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RATIO ANALYSIS. Ratio Analysis. A Ratio can be defined as relationship between two or more things/ numbers. A Financial Ratio is the relationship between two financial items, (i.e. from the Balance Sheet and the P&L Account)
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Ratio Analysis • A Ratio can be defined as relationship between two or more things/ numbers. • A Financial Ratio is the relationship between two financial items, (i.e. from the Balance Sheet and the P&L Account) • Financial Ratio Analysis is the ascertainment of ratios, their interpretation for the purpose of measuring financial strengths/ weaknesses.
Role of Ratio Analysis • Ratios are used as a benchmark for evaluating financial position and performance of a firm. • Ratios help to summarize large quantities of financial data into more meaningful element. • Ratios facilitate qualitative judgement about the firm’s financial performance. • Ratio analysis help meaningful interpretation of financial statements w.r.t. its performance, credit analysis, security analysis, trend analysis.
Standards of Comparison Ratio analysis involves comparisons for a more meaningful understanding of the facts & figures given in the financial statements. The standards of comparison consist are as follows: • Time Series/ Trend Analysis (past ratios) • Cross-sectional Analysis (competitor ratios) • Industry Analysis • Projected Ratios
Users of Financial Ratios • Investors – to determine firm’s earnings, balancing risk & return for dividend & capital appreciation. • Trade Creditors – to determine the firm’s ability to pay its liability in short term, i.e. liquidity issues • Financial Institutions – to determine long term solvency & profitability of a firm, cash flows for interest payment & repayment of principal amt. • Management – measuring every aspect of business w.r.t. risk, profitability, performance, liquidity etc.
Important Concepts • Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) – manufacturing costs of the goods sold during an accounting period e.g. material, labour, power, fuel, repairs • Non-operating Revenue (NOR) – not relating to main operations, these are included in the gross profit. E.g. asset sale, interest on investments. • Gross Profit (GP) – Sales (+) NOR (-) COGS • Operating expenses – expenses relating to main operations of the business, e.g. administration, selling, distribution, depreciation etc.
Important Concepts • Operating Profit – GP (less) Operating expenses. Also known as Earnings /Profit before Interest and Tax (EBIT / PBIT) • Interest – paid on borrowed funds like loan, debn • Profit before Taxes (PBT) – PBIT (-) Interest • Profit after Taxes (PAT) – PBT (-) Taxes • Dividends – amount distributed to shareholders • Retained Earnings – balance remaining after distribution of dividends, i.e. PAT (-) Dividends.
Classification of Ratios The classification of ratios depends upon the financial activity or function to be evaluated, with reference to the users of these ratios. • Liquidity ratios – measures the firm’s ability to meet current obligations. • Leverage ratios – shows the proportion of debt and equity in financing the firm’s assets • Activity ratios – reflects the firm’s efficiency in utilization of its assets • Profitability ratios – measures the performance and effectiveness of the firm
Liquidity Ratios • Current Ratio= Current Assets Current Liabilities • Current assets are assets that can be converted into cash within a short period (upto 1 year). For e.g. inventory, receivables, cash & bank bal., prepaid exp., B/R, short-term Invts etc. • Current liabilities are obligations that must be paid within a short time (upto 1 year) – BP, creditors, accured exp, ST loans, bank overdraft • This ratio measures firm’s short-term solvency
Liquidity Ratios • Current Ratio • Universal convention, a current ratio of 2:1 is good. In India, a ratio of 1.33:1 is also accepted. • Current ratio serves as a margin of safety for the creditors and other short-term lenders. Hence, higher the ratio, greater the margin of safety. • However, a very high current ratio may indicate idle assets that are non-productive. • Further, the quality of current assets also needs to be checked. E.g. immovable inventory, doubtful debtors reflect a wrong current ratio.
Liquidity Ratios • Quick Ratio= Current Assets – Inventories Current Liabilities – BOD • Quick ratio states the relation between quick/ liquid assets & current liabilities. (Acid-test ratio) • Liquid assets are assets that can be converted into cash immediately and without loss of value. • Inventories are less liquid since it takes time to realize and also its values are fluctuating. • Generally, a quick ratio of 1:1 is satisfactory. But, quality of liquid assets needs to be checked w.r.t. slow/ non paying debtors and other receivables.
