tomorrow • Income generation programmes • Address research & knowledge gaps • Scale down trade distorting subsidies • Special focus on Africa Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  34. PROPOSED WESTERN CAPE DEPT. OF AGRICULTURE RESPONSE • Feed the hungry • Food gardens • Food stamps • Consumer subsidies (BIG) • Emergency feeding schemes • Food from research farms • Food for Tomorrow • Research • Extension • Training Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  35. COMMERCIAL VEGETABLEPRODUCTION Source: Combud & own calculations (2008) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  36. SCENARIO 1 Cost of buying 468 tons of veg. at Epping: R 905 465 Source: Own calculations (2008) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  37. SCENARIO 2 Cost of buying 624 tons of veg. at Epping: R 1 207 287 Source: Own calculations (2008) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  38. THE NATURE OF TECHNOLOGY Preferred characteristic Time/Research input Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  39. RATE OF RETURN ON WHEAT RESEARCH Source: Troskie (2001) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  40. RESEARCH: IMPACT ON EMPLOYMENT Source: Provide (2005) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  41. PRICE ELASTICITY Source: Bonnen & Schweikhardt (1998) Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo

  42. the end

  43. Fewer experience hunger than anytime in SA history. • Government interventions play a major role in this regard. • Food production keep track with population growth. • SA shows growth in the net value of exports • Yet, SA is a deficit exporter of calories • We are experiencing a trend-break • We need to protect the most vulnerable • Certain countries are preventing exports: • Impact on WTO negotiations • Export instability THE FOOD CRISIS: THE SITUATION

More Related