Liquidity Ratios • Cash Ratio= Cash + Bank + Marketable securities Current Liabilities • Cash is the most liquid asset. Hence, cash ratio verifies the relationship between cash & cash equivalents to current liabilities. • This is the most stringent measure of liquidity of a firm. • However, a low cash ratio is acceptable, since companies have reserve borrowing power, in the form of sanctioned credit limits from banks and financial institutions.
Liquidity Ratios • Interval Measure = Current assets – Inventories * 365 Total daily expenses • Interval Measure is a ratio to judge the firm’s ability to meet its regular cash expenses. • Total daily expenses are the sum of COGS, admin exp, and selling & distribution expenses (except deprn). • The interval measure gives us the period for which a firm has sufficient funds to meet its daily expenses, without receiving any cash.
Leverage Ratios • Leverage ratios measures long term solvency of a firm. Also called ‘Capital Structure ratios’. • Debt is more risky as the firm has legal obligation to pay interest, even in case of losses. Default may lead to litigation & even liquidation • However, debt is cheaper than equity and may result into higher returns for equity shareholders in case of a favourable financial leverage effect. • Higher equity component is treated as safety margin by creditors and financial institutions.
Leverage Ratios • Debt-Equity Ratio= Total LT Debt Net Worth • Total long term debts, borrowing from financial inst., debentures, bank, public deposits. • Net Worth includes equity & preference capital and reserves & surplus. (‘shareholders’ funds’) • A high ratio indicates excessive borrowing by the firm. High borrowing may put restrictions on a firm w.r.t. dividend payout, dilutes control • Low debt-equity ratio is good in low profits. For high profits, high financial leverage is favourable.
Leverage Ratios • Debt-Asset Ratio= Total Debt Net Assets • Total debt - short & long term borrowings from financial inst., debentures, bank, public deposits • Net Assets includes net fixed assets and net current assets (i.e. CA – CL) • This ratio indicates the proportion of total assets financed by the debt component. • A high ratio indicates that the total assets are financed by borrowing, in excess of the owners’ equity.
Leverage Ratios • Capital Gearing = Pref. capital + Debenture + LT loans Equity capital + Reserves & Surplus • Capital gearing ratio measures the proportion of fixed interest and preference dividend bearing capital to the shareholders’ equity. • This ratio indicates the proportion of fixed obligations in the capital structure vis-à-vis shareholders’ funds (w/o any fixed obligations) • Ratio is used for providers of long term sources of finance, i.e. financial institutions, banks, interested debenture holders, pref. share holders.
Leverage Ratios • Interest Coverage Ratio= EBIT or EBDIT Interest Interest • Measures firm’s ability to pay interest obligation • This ratio shows the number of times the interest charges are covered by the available funds. • Since deprn is a non-cash item, the same can be added back to EBIT to calculate the coverage. • Ratio used by banks, financial inst., debentures. • Higher the ratio, better safety. But, a high ratio indicates a conservative approach in using debt, which may reduce shareholders’ earning capacity.
Leverage Ratios • Debt Service coverage = EBDIT Interest + (Loan repayment/1-tax rate) • Debt Service coverage = PAT + Deprn + Interest Interest + Loan repayment • Measures the firm’s ability to meet interest as well as loan repayment obligation. • Debt service coverage ratio shows the number of times the interest & loan repayment are covered by the available funds. • Loan repayment is made out of post-tax earnings. So different formulae given to adjust the same.
Leverage Ratios • Pref. Dividend Coverage Ratio= EAT Pref. Dividend • Measures the firm’s ability to meet dividend obligation on preference shares. • Pref. dividend coverage ratio shows the number of times the pref. dividends are covered by the available post tax funds. This ratio used by preference shareholders. • Higher the ratio, better for a firm.
Activity/ Performance Ratios • A firm makes investment in various assets for the purpose of increasing sales and hence profits • Performance ratios are used to evaluate the efficiency of management & utilization of assets • Also known as Turnover ratios, since they indicate the speed of assets utilization for sales. • Activity ratios involve a relationship between sales and assets. These ratios also facilitates performance evaluation of a firm’s individual departments.
Activity Ratios • Inventory turnover = COGS or Sales Avg. inventory • Inventory turnover ratio indicates the efficiency of a firm in producing and selling its products. • Avg. inventory is the avg. of opening and closing stock of finished goods. Averraging eliminates the fluctuations in inventory levels. In absence of avg. inventory, closing inventory may be used. • COGS figure may not be available to the outside analyst and hence ‘Sales’ is taken to compute the ratio. But, sales includes profit, so COGS is better
Activity Ratios • Inventory turnover • Inventory turnover shows the speed of inventory conversion into receivables / cash through sales. • High turnover ratio is a sign of good inventory mgt. while low ratio indicates excessive inventory levels or slow and/or obsolete inventory. • But, a very high ratio may imply low inventory levels resulting in stock-outs, affecting goodwill. • Hence, adequate attention should be given to the inventory turnover ratios. It should be compared with past ratios, industry averages etc.
Activity Ratios • Inventory turnover • The reciprocal of inventory turnover ratio (x) 360 days gives the average inventory holding period. • Avg. inventory x 365 days COGS or Sales • Inventory turnover can be analyzed for RM & WIP levels also, to judge their conversions. • RM turnover = RM consumed Avg. inventory of RM • WIP turnover = Cost of production Avg. inventory of WIP Similarly, holding period computed as above. (no. of days)
Activity Ratios • Debtors turnover = Credit Sales Avg. debtors • Debtors’ turnover ratio indicates speed of conversion of debtors into cash during a year. • Higher the debtors’ turnover ratio, more efficient is the credit management. • In absence of credit sales & avg. debtors, total sales & closing debtors be used for computation • Measures the efficiency of the marketing team, treasury team and business managers.
Activity Ratios • Debtors’ collection = 365 days = Avg. Debtors x 365 Debtors’ turnover Credit Sales • Debtors’ collection period calculates the period for conversion of receivables into cash, i.e. duration for which the debtors are outstanding. • Shorter the period better is the quality of debtors i.e. faster conversion into cash. • Collection period must be compared with the firm’s avg. credit period granted to customers • Long collection period impairs firm’s liquidity and also increases chances of bad debts.
Activity Ratios • Debtors ageing schedule • An ageing schedule breaks down debtors according to the length of time for which they are outstanding. • It provides enhanced information by recognizing the slow-paying debtors. • It is a better analysis tool than collection period and the used extensively during audits and investigations.
Activity Ratios • Creditors’ turnover = Credit Purchases Avg. creditors • Creditors’ payment = 365 days = Avg. Crs. x 365 Crs. turnover Credit Purchases • Creditors’ turnover ratio indicates the number of times creditors are paid during a year. • Lower the creditors’ turnover ratio, more efficient is the payables management i.e. delays in payment or avoiding early payment. • Measures the efficiency of the payables & purchases team.
Activity Ratios • Working capital turnover = Sales Avg. working capital • This ratio measures the utilization of working capital for generation of sales, and profits. • Higher the ratio implies better management of working capital. • It indicates the amount of sales per rupee investment in working capital. • High ratio implies that less funds are blocked in WC, better liquidity, better management.
Activity Ratios • Fixed Assets turnover = Sales Avg. net fixed assets • Fixed assets turnover ratio measures the sales volume per rupee of investment in fixed assets. • A firm’s ability to produce large volumes of sales for a given amount of fixed assets is an important aspect of its operating performance. Higher the ratio, better for firm. • Unutilized/ under-utilized assets increase a firm’s costs via maintenance without giving returns. • A very high ratio may be misleading, due to presence of old assets with minimal book value.
Activity Ratios • Capital turnover = Sales Capital Employed • Capital turnover ratio measures the sales volume per rupee of capital employed (i.e. Equity + Debt). • Higher the ratio indicates better use of capital employed by a firm.
Profitability Ratios • Profitability is the key to survival and growth of any organization. • Profitability ratios are calculated to measure the operating effectiveness of a firm. • Owners are interested in these ratios to ensure their returns while creditors/ lenders are concerned about their interest and loan repayments.
Profitability Ratios • Gross Profit Margin = Gross Profit (GP) Sales • Gross profit margin reflects the efficiency of production activities and the pricing strategy. • This ratio indicates the average spread between ales & COGS. (i.e. prodn cost vis-à-vis selling price) • A high GP margin is a sign of good management & shows that firm is able to produce at low costs. • A low ratio may be due to inefficient purchases, poor plant utillization or selling price pressures. • Constant attention is reqd. to maintain/ improve GP margin.
Profitability Ratios • Net Profit (NP) Margin = Profit after Tax (PAT) Sales • PAT is obtained when operating exp., interest & taxes are deducted from the gross profit. • NP margin reflects management’s efficiency in manufacturing, administration, selling its product • The ratio is an overall measure of a firm’s ability to convert sales into profits (sh-holders’ earnings) • Higher ratio acts as a buffer in cases of decline in selling price, increasing costs, decreasing demands etc. & also accelerates profits at faster rate in favourable conditions
Profitability Ratios • Modified Net Profit Margin = EBIT Sales • PAT figure excludes interest on borrowing. Interest is tax deductible and provides taxation benefits. Thus, PAT is affected by a firm’s financial structure. • Hence, use of PAT may give misleading results in firms with different financial structures. • As a true measure of operating efficiencies, we ignore the effect of debt-equity mix and consider EBIT as profit.
Profitability Ratios • Return on Capital Employed = EBIT Capital Employed • Capital employed includes equity and pref. capital, reserves & surplus, debentures, long term loans from financial institutions etc. • It measures the return/ profits generated by a firm against the capital employed in business. • These returns are shared by the capital providers (lenders and shareholders) in the form of interest and dividends respectively.
Profitability Ratios • Return on Equity = PAT Shareholders’ funds • Shareholders’ funds includes equity capital and reserves & surplus (less) accumulated/ misc. loss • It measures the return generated by a firm against the shareholders’ funds used in the business. • One of the most important ratios for financial analysis since the primary objective of a firm is maximization of shareholders’ wealth. • Thus, this ratio is scrutinized by current and more importantly by prospective investors.
Profitability Ratios • Earning per Share (EPS) = PAT No. of equity shares o/s • EPS measures the return/ profits generated by a firm per equity share. • EPS is an important ratio for securities analysis & it facilitates comparison with other companies and the industry average. • EPS reveals the relative performance & strength of the company in attracting future investments. • Hence, this ratio is widely used by prospective investors and current shareholders.
Profitability Ratios • Dividend per Share (DPS) = Dividends paid No. of equity shares o/s • DPS measures the returns/profits distributed by a firm to the equity shareholders. • Since all profits may not be distributed, shareholders and potential investors are more interested in the actual dividends declared by a firm (i.e. distributed profits). • Hence, this ratio is widely used by current shareholders and prospective investors.
Profitability Ratios • Dividend Yield = Dividends per share (DPS) Current Market Price per Share • Earnings Yield = Earnings per share (EPS) Current Market Price per Share • Dividend Yield & Earnings Yield evaluates the shareholders’ return in relation to the current market value of the share. • Earnings yields is also known as earnings-price (E/P) ratio • Current market price per share may not be available in the financial statements, but can be taken from the stock exchanges, newspapers etc.
Comparative Common Size Analysis • Absolute figures in financial statements may not give a true picture of the state of affairs, especially while making comparisons. • A simple technique of meaningful analysis is to prepare ‘comparative common size statements (CCS)’. • Financial statements (B.S and P&L A/c) are prepared in terms of common base percentages. • Analysis becomes uncomplicated, with increased clarity and superior results/ findings. By use of CCS, possibility of ambiguity is reduced.
Ratio Analysis – shortcomings • Ratios only provide with indicators for identifying problems. Solutions are not provided by ratios. • Dissimilarity in situations of two companies may make the ratios misleading • Differences in the definitions of items in B.S and P&L A/c may lead to incorrect interpretation. • Ratios are calculated from past records and do not predict the future events